To Sit or Not To Sit – A Big Question in Week 17

As we near the end of the 2018 regular season, it will be interesting to see what teams decide to rest their starters in Week 17. It will also be quite fascinating to see what teams might play their starters in Week 17.

The Dreaded Slump & How it Affects Your Betting

With a division title secure or a playoff berth cemented, should a team rest certain starters to reduce their likelihood of injury? Or should said starters continue to play for fear of upsetting their rhythm? It’s an interesting thought process and one that may affect future betting habits.

The Partial Sit

In 2009, the Indianapolis Colts took resting players to a new level. After the first drive in the third quarter of their Week 16 game against the New York Jets, the Colts took out Hall of Fame QB Peyton Manning and replaced him with Curtis Painter. The Colts had a 15-10 lead at the time and they were 14-0. One week later, Manning played into the second quarter before being replaced by Painter who recorded a 15.1 passer rating.

Despite the rest, the Colts would go on to advance to the Super Bowl (they lost). The point here is bettors should be wary of teams that may pull a starter in one of the final games of the season. Consider the New Orleans Saints, for example. They are currently 12-2 and have the NFC South wrapped up. Before their Week 16 game, they have not solidified is a first-round bye or home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. A victory over Pittsburgh in Week 16 would change that, and it did. In Week 17, maybe they pull QB Drew Brees after the first quarter. Week 17 bettors beware.

Also Read – Cases for and against NFL teams resting stars in Week 17

The Rust Factor

Last year, Los Angeles Rams head coach Sean McVay decided to rest some of his starters in Week 17. Running back Todd Gurley, QB Jared Goff, and DT Aaron Donald were among those who did not play in a 34-13 loss to San Francisco. The Rams entered the postseason as the No. 3 seed and hosted the Atlanta Falcons.

One week later, the Rams were sent packing in a 26-13 loss to the Falcons. Gurley rushed for 101 yards and Donald had 0.5 sacks and 1.5 tackles for loss, but Goff struggled. It was his first playoff game and it showed. He finished just 24-of-45 and was sacked three times. Did the week off affect Goff’s game? Possibly. As a bettor, be careful. Younger players, especially quarterbacks, may not benefit as much as a veteran – like New England’s Tom Brady or Brees – would in having a week off.

Don’t miss out on all the NFL Playoff betting action, browse our sportsbook reviews

Speaking of the Saints

In 2009 when the Colts sat Manning and many of their starters in Weeks 16 and 17, New Orleans went into its meaningless Week 17 game with Carolina without Brees, Jonathan Vilma, and a few others. The Saints were 13-2 and had the NFC’s top seed locked up.

New Orleans had a bye in the first round of the playoffs and the time off didn’t affect them. The Saints hung 45 points on Arizona. New Orleans scored 31 in the NFC title game win over Minnesota and 31 more in the Super Bowl upset of the Colts.

For Brees, sitting out in Week 17 had no negative effects. While you might bet on Brees after sitting out in Week 17, you might not on Goff or say Chicago QB Mitchell Trubisky. Maybe even Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes.

Rest or don’t rest? It’s a question that is best left to coaches and their respective teams, but bettors should pay close attention, especially this upcoming NFL playoff season.

Related Articles
Horse Racing will round up your Calendar Horse Racing will round up your Calendar

Horse Racing will round up your Calendar

No matter where you go on this great big planet of ours there is one constant, bookies are looking for an edge. Any edge works and even the slightest edge is a bonus. Bookies are looking for something to supplement the bookie business. You may ask, why be a bookie if one must search for Read More…

Online Sports Betting in December Online Sports Betting in December

Online Sports Betting in December

The final month of the year is one of the best for betting on sports at your favorite online sportsbook. The NFL season heads into its final four weeks leading up to this year’s postseason quest to win Super Bowl LIV. It doesn’t get better than online sports betting in December. ARE YOU LOOKING FOR Read More…

Give Thanks For a Full Board of Online Betting Action This Week Give Thanks For a Full Board of Online Betting Action This Week

Give Thanks For a Full Board of Online Betting Action This Week

The Thanksgiving Day Holiday weekend is one of the best times of the year to bet on sports at your favorite online sportsbooks. All the major betting sports are in action with a jam-packed schedule of games. Now it’s time to give thanks for a full board of online betting action this week. Week long Read More…