UFC 252 Free Pick | Cormier vs. Miocic 3 | Aug. 15, 2020

UFC 252 is tonight in Las Vegas and the main card will be available on pay-per-view (PPV).

Daniel Cormier (22-2-0-1) will fight Stipe Miocic (19-3) in the main event. This will be the third time that these two heavyweights have fought for the UFC Heavyweight Championship against each other.

Cormier won the first fight by KO in the opening round to win the belt off Miocic in 2018, but then Miocic won the second fight by TKO in the 4th round to win the belt back in 2019.

HOW TO BET ON THE UFC

The trilogy will take place tonight and this is expected to be Cormier’s last fight. Sure, he was also supposed to retire after his last loss to Miocic, but I think he’ll actually retire this time.

 


When: 11:55 PM ET, Saturday, August 15th, 2020

Where: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada


 

Cormier vs. Miocic 3 Betting Odds

Fight Odds: Daniel Cormier (-110) vs. Stipe Miocic (-110) at America’s Bookie

The bookmakers have this fight as a complete toss-up. Action has been relatively even on both of these fighters and we’ve hardly seen any line movement since the odds were initially released.

Fight Odds: Over 2.5 Round (-150) vs. Under 2.5 Rounds (+120) at America’s Bookie

Not sure who will win the trilogy fight? Why not look to the round total betting markets, such as the over/under. With this being a five-round fight, the odds on O2.5 (-150) looks tempting.

 


UFC 252: Miocic vs Cormier 3 – Weigh-in


 

Cormier vs. Miocic 3 – Tale of the Tape

Miocic may be the better striker, but he lost the striking battle in the first two fights.

Cormier landed more strikes in the first fight (25 vs. 24) and the second fight (181 vs. 123). He opted to focus on striking rather than his wrestling, which would be a mistake tonight.

Miocic has actually landed more takedowns in the two fights (2 vs. 1). Cormier is definitely the better wrestler, but Miocic has actually averaged more takedowns than his opponent.

Cormier averages 1.95 takedowns per 15 minutes (44% Accuracy), while Miocic averages 2.20 TDs per 15 minutes (37% Accuracy). They both have similar TD defense (Cormier 77% vs. Miocic 73%).

The striking battle is also close, but Miocic edges Cormier. Both fighters land at a 52% rate and they defend 56% of strikes, but Miocic (4.95 SLpM) is more active than Cormier (4.25 SLpM).

However, Miocic eats 3.69 SApM, while Cormier averages just 2.75 SApM.

Cormier vs. Miocic 3 Best Bets

Cormier has the power to surprise Miocic, as we saw in the opening round of the first fight for those that love to bet on the UFC, but Miocic has one of the toughest chins in the heavyweight division (2 TKO/KO losses).

My money is on Miocic winning this fight with a late knockout in the fourth or fifth rounds.

UFC Free Picks: Stipe Miocic ML (-110) & Over 2.5 Rounds (-150)

Free Picks By Scott Jack

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