This Week in the ATP
I’m sitting here in my house watching David Ferrer play Lucas Pouille in Miami, Florida and I realized how relaxing it is to watch tennis being played at night. It’s kinda like that in the US Open, maybe it’s just me be it seems that time slows down and you can just enjoy a good sporting event and all is right with the world.
Sometimes however you can create your own stress but in very good way, by doing some live tennis betting. Maybe I’m a little partial cuz this is what I used to do for living combined with what I do now for a living but I really think that they are just giving money away. The lines change on every missed serve and I’ve been making money just by combining these 2 skills, (3 if you throw in my psychology degree) by breaking down a player’s tennis game, and looking for good odds, and to me it seems simple.
Take for instance that a player is serving but is down love 30, chances are he is still gonna win the game but sometimes they tweak the odds in the wrong direction, and as I did today. I jumped on Zeballos to beat Verdasco when he was down a set but up a break, but down 15-40 in the game. I got +422 for him to win the match knowing that all he needs to do is win the next 2 points then most likely we go 3 sets and he has the momentum in a coin flip.
So in my mind I’m getting 4-1 on my money in what should be even money. He won the game the set then the match and I got paid very well. It seems rather simple to me, cuz this is what I used to do, notice the big points, try to win them and most likely win the match. In this case I’m looking for the odds to be off slightly, and even if I’m wrong half the time in coin flips, and I’m getting 3 or 4 to 1 on my money in the long run I wind in the black. I truly recommend calling up America’s Bookie and placing some live bets. If you’re smart it will be very profitable.
We will finish up in Miami this week before heading to Europe next week. So far there was a few surprising results as Wawrinka and Nadal are already gone, and Federer was sick so he dropped out as well. The question is were those losses really based on skill or maybe the guys are sick of hard courts, went in the tank and wanted to get over to Europe and practice on clay a week early?
Rafa Nadal wants his Roland Garros title back, Stan Wawrinka wants to defend his and Roger Federer needs the extra work on the slow shit. I don’t know, just a thought. Enjoy the tennis guys, see you next week and promise me you will try some live betting.
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