Top Bets | NFL Week 17
A big Happy New Year from Joe Berra! 2015 was a great year for me, both in the real world and the sports betting world, but let’s make 2016 better than ever. I hope everyone was able to usher in the New Year with everyone special in their lives and start it on the right path.
But with a new year comes the end of the NFL regular season as Week 17 is upon us. With one week of play remaining, there’s not a lot left to play for. We already know 10 of the 12 teams that will be playing in the playoffs, with the Texans all but assured a spot with the Jets holding down the 6th seed in the AFC with the Steelers breathing down their necks. Have a look at my breakdown of the NFC Playoff and AFC Playoff Pictures.
In a week when players could be rested while other may not have the same intensity, it can be difficult to decide what to bet on. Let’s get into the games I’m putting my money on in NFL Week 17.
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals
The Baltimore Ravens (5-10, 4-9-2 ATS, 7-8 O/U) head into Cincinnati coming off a big upset win over divisional rival Pittsburgh Steelers last week and try to end their season on a high note as spoilers. The Cincinnati Bengals (11-4, 12-2-1 ATS, 7-8 O/U) have already clinched the AFC North Division, but need a win today to get a first-round bye after losing in Denver last week. The bye would be huge for the Bengals, who are hoping to get QB Andy Dalton back from injury.
These two played in Week 3 in Baltimore with the Bengals getting a late 4th quarter touchdown pass from Dalton to A.J. Green to eventually hold on to a 28-24 win. It was a close game by all respects with the Bengals having 458 total yards and the Ravens having 398 and time of possession within 16 seconds of each other.
Expect another close game, one that football odds makers have the Bengals a 9½-point home favorite with the number at 41½. Cincinnati will win, but they won’t cover; take the Ravens +9½.
St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers
This game as nothing on the line except pride as divisional foes St. Louis Rams (7-8, 7-7-1 ATS, 4-11 O/U) and San Francisco 49ers (4-11, 6-9 ATS, 7-8 O/U) meet at Levi’s Stadium in the Bay Area. The Rams come in as a 3-point road favorite with the total set at 38.
The 9ers, a team that has taken the most drastic downturn the NFL has seen in recent years, have lost five of their last 6, losing in Detroit 32-17 last week. The Rams on the other hand have won their last 3 including a huge 23-17 win in Seattle last week. The Rams and 49ers played in St. Louis in Week 8 with the home team coming out on top 27-6.
The Rams are playing great ball recently and this trend will continue as this young team is playing for Jeff Fisher. Running Back Todd Gurley will go off today and the stout Ram defense will hold the 49ers to 10-points or under. Pick the Rams -3.
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
The last game I’m taking, but certainly not least has the Green Bay Packers (10-5, 9-6 ATS, 5-10 O/U) hosting the Minnesota Vikings (10-5, 12-3 ATS, 4-10-1 O/U) at the Frozen Tundra. This game may hold the most weight of any game this week with the division up for grabs. You can read my more in-depth analysis of it in my NFC Playoff Picture article.
The Packers really have been the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde of the NFL this season, looking great one week and terrible the next. After starting the season 6-0, they’ve gone 4-5 since including a 38-8 beating from the Cardinals last week. Minnesota has looked like a team heading in the right direction with wins in their last two games (Chicago and NY Giants) and winning 8 of their last eleven.
These two did meet in Minnesota in Week 11, a game the Packers won 30-13. Experts at America’s Bookie currently have Green Bay a 3-point home favorite with the number at 45½. I like the Pack to cover and the OVER in this one.
The Philadelphia Eagles have no doubt been the surprise of the year in the NFL. Going into this season nobody gave them a chance to make the Super Bowl. Most of the big names in NFL “pick em land” predicted the Giants and Cowboys; look how that ended up. The Seahawks are out, the Rams Read More…
The Patriots just need to show up for this one and it’s a win. With no Carson Wentz, this is over before it begins. Look, all the folks out there the ones that think they know it all, they will tell you for sure that the Eagles will cover the spread. They will lay it Read More…
The NFL playoffs gets underway this weekend with the opening Wild Card Round. Four teams advance to the Divisional Round and the other four go home in the first step towards earning a spot in Super Bowl LII on Sunday, Feb. 4 in Minnesota. Betting trends are always an important part of the overall handicapping Read More…