TNF Free Pick | Jaguars at Titans

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8, 4-6-2 ATS) at Tennessee Titans (6-6, 6-6 ATS)

When: 8:20PM ET, Thursday, December 6th, 2018

Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

TV Coverage: FOX, NFL Network

Current Line: TEN -4.5   Total: 37.5

Current 1st Half Line: TEN -3   Total: 18.5

 

An AFC South matchup gets Week 14 started as the Tennessee Titans host the Jacksonville Jaguars. These two played in Week 3, a 9-6 Titan win in Jacksonville that saw no one reach paydirt and 5 field goals.

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The Jags ended a 7-game losing skid with a 6-0 win over another AFC South rival last week against the Colts. The Titans never led their Week 13 game against the Jets until a Corey Davis TD put them up 26-22 with 36 seconds left, getting them the win and keeping them in the Wild Card race.

Things have gotten so bad offensively for the Jaguars that they benched Blake Bortles in favor of Cody Kessler, a QB that has as many passing touchdowns as he has turnovers. His Jags managed only 211 total yards last week, although the defense held the Colts to 265.

Great Read – Why I like Betting Parlays

The Titans have owned this series recently, with a 7-3 SU record in the last 10. ATS these two are very close in the same timeframe with a 4-4-2 record, with the UNDER 6-4. Looking at the last 3, the Titans are 3-0 both SU and ATS, holding the Jags to an average of 10.67 points in those losses.

I’m having a tough time handicapping this one. My original thought was to hammer the UNDER, but at 37.5, that’s not a safe option to me. Jacksonville have lost their identity, and are nowhere near the team that were up 20-10 on the New England Patriots in the 4th quarter of last year’s Conference Championship.

I know you guys come here for a free pick, but I can’t comfortably offer you one for this Thursday Night matchup. I always wager on these picks, and I won’t be betting on this one tonight.

Gun to the head pick? OVER 37.5

Free pick by Joe Berra

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