NFL Preseason Week 3 Essentials
By Tony Mejia
You read in this space last week that the preseason is not only a necessarily evil, but also, that you can profit on it if you invest the preparation time. That opinion hasn’t changed, but those who despise the fact we’re still only halfway through the exhibition schedule got massive amounts of ammunition in Pittsburgh on Sunday.
Green Bay’s top receiver, Jordy Nelson, tore his ACL. Top guard T.J. Lang left with a concussion. The Steelers lost center Maurkice Pouncey for most, if not all of the season, due to a broken fibula. DE Stephon Tuitt limped off with an ankle injury and backup QB Bruce Gradkowski hurt a finger. All of this happened inside of a half. It looked as ugly as it sounds, which is why you’ll hear outrage with the current system all week long.
Owners are stuffing their pockets, sure. We would all be better off with an 18-game regular season. One day, we’ll get it and find something else to complain about. Preseason games aren’t going away any time soon and it’s pointless to campaign for their removal. The injuries are unfortunate. Aaron Rodgers openly complained about how tough it is to lose Nelson in a “meaningless game.” It’s awful, but wouldn’t it be equally as disappointing if it had happened a few weeks from now in the Week 1 of the regular season?
In this case, the system is what it is. Football is what it is. The preseason isn’t exempt from the brutality we all appreciate and wager on.
Watch the second half of preseason action and you’ll see receivers getting blasted going over the middle as they try to field passes they’ll be catching on the practice squad – at best – if they happen to hold on enough. This is how football players make their livelihood. Let’s not feel sorry for anybody, especially given their earning potential. Linebackers and defensive backs are all in search of the big hit that will stand out when coaches review the film. That’s the game. This is the time of year they’ve been waiting for, the opportunity they train all year to try and take advantage of.
Nelson was lost for the season on an innocuous-looking play where he simply cut, lost his balance and had his knee give out. It could’ve happened in practice. It could’ve happened in the playoffs. He was playing football. Threat of injury is part of the job description.
Week 3 of the NFL preseason offers dress rehearsals for all. It’s almost like the 17th regular season game, by far the most important exhibition. We’ll undoubtedly lose a few more players. There won’t be any more of a consolation because it’s happening in a game that’s a tad more meaningful than the first or second preseason game. Here’s how the schedule unfolds:
Saturday, Aug. 29
Pittsburgh at Buffalo: Losing Pouncey is a massive blow, as centers of his caliber are hard to come by. Getting new starter Cody Wallace up to speed at such a key position will now be the main focus of the offense between now and the season opener. Fortunately, he does have experience. Bills head coach Rex Ryan hasn’t announced a starting QB for this one, which is setting up as the final battle before Matt Cassel or Tyrod Taylor is handed the reins.
N.Y. Jets at N.Y. Giants: Snoopy Bowl 2015 features a pair of 1-1 teams that have each seen their share of struggles thus far. Injuries have played a large role in the shaky starts for both MetLife Stadium tenants, so it will be fun to see how they respond in a game that always seems to be competitive since both teams typically want the back page spoils.
Atlanta at Miami: The Falcons haven’t had running backs Davonte Freeman and Tevin Coleman in either preseason game and are hoping those guys can each gain some seasoning in South Florida. QB Ryan Tannehill’s improvement has the Dolphins excited. He’s led the Fins to touchdowns in three of his four drives.
Minnesota at Dallas: After Tony Romo made a cameo in San Francisco on Sunday, he will undoubtedly get his longest in-game workload of the preseason here. Adrian Peterson will sit out another game, but the Vikings have averaged 23 points per game without him as the passing game has looked sharp.
Cleveland at Tampa Bay: Ex-Buc starter Josh McCown is nursing an injured ring finger and backup Johnny Manziel had to cut Sunday’s practice short due to a sore elbow, so this could wind up being a difficult trip for the winless Browns. Rookie starting QB Jameis Winston should get plenty of varied defensive looks to work against, which can only aid his development.
Washington at Baltimore: Remember when we all doubted Joe Flacco? It wasn’t that long ago, so you should. Heck, there are still people who think it’s funny to debate whether the Super Bowl XLVII MVP is an elite quarterback. He plays like one, is paid like one and comes off posting career-highs in passing yards (3,986) and TD throws (27), so the answer is yes. On the other end of the spectrum is Robert Griffin III, who is both polarizing and currently mediocre despite all the hype. Sadly, new Ravens backup Matt Schaub is more accomplished than either or RG III or Kirk Cousins, which has to keep owner Dan Snyder up at night.
Chicago at Cincinnati: After playing at Tampa on Monday night, the Bengals turn right around and host the Bears, so it will be interesting to see how head coach Marvin Lewis treats this game. The Bears’ depth has been impressive so far this preseason, as they’ve outscored opponents 38-0 in the second half of games thanks to the play of their backups. With Jay Cutler scheduled to play into the second half, Chicago is looking for him to lead the team to its first touchdown after coming up empty in the first two games.
Philadelphia at Green Bay: The Packers are reeling from the loss of Nelson and have probably seen enough out of Rodgers that they won’t see the value in exposing him here, but backup Scott Tolzien was also banged up in Pittsburgh, suffering a concussion. Chip Kelly’s desire to see Sam Bradford take more live-action snaps may be dwarfed by the need to keep him healthy and confident, so be sure to monitor this situation.
Indianapolis at St. Louis: Both of these teams have struggled mightily so far, but there’s no panic setting. The Colts will be looking to see how their o-line holds up against the Rams’ primary strength. St. Louis will be looking to get Nick Foles on track after a dreadful start thus far.
Seattle at San Diego: This one is slated for a national broadcast and should be entertaining. The Seahawks have predictably not looked like themselves given the rebuilt offensive line and the absence of Legion of Boom members in the secondary, so 0-2 isn’t a big deal. Pete Carroll will want to see improvement against a Chargers squad that will allow Philip Rivers to participate for the first time since he went 2-for-2 on the opening drive of the team’s preseason.
San Francisco at Denver: QB Peyton Manning wasn’t able to get a rhythm in his debut, coming up empty on four drives while racking up just 67 yards on 19 plays in Houston. Count on him playing into the second half here as he seeks to gain his footing in Gary Kubiak’s new offense. Colin Kaepernick is 4-for-8 for 27 yards in limited action, so the 49ers are looking forward to seeing how he fares with a heavier workload.
THE GRIDIRON GOLD SHEET
CINCINNATI over Chicago by 13
The Bears (2-0) found ways to win this preseason, despite
not having a roster at full strength. As for the Bengals (1-1),
they are looking to right numerous wrongs they had in their
Week 2 loss to the Bucs. With the first strings of both teams
slated to play through most of the game, Cincinnati will get
a good chance to see if their fifth-ranked rushing attack
from LY is still effective. Da Bears have the challenge of
trying to stop Bengals RB’s J Hill and G Bernard with a new
3-4 alignment. A lot of attention will be focused on how
Bears rookie NT Eddie Goldman handles the interior of the
D line. CIN QB Andy Dalton struggled LW and will look to
get on track. Dalton might do so going up against a Bears D
that has yet to solidify their secondary. Offensively for the
Bears, they may be without 3 of their top 4 wide outs due to
injuries. Rookie K White (shin) is already out and Jeffery
(calf) and Wilson (hamstring) may be sidelined. QB Jay
Cutler will have a difficult time managing Chicago’s passing
game, especially while facing a Cincinnati D that was tied
for the third-most interceptions (20) in 2014. This game will
be taken very seriously by both teams. The Bears’ running
game has averaged 159 yards during preseason. With a
depleted receiving corps, I think the Bengals will put more
in the box to stuff the run. Bears are out of the woods and
in the jungle. Bengals roar loud for the hungry home crowd.
Projected Score: Cincinnati 27, Chicago 14
Pittsburgh and BUFFALO UNDER by 10
The Bills have to make a decision about who will be their QB. Rex
Ryan is leaning towards Taylor, but other coaches prefer Cassel .
Also 3 wideouts are fighting for 2 spots and TE Nick O’Leary has
struggled and he’s on the roster bubble. As for the Steelers, they
have a QB battle after losing Gradkowski with a finger injury, so
Landry Jones is projected to be the primary backup but they
added Michael Vick to the roster, and he may get a little time in
the game this Saturday. Offensively, the team has a couple of
promising young receivers out of Boston College who have been
interesting to watch. Shakim Phillips and former quarterbackturned-wideout
Tyler Murphy were both very impressive in the
Steelers’ third preseason game, and they could threaten to make
the team’s active roster. I think Murphy has a shot at being the
team’s sixth receiver, and Phillips could make the team if they part
ways with Darius Heyward-Bey. If not, he is a prime candidate to
make the team’s practice squad. One more thing to keep an eye
on for the Steelers is how life without Maurkice Pouncey will go.
The team should do okay without him as Cody Wallace will be
able to be decent for the line, but they need to make sure that
they have adequate depth behind Wallace. If they don’t, they will
be in trouble. This preseason game is really a make-or-break
game for each team. I think that it will be a close game because
the Steelers have a lot of depth, and they will probably do well
enough to make this one go to the wire. The question is what will
the coaches do this week, it seems that the Jets players have
more to fight for but my lean will be that both defenses come up
big in this early Saturday 1:00 PM start time so I’ll GO UNDER 43.
Projected Score: Buffalo 17, Pittsburgh 16
NEWSLETTER NFL Preseason Prediction From Doc’s Sports
Take ‘Under’ 50.0 Philadelphia at Green Bay (8 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 28) This may be the highest total every posted in preseason action, and we will bite on it with the under. Both teams should have gone under the posted total last week were it not for a late barrage of scoring. I do not expect that to happen tonight, as the first-string defenses will play the entire first half in this contest. I really do not like any of the quarterbacks in this game with the exception of Aaron Rogers, and Green Bay will have to play conservative with him after suffering major injuries last week in Pittsburgh. Take the under in this game and watch your money grow.
NEWSLETTER NFL Preseason Football Prediction From Raphael Esparza
Take ‘Under’ 42.5 San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos (9 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 28)
Ok, it’s no secret that I’m not a big NFL Preseason fan, but wow this total really had me scratching my head. Yes, I know Preseason Week 3 the starters get more playing time and the QB rotation shortens up, but a total of 42.5 seems high to me. Last week the Denver Broncos scored only 14 points against Houston, and we are already hearing that Peyton Manning is not a 100 percent, so I don’t see him playing long. San Francisco defense last week held the Cowboys to only 6 points, and again I see the 49ers defense playing well. Should be a close game, and defense wins this game. I would be shocked to see the winner have more then 21 points on the board.
NEWSLETTER NFL Preseason Prediction From Allen Eastman
Take ‘Under’ 43.0 Indianapolis at St. Louis (8 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 29)
I don’t play many preseason selections. But this one jumped off the page at me. The Colts scored only 11 points last week against Chicago. They are a veteran team, and I don’t think they will play their starters the whole half against the Rams defense. St. Louis gave up 27 points against Tennessee. I know Jeff Fisher is not happy about that. I expect the Rams to work on that this week, and they will be sharper in this one. This is St. Louis’ first home game this season, and I also think they will get a boost from the home crowd. The Rams offense has scored only 17 points in two games, and they still have some issues at quarterback. The Colts don’t, but they won’t risk an injury to their franchise player in this meaningless game. I think that this number should be around 40.5, and I like this game to stay ‘under’ the total. I see this one around 20-10, and I will cash with the ‘under’.
Vikings are top ATS team in preseason
If anything, the Minnesota Vikings have been red-hot in the preseason. Minnesota is 3-0 both straight up and against the spread heading into their clash with the Cowboys.
The Vikes have won by 11 (vs. Pittsburgh), 10 (vs. Tampa Bay) and eight points (vs. Oakland) in their trio of preseason games.
The Vikings will travel to Dallas to face the Cowboys Saturday evening. Books opened the Cowboys as 2.5-point home faves but that is down to -1.
Five To Follow MLB Betting: Saturday, August 29, 2015 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews
If you follow these stories daily, you know I am pretty much obligated to touch on a pitcher’s first start after a no-hitter. And to remind you that just one pitcher in big-league history, Cincinnati’s Johnny Vander Meer in 1938, ever had consecutive no-hitters. Houston’s Mike Fiers no-hit the Dodgers last Friday, striking out 10 and walking three. It was the fifth no-no in the majors this season, along with Seattle’s Hisashi Iwakuma, Philadelphia’s Cole Hamels, San Francisco’s Chris Heston and Washington’s Max Scherzer. Detroit’s Justin Verlander took a no-no into the ninth on Wednesday vs. the Angels but lost it. Houston nearly got no-hit itself the night before Fiers’ start getting just a fifth-inning single against Rays ace Chris Archer. Let’s just say I don’t expect Fiers to join Vander Meer in the record books.
♦ Astros at Twins (+135, 8.5)
How unusual was Fiers’ no-hitter? He had never even had a complete game before; he had only gone eight innings twice. Fiers threw 134 pitches, 21 more than his previous high. That’s why he hasn’t pitched in a week. It was Houston’s first no-hitter since 2003 (that was a combined one at Yankee Stadium) and the 11th in franchise history. Only the Dodgers with 12 have more since Houston’s inaugural 1962 season. Fiers (6-9, 3.63) is 0-1 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts against Minnesota this season. Eduardo Escobar is 2-for-3 with a triple and two RBIs off him. Minnesota’s Mike Pelfrey (6-7, 3.69) lasted only 4.2 innings last time out in Baltimore, allowing nine hits and three runs. Houston’s Jose Altuve is 0-for-2 off him. Jason Castro is 0-for-4 with two strikeouts.
Key trends: Houston is 2-10 in its past 12 on Saturday. The Twins are 1-4 in Pelfrey’s past five vs. teams with a winning record. The “over/under” is 4-0 in Pelfrey’s past four with five days of rest.
Early lean: I think all those pitches will take something out of Fiers, even with extra rest. Twins and over.
♦ Tigers at Blue Jays (-251, 9.5)
This is the earliest-starting game on the schedule (1:07 p.m. ET) and will have live betting at sportsbooks with it being shown on the MLB Network. In recent years, you would see a lot of Tigers fans in Toronto because it’s so close, but the Jays are playing to near capacity now, so that shouldn’t be much the case. Detroit goes with Buck Farmer (0-2, 7.80). He comes off his best outing of the season, going 5.1 innings and allowing three runs in Cincinnati. Farmer took a shutout into the sixth but quickly gave up two homers. Toronto Opening Day starter Drew Hutchison (12-2, 5.06) will be recalled from the minors for this one. He only had one start down there as the Blue Jays didn’t need a No. 5 starter for a bit. Toronto has won his past six starts. But in Detroit on July 3, he was rocked for seven runs and 10 hits in 4.2 innings. Red-hot Miguel Cabrera is 2-for-5 with an RBI off him. Victor Martinez is 4-for-6.
Key trends: The Jays are 5-1 in Hutchinson’s past six vs. teams with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in Farmer’s past six. The over is 5-0 in Hutchinson’s past five vs. the AL Central.
Early lean: Jays and over. I’d probably take Detroit at +100 on runline, though.
♦ Orioles at Rangers (-110, 9)
Keep an eye on the status of Orioles All-Star outfielder Adam Jones here. The team is fortunate he didn’t suffer any broken bones in his wrist when Jones crashed into the outfield wall on Thursday. He also is experiencing minor whiplash. But X-rays were negative, and he doesn’t have a concussion. Still, you’d think he would need at least a few days off. That would be just fine with Rangers lefty starter Martin Perez (1-3, 5.30). He is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in his last four starts. Perez hasn’t faced the Orioles this season. Baltimore counters with Ubaldo Jimenez (9-8, 4.26). He is really starting to slip. Last time out, Jimenez was pelted for seven runs and 10 hits over 5.2 innings in Kansas City. The Rangers’ Adrian Beltre is 9-for-23 with three doubles and two homers off him. Mike Napoli is 4-for-13 with two dingers.
Key trends: The Orioles are 1-6 in Jimenez’s past seven road starts vs. teams with a winning record. Texas is 12-2 in Perez’s past 14 vs. teams with a losing record. The over is 8-2 in Perez’s past 10 against clubs with a losing record.
Early lean: Rangers and over.
♦ Red Sox at Mets (-190, 7)
This also will have live betting at sportsbooks with it nationally televised on Fox Sports 1. New York’s Jacob deGrom had been perhaps the NL’s best pitcher since the All-Star break, but the wheels fell off last time out as he allowed seven runs and eight hits — three homers — at the Phillies. But his offense bailed him out of a loss. DeGrom hasn’t lost since July 2. He has never faced the Red Sox. Hanley Ramirez is 1-for-2 with a homer off him. The Sox will lose the DH in this one. Boston goes with Joe Kelly (7-6, 5.18), who makes his first career start at Citi Field. Kelly was awful most of the season but has been good in his past four, all Red Sox wins, allowing a total of five earned runs. The Mets’ Daniel Murphy is 2-for-3 off him. Michael Cuddyer is 2-for-4.
Key trends: The Sox are 0-5 in Kelly’s past five against teams with a winning record. The Mets are 4-0 in deGrom’s past four against teams with a losing record. The over is 6-1 in deGrom’s past seven against teams with a losing record.
Early lean: Mets and under.
♦ Cubs at Dodgers (+115, 7)
You will not see Dodgers outfielder Yasiel Puig in this game or probably for quite a while. Puig missed five weeks earlier this season with a strained left hamstring. He tweaked his right hamstring last week and then re-injured it Thursday beating out an infield single. A shame because Puig was finally starting to hit, batting .317 with three homers and nine RBIs over his past 11 games. That’s one less concern for Cubs lefty Jon Lester (8-9, 3.44). He dominated the Indians last time out, coming within one out of his first NL complete game. Carl Crawford is 9-for-34 with two RBIs and nine strikeouts career off Lester. The Dodgers’ Mat Latos (4-9, 4.81) had been dropped from the rotation for two weeks because he had been struggling since coming over from Cincinnati. He returns here. Latos pitched at the Cubs on July 5 while with the Reds and allowed just one hit over seven innings. Starlin Castro is 8-for-33 off him. Anthony Rizzo just 2-for-15.
Key trends: The Cubs are 4-1 in Lester’s past five. The under is 7-1 in his past eight vs. teams with a winning record.
Early lean: Cubs and under.
Marlins @ Nationals
Koehler is 0-6, 6.95 in his last six starts (over 4-2).
Zimmerman is 2-3, 4.82 in his last six starts (over 4-1 last five).
Miami lost three of last five games with Washington; over is 5-3-1 in its last eight games. Marlins lost six of last eight games- under is 5-1-1 in last seven. Washington won four of its last six (over 4-1-2 in last seven).
Rockies @ Pirates
Rusin allowed 11 runs in 2+ IP in his last start, after going 1-1, 1.80 in previous three starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight starts.
Happ is 2-0, 0.52 in his last three starts (under 4-0 last four).
Colorado lost five of last seven games with Pittsburgh; home side won ten of last 11 series games. Rockies lost seven of last ten games– five of their last seven went over total. Pirates won nine of last 11 games; four of their last six stayed under.
Padres @ Phillies
Rea is 2-1, 6.14 in his first three MLB starts (over 3-0).
Morgan is 2-2, 5.20 in his last five starts (over 4-0-1 last five home starts)..
Padres lost five of last six games with Philly; over is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. San Diego lost four of last five games; under is 5-1-1 in its last seven. Phillies lost four of last five games; over is 8-2-1 in their last eleven.
Reds @ Brewers
Sampson is 1-1, 8.03 in his last three starts (under 3-2 in MLB starts).
Garza is 0-2, 7.56 in his last three starts.
Reds lost last five games with Milwaukee (over 3-2); Cincy lost 12 of last 13 games (over 5-3 in last eight) overall. Brewers lost four of last five games, over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.
Cubs @ Dodgers
Lester is 4-1, 3.09 in his last seven starts (over 3-1 last four); his last start on road was July 18– his last six were all at Wrigley.
Latos is 0-3, 6.53 in his last four starts; his last three went over.
Cubs are 3-6 in last eight games with LA; last five series games went under total. Chicago won six of last nine games (over 6-4 in last ten). Dodgers won last four games, allowing six runs; six of their last seven stayed under.
Cardinals @ Giants
Lynn is 1-2, 7.43 in his last three starts; under is 5-2- in his last eight
Vogelsong is 2-1, 2.51 in his last three starts (under 2-0-1).
Cardinals lost five of their last seven games with Giants (under 2-1-1 last four); St Louis won five of last six games; over is 5-1-2 in last eight. Giants are 4-5 in last nine games; over is 7-3-2 in their last twelve.
St Louis closer Rosenthal is not in SF this weekend; his wife had a baby and Rosenthal is in St Louis with her.
Tigers @ Blue Jays
Farmer is 0-2, 8.55 in his four starts this year (over 4-0).
Hutchison is 2-0, 1.98 in his last two starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight.
Tigers lost seven of last eight games; seven of their last nine stayed under; Tigers lost seven of last ten games with Toronto (over 7-2 in last nine). Blue Jays won eight of last ten (seven of last nine went over).
Angels @ Indians
Richards is 2-3, 6.21 in his last six starts (over 5-1).
Kluber is 2-1, 2.56 in his last four starts (over 4-2).
Angels won seven of last 11 games with Cleveland; under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Halos lost six of last eight games (over 5-3). Indians won six of last eight games; seven of their last 11 went over the total.
Royals @ Rays
Medlen allowed three runs in six IP (69 PT) in his first ’15 start.
Odorizzi is 0-0, 2.25 in his last two starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
Royals won their last six games with Tampa Bay (over 5-1); KC won six of last seven games- over is 4-2-2 in its last eight. Tampa Bay lost four of its of last five games; five of Rays’ last six games all went over.
Orioles @ Rangers
Jimenez is 0-1, 8.04 in his last three starts (over 6-2 in last eight).
Perez is 0-1, 4.76 in his last three starts (under 3-1 in last four).
Rangers won four of last five games with Baltimore; under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Texas won 10 of last 14 games (under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games). Orioles lost eight of last nine games (under 5-2-1 in last eight).
Mariners @ White Sox
Iwakuma is 3-1, 3.90 in his last four starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine.
Samardzija is 0-5, 9.00 in his last five starts (over 6-1 in last seven).
White Sox won three of last five games with Seattle (over 3-2); Chicago lost four of last six games overall– seven of their last 11 went over. Mariners won four of last six games- five of their last seven games went over total.
Astros @ Twins
Fiers threw a no-hitter in last start eight days ago; he is 1-0, 1.29 in three starts for Houston (over 2-1).
Pelfrey is 1-0, 2.65 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in last four).
Houston is 4-7 in last 11 games with Minnesota (over 6-4 in last ten); Astros won seven of last ten games (over 7-3). Twins won seven of last eight games– three of their last four went over.
Red Sox @ Mets
Boston won last five Kelly starts (3-0, 1.86 in last three; over 5-0-1 in last six).
Mets won last eight deGrom starts (2-0, 2.89 in last six- over 3-1 in last four)
Mets won seven of last eight games, scoring 78 runs; 11 of their last 12 games went over total. NY lost five of last seven games with Boston- six of last ten series games stayed under total. Boston won five of last seven games (over 8-2-1 in last 11). If Ortiz is in lineup (NL park, no DH), Red Sox have a pathetic defensive infield.
Bronx @ Braves
Severino is 1-2, 3.13 in his first four MLB starts (over 2-2).
Wisler is 0-3, 9.13 in his last five starts (over 5-0).
Bronx won six of last eight games with Atlanta; three of last five series tilts stayed under total. NY lost five of last eight games overall; five of last seven went over total. Braves lost ten of last eleven games; five of their last six went over.
A’s @ Diamondbacks
Brooks is 1-1, 6.19 in his three starts this year (over 2-1).
Chacin allowed three runs in 6.1 IP (96 PT) in his first ’15 start.
Oakland lost five of last six games with Arizona; four of last five went over total. A’s lost five of last seven games; their last six went over total. Diamondbacks lost four of last five games; over is 5-2-2 in their last nine.
Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mia-Wsh– Koehler 10-14 (0-6 last 6); Zimmerman 15-11
Col-Pitt– Rusin 4-10; Happ 10-14/3-1
SD-Phil– Rea Morgan 6-5
Cin-Mil– Sampson 2-2; Garza 8-15 (1-5 last 6)
Chi-LA– Lester 14-11; Latos 7-12/1-2
StL-SF– Lynn 14-10; Vogelsong 2-1
Det-Tor– Farmer 0-4; Hutchison 17-7 (6-0 last 6)
LA-Clev– Richards 12-13 (1-6 last 7); Kluber 9-18
KC-TB– Medlen 1-0; Odorizzi 10-11
Balt-Tex– Jimenez 13-12; Perez 4-3
Hst-Min– Fiers 13-11/2-1; Pelfrey 13-11
Sea-Chi– Iwakuma 7-6; Samardzija 11-15 (0-5 last 5)
Bos-NY– Kelly 10-11 (5-0 last 5); deGrom 17-7 (8-0 last 8)
NY-Atl– Severino 1-3; Wisler 6-6 (1-4 last 5)
A’s-Az– Brooks 1-2; Chacin 0-1
Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mia-Wsh– Koehler 5-24; Zimmerman 9-26
Col-Pitt– Rusin 4-14; Happ 9-24
SD-Phil– Rea Morgan 1-11
Cin-Mil– Sampson 2-4; Garza 7-23
Chi-LA– Lester 7-26; Latos 7-19
StL-SF– Lynn 8-24; Vogelsong 1-3
Det-Tor– Farmer 1-4; Hutchison 11-24
LA-Clev– Richards 8-25; Kluber 10-27
KC-TB– Medlen 1-1; Odorizzi 5-21
Balt-Tex– Jimenez 7-25; Perez 1-7
Hst-Min– Fiers 2-24; Pelfrey 3-24
Sea-Chi– Iwakuma 4-13; Samardzija 12-26
Bos-NY– Kelly 10-21; deGrom 7-24
NY-Atl– Severino 2-4; Wisler 6-12
A’s-Az– Brooks 2-3; Chacin 0-1
StL-SF– Seven of last nine Morales games went over.
Mia-Wsh– Underdogs won 11 of last 14 Iassogna games.
Col-Pitt– Home side won seven of last nine Blaser games.
SD-Phil– Three of last four Fletcher games went over.
Cin-Mil– Favorites won last five Bellino games.
Chi-LA– Over is 4-1-1 in last six Fairchild games.
Det-Tor– Home side won 10 of last 13 Gonzalez games.
KC-TB– Home side won last five O’Nora games; last three stayed under
Hst-Min– Five of last six Eddings games went over.
Sea-Chi– Favorites won eight of last nine Timmons games.
LA-Clev– Five of last six Vanover games went over.
Balt-Tex– Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Rackley games.
Bos-NY– Eight of last nine Tumpane games stayed under.
NY-Atl– Six of last eight Estabrook games went over total.
A’s-Az– Six of last eight Barksdale games went over.
NEWSLETTER MLB Baseball Prediction From Strike Point Sports
Take Washington over Miami (7 p.m., Saturday, August 29)
Washington hasn’t made it easy on itself going through a rough stretch and falling behind the Mets in the division, but I think they are turning things around, and having Jordan Zimmerman pitching at home certainly helps. Zimmerman is 5-3 with a 2.68 ERA at home this year, and he has won his last two starts, with his offense providing 15 runs combined in those contests. He has pitched the Marlins tough this year with not much to show for it as he is 0-1 with a 2.84 ERA, but the Nationals won the game he started at home. Tom Koehler will be throwing for the Marlins, who are 21-41 on the road this year. Koehler is 4-8 with a 4.73 ERA on the road this season, and he has allowed 5 earned runs each of the last two times he has faced Washington, taking the loss in both matchups. Miami has lost the last 6 games Koehler has started, and I think they add another win at home where they have gone 33-24 on the year.
NEWSLETTER MLB Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports
Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Seattle at Chicago White Sox (7 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 28)
Two clubs that have been no stranger to the under this season will square off in Chicago on Saturday. The Mariners and White Sox have both had their struggles scoring runs for the better part of the 2015 campaign, and there’s no reason to expect that to change on Saturday. Right-handers Hisashi Iwakuma and Jeff Samardzija will take the mound in this matchup. Both hurlers have had their struggles this season at times, but against two of the weaker lineups in the league I expect their best effort. Neither team has anything to play for in 2015, and we’ve seen some pretty big slumps at the plate for several hitters in both of these lineups lately. This one feels like a 4-2 or 3-2 type of game. Take the under
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
MLB | ST LOUIS at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On – All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL)
107-63 since 1997. ( 62.9% | 43.2 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.7 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets
MLB | KANSAS CITY at TAMPA BAY
KANSAS CITY is 94-49 (+37.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.4)
MLB Betting Cheat Sheet: The Wright Stuff
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend major-league schedule:
The Wright Stuff
David Wright returned to the Mets lineup on Tuesday, and he hit a home run in his first at bat. The Mets have been tearing the cover off the ball, batting a major league best .402 over the last seven days. New York has won seven in a row heading into Friday’s game versus Boston, and there may be no end in sight as their next nine games come against teams with a losing record.
Home of the Braves
Atlanta is not a popular team with the betting public, and more often than not they are an underdog even at home. The Braves have managed to win six of their last 10 home games, and they are 33-26 overall at home this season. They host the Yankees this weekend, and they will most certainly be an underdog in all three games.
Seattle’s Nelson Cruz has seized control of the home run race. His 39 homers so far are four more than Baltimore’s Chris Davis who is second in the majors. Cruz is on a tear in the second half, batting .346 since the All Star Break. The Mariners are in Chicago this weekend, and John Danks will start Game 1, and Cruz is batting .304 with a home run and 4 RBIs lifetime versus Danks.
* Michael Cuddyer got off to a slow start with the Mets, but he’s really picked up the pace since the All Star break. The 36 year old was 7-for-11 with a pair of home runs and six RBIs in a four game series at Philadelphia, and he’s batting .350 in August.
* Mike Trout has only hit one home run in August, and that was three weeks ago. He’s batting just .205 this month, and he may have fallen behind Josh Donaldson in the AL MVP race.
* Mike Fiers pitched a no-hitter against the Dodgers in his last start, and he’s scheduled to go Saturday in Minnesota. He’s faced the Twins twice already this year, pitching well in both games despite a record of 0-1 with a 2.38 ERA.
* Julio Teheran has become quite underrated this year, and his overall numbers (9-6, 4.29 ERA) don’t exactly stand out. He has been dominant at home though, going 7-1 with a 2.55 ERA in 13 starts. He will start Sunday at home against the Yankees.
* The Phillies have been getting crushed lately, losing six of their last seven home games. All seven of those games went over the total, and the Phillies have trended over at a rate of 27-6-4 in their last 37 home games.
* It’s a bit of good news vs. bad news for C.C. Sabathia, as the left-hander has been told he will not require surgery on his injured knee. The bad news is that he may be relegated to the bullpen after going 4-9 with a 5.27 ERA as a starter.
* Adam Jones is banged up after crashing into a wall in Kansas City on Thursday, and his status for Friday’s game remains uncertain.
* Wind will be blowing in from rightfield at around 12 miles per hour in Arlington when the Texas Rangers host the Baltimore Orioles Saturday.
Small chance of thunderstorms in Chicago Saturday
According to weather forecasts, there will be as much as a 48 percent chance of thunderstorms and showers in Chicago as the White Sox host the Seattle Mariners Saturday evening.
There is expected to be around a 30 percent possibility leading up to game time with that increasing to just under 50 percent as the game progresses.
MLB Screen Shot – Saturday
Cardinals @ Giants — Pitching rematch of the August 18th matchup in St. Louis as Lance Lynn will take on Ryan Vogelsong once again. Lynn gave up 2 runs and four hits in 6.2 innings of work. That resulted in a 2-0 loss to San Francisco. Lynn is winless against the Giants in seven career starts, sporting a 5.50 ERA in those games. Ryan Vogelsong got the win in that game after giving up just two hits and one walk in six innings of work. But he has ugly career numbers against the Cardinals; 4.97 ERA in 13 career starts. I lean Over 7 (-110) in this game.
Marlins @ Nationals — Miami’s Tom Koehler has allowed 10 runs and 13 hits in his last 12 innings pitched against Washington. Bryce Harper is 7-for-21 against Koehler with five of those hits being home runs. Washington’s Jordan Zimmermann is 7-4 with a 3.28 ERA in 20 career starts against the Marlins. Miami’s offense is significantly worse without Giancarlo Stanton, so Zimmermann should control the Marlins lineup in this game. Under 7.5 (-120) looks like the best way to play this game.
Cubs @ Dodgers — Jon Lester will get his second look at the Dodgers this season. Lester lost at home back in June after allowing 4 runs and four hits in four innings of work. He walked four batters in that game. The Dodgers’ offense is only hitting .245 while scoring 3.8 runs per game against left-handed starters. LA’s Mat Latos is 7-3 with a 2.76 ERA versus the Cubs in his career. However, I expect Lester to pitch much better in this game, so I lean to the Cubs (-110) on Saturday night.
Astros @ Twins — Houston’s Michael Fiers comes into this game in Minnesota off a no-hitter eight days ago. This will be the righty’s third start against the Twins this season; he has given up 3 runs and 11 hits in 11.1 innings of work. Mike Pelfrey is 4-2 with a 1.97 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in eleven home starts this season. The Twins (+130) are a live underdog in this game, especially since I’m always looking to fade pitchers coming off a rare event like a no-hitter.
Game of the Day: Stampeders at Blue Bombers
♠ Calgary Stampeders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+5.5, 49.5)
The Calgary Stampeders look to win their fourth consecutive game when they travel to Winnipeg to tangle with the Blue Bombers on Saturday. The Stampeders are starting to flex their muscles as they downed the Saskatchewan Roughriders 34-31 to move two points clear of the Edmonton Eskimos in the race for first place in the West Division.
Calgary has dominated the Blue Bombers by winning 11 of the past 12 meetings, including the last five contests on the road and a 26-25 home victory in Week 4. Winnipeg looks to halt a two-game losing skid after letting a fourth-quarter lead slip away in the 27-20 setback to the Toronto Argonauts on Aug. 14. The Blue Bombers have dropped four of their last five games and are tied with the BC Lions in the battle for the final playoff spot in the West Division. Robert Marve looked fairly sharp in his CFL debut and has been given the starting nod once again ahead of Brian Brohm as he hopes to lead Winnipeg past Calgary at home for the first time since July 10, 2009.
TV: 6 p.m. ET, TSN
LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Bombers as 6-point home dogs, but that is now +5.5. The total opened at 50 and is down to 49.5.
INJURY REPORT: Blue Bombers – RB Paris Cotton (Questionable, arm), WR Darvin Adams (Questionable, upper body).
ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (6-2 SU, 1-7 ATS, 3-5 O/U): Bo Levi Mitchell is enjoying his best stretch of the year as he’s thrown for 875 yards and accounted for nine total touchdowns during Calgary’s winning streak, including 303 yards and three scores against the Roughriders. Eric Rogers had seven receptions for a game-high 105 yards and caught a 46-yard Hail Mary pass at the end of the first half against Saskatchewan to record his sixth touchdown in his last six games. “I didn’t know if Bo’s arm was strong enough to get it there,” Rogers joked with reporters. “I just happened to get my hands on it and they didn’t jump and I did.”
ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS, 2-6 O/U): Marve completed 18-of-29 passes for 203 yards and a touchdown while running back Cameron Marshall finished with 139 yards from scrimmage and a score filling in for the injured Paris Cotton. Linebacker Jasper Simmons, who was granted his release by Calgary last week after his agent attacked the team on social media, was added to Winnipeg’s practice roster. “You know I just want a fresh start and I want to contribute now,” Simmons told reporters. “People can criticize me for what happened in Calgary but every person on the field wants to play.”
* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Winnipeg.
* Under is 6-0 in Blue Bombers last six games overall.
* Stampeders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Stampeders last six road games.
CONSENSUS: Fifty-nine percent are backing the Stampeders.
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
CFL | CALGARY at WINNIPEG
Play On – Home underdogs or pick (WINNIPEG) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in weeks 10 through 15
72-34 since 1997. ( 67.9% | 34.6 units )
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
WNBA | NEW YORK at CONNECTICUT
Play Against – Any team (CONNECTICUT) average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) against an good defensive team (38-40.5%) after 15+ games, after a game – allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
WNBA | CHICAGO at ATLANTA
Play On – Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) excellent free throw shooting team (>=80%) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games
64-33 since 1997. ( 66.0% | 0.0 units )
10-3 this year. ( 76.9% | 0.0 units )
WNBA | NEW YORK at CONNECTICUT
Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
NEWSLETTER College Football Futures Prediction From Robert Ferringo
Take West Virginia ‘Over’ 7.5 Wins (NCAAF Futures)
I also like the Mountaineers a bit this season. I think Dana Holgorsen’s team was better than its 7-6 record showed last season. And I expect them to continue to improve as I love the athleticism they bring to the table. With the exception of a road loss at Texas, all of WVU’s losses came against teams ranked in the Top 12 at the time, including competitive losses to Top 5 teams Alabama and TCU. This year the WVU defense should be even better thanks to nine returning starters and four three-year starters. Holgorsen’s teams always score points, and I think they will be able to replace the mediocre production that Clint Trickett provided. WVU should get off to a 3-0 start with east. And in November they have three of four at home, with the lone road game at pathetic Kansas. That means WVU merely has to pull one upset in its remaining five games to beat this number. I think that’s exactly what they will do as the Mountaineers have pulled an upset over a Top-10 team (ranked that way at the time) in three straight seasons. Two of those upsets were on the road, and this is a team that almost no one sees coming. WVU’s turnover differential is in a range that suggests a bounce-back effort this year, and if they get decent quarterback play they could be a spoiler in the Big 12.
Premier League betting preview: Manchester United out for revenge against Swansea
By SOCCER AUTHORITY
The next round of Premier League fixtures is almost upon us. Soccer Authority breaks down what you need to know.
Newcastle (+500) Draw (+333) Arsenal (-150)
There’s no reason to believe Arsenal won’t take maximum points on Saturday. The Gunners have a fantastic record against “Bottom 6” teams away from home.
Arsenal also lead the league (last 20 games) in the ‘Team to score first’ category. Arsenal have found the back of the net first in 14 of their last 20 games.
Newcastle, meanwhile, are yet to win a game in the Premier League this season (Drawn 2, Lost 1).
Key Stat: Arsenal have scored an average of 2.3 goals against Newcastle (last 15 games)
Injuries & Suspensions: Arsenal – Wilshere, Welbeck, Rosicky, Mertesacker (questionable). Newcastle – Sissoko (questionable)
Chelsea (-250) Draw (+420) Crystal Palace (+1000)
There’s no question that Chelsea’s defense is not what it was last season. The Londoners rank among the worst defenses in the Premier League with seven goals conceded in three games.
Crystal Palace pose a real threat to Chelsea this Saturday. The Eagles have already notched up two wins from their first three games with wins over Norwich and Aston Villa.
Key Stat: Crystal Palace have beaten Chelsea only once in the last 24 years (16 games)
Injuries & Suspensions: Chelsea – John Terry, Oscar. Crystal Palace – Mile Jedinak, Wickham (questionable)
Manchester City (-400) Draw (+650) Watford (+1400)
As the odds suggest, this game should be very one-sided. Man City have a fantastic record of 13 wins from 14 games against newly promoted teams and have won seven of their last eight home games ‘To Nil’ (Without conceding a goal).
Key stat: Watford have failed to score a goal in their last 247 minutes of soccer (All competitions)
Those of you who can bet on Manchester City ‘To win to Nil’ should take advantage (+110) on most books.
Injuries & Suspensions: Manchester City – Fernando, Pablo Zabaleta. Watford – Miguel Britos, Lloyd Doyley
Swansea (+270) Draw (+250) Manchester United (+125)
Manchester United are fresh off a 7-1 aggregate win over Club Brugge in the Champions League and their talisman Wayne Rooney got off the mark for the season with a hat-trick so confidence is sky high.
However, Swansea have caused Man United a lot of problems recently. Last season the Swans took six points with a 2-1 win in Old Trafford and another 2-1 victory in Liberty Stadium.
Key Stat: Manchester United have kept a clean sheet (shut-out) in their last four Premier League games.
Injuries & Suspension: Swansea – None. Manchester United – Phil Jones, Marcos Rojo (Doubtful)
SIMON – “SOCCER GUY”
ENGLAND – CHAMPIONSHIP – (UNDER 2.5 -105) READING FC @ BRENTFORD FC (10AM)
ENGLAND – PREMIER LEAGUE – (OVER 3.5 -103) WATFORD FC @ MANCHESTER CITY (10AM)
SWITZERLAND – AXPO SUPERLEAGUE – (OVER 3 -127) FC LUZERN@ FC LUGANO (1145AM)
BELGIUM – JUPILER LEAGUE – (UNDER 2.5 +115) YELLOW RED KV MECHELEN @ KAA GENT (230PM)
SOCCER BETTING MASTERS
Two games for Saturday from England Premier League.
Liverpool and Chelsea to win.
SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS
Risk 4.00 to win 3.57  St. Louis Cardinals -112 vs San Francisco Giants
Risk 3.00 to win 3.12  Kansas City Royals +104 vs Tampa Bay Rays
Risk 2.00 to win 1.67  New York Giants -120 vs New York Jets
Risk 2.00 to win 1.90  Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 -105 vs Cleveland Browns
Risk 3.00 to win 2.78  Chicago Cubs -108 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
NFL Preseason Game of Year —– CLEVELAND BROWNS
GP FROM VEGAS
Packers vsv Eagles – Under 47.5 -110
12-4 in NFL so far: NFL Pre season Sat
100 DIME – NEW YORK CREW – TORONTO BLUEJAYS RL -1.5
(list Hutchinson & Farmer)
10 Star Cincinnati Bengals -3.5
Chicago Cubs -109 over LA Dodgers
(System Record: 68-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 68-65-3
Connecticut Sun +6 over New York Liberty
(System Record: 24-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 24-23-4
Temperley + Quilmes – UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 807-26, lost last game)
Overall Record: 807-657-125
Here are the rest of his baseball and basketball plays for today…
San Francisco Giants + St. Louis Cardinals – OVER 7
Texas Rangers -106 over Baltimore Orioles
Oakland A’s + Arizona Dbacks – OVER 8.5
ALAN HARRIS – CFL
6-Unit Play. Take #287 Calgary Stampeders -225 over Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6:05 PM, Saturday, August 30)
Bucs -2.5 over Browns
The Browns have a 36 year old Josh McCown as their starting QB this year. There is no QB controversy so you really have to protect this guy. Johnny Football is going to be shut down for the rest of the preseason so it is likely the Browns get to their #3 QB while Tampa is still on their #2 in Mike Glennon. Glennon is a very capable QB that should be a starter in this league. The Browns Secondary has been a mess this preseason with more injuries than you can count. Coach Lovie Smith pushes his players hard in the preseason. This is a coach that is trying to change the culture down in Tampa. Tampa cares more about this game today and after losing so many games at home last year a win tonight will sit well with fans heading into the regular season. Take the Bucs.
Mariners +105 over White Sox
Jeff Samardzija has been struggling and sometimes you just have to pick on certain pitchers and take advantage. This is a guy that has been giving up a ton of hits as of late. Hisashi Iwakuma has been a better pitcher on the road this year with an ERA just under 3 runs. Iwakuma is the fresher of the two starters and should lead his team to a win tonight. Take Seattle.
50 Dime – Vikings vs Cowboys – Under 43
The Vikings defense has been looking money this year. The Vikings have only allowed 31 points overall in 3 games this year. Today they will face the struggling Cowboys, who have only scored 13 points this year. The Cowboys defense is tough, and is rated #1 currently. This total is way overvalued, especially when you can read between the lines.
TV Steamroller – PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
10* Seattle Seahawks -1.5
BIG AL MCMORDIE
86% ATS NFLX GOW! —- CLEVELAND BROWNS+3
Aug 29 ’15, 8:00 PM in 9h
NFLX | Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers
10* Play on: Philadelphia Eagles -4½ -120
This preseason NFL game has the Eagles at the Packers. Now normally I would stay away from such a heavily played public game but with Aaron Rodgers out and the 4 QB’s the Eagles have all being better then what will start for the Packers it’s hard not to back the Eagles as this game has blowout written all over it. Packers are going with these 3 QB’S in Scott Tolzien,Matt Blanchard and rookie Brett Hundley. This game should be a easy win as Bradford should play the first half along with the other Eagles starters. Take the Eagles minus the points for a nice 10* winner.
Saturday’s NFL Week 3 Preseason Betting Primer
The third week of the NFL preseason continues with a whopping 11 games on the board Saturday. With so many preseason games on the schedule and camp injuries claiming plenty of players already, it can be hard to stay on top of the action.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills (-2.5, 42.5)
* With Martavis Bryant out for the first four games of the regular season, the role of WR2 now falls to Markus Wheaton. Expect quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and Wheaton to keep working together to give Wheaton a bit of a confidence boost heading into Week 1.
* The Bills will start EJ Manuel under center Saturday. This adds a little more speculation to who will actually be the Bills’ No. 1 quarterback to begin the season. Manuel played well in the Bills’ second preseason game against the Cleveland Browns, completing nine of 14 passes for 11 yards.
Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins (-4, 43.5)
* Atlanta Falcons rookie running back Tevin Coleman will make his debut versus the Miami Dolphins Saturday. Coleman, a third-round pick in this year’s draft, has missed the first two games due to a hamstring injury. Devonta Freeman’s status is unknown.
* The third week of the NFL preseason is widely used as a “dress rehearsal” for the starters and things are no different in Miami. The starters are expected to play the entire first half, including quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill has completed 81 percent of his passes thus far in the preseason, but the Fish are 0-2 SU (1-1 ATS).
Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5, 41)
* Cleveland Browns quarterback Johnny Manziel will sit out the final two games of the preseason to heal his sore right elbow. This limits the Browns to two healthy quarterbacks in Josh McCown and Thad Lewis.
* Bucs QB Jameis Winston showed progress in the second preseason game and will get his most playing time tonight. Winston was eight of 13 for 90 yards and registered a rushing touchdown in Tampa’s 25-11 win over the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 2. The Bucs covered as 2.5-point home faves.
Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys (-1, 42)
* If anything the Vikings have been red-hot in the preseason. Minnesota is 3-0 both straight up and against the spread heading into their clash with the Cowboys. The Vikes have won by 11 (vs. Pittsburgh), 10 (vs. Tampa Bay) and eight points (vs. Oakland) in their trio of preseason games.
* Cowboys wide receiver Dez Bryant will not play versus the Vikings and is likely to sit out for the remainder of the preseason, according to Jerry Jones. “I’m not so sure we’re satisfied that it’s necessary for him to extend that [hamstring] that he’s got, since he did extend it with probably a suddenness that had he probably been out there for longer periods of time, he might not have had that happen,” Jones said on his radio show on 105.3 The Fan Friday morning. “Let’s give him the rest. We don’t have to have him [Saturday] night. That’s the way I would look at it, and do look at it.”
New York Jets at New York Giants (-1.5, 42)
* The Jets and Giants meet every summer since 1969 and while the Jets hold the edge (24-21-1 SU), they are really hot when billed as the “away” team. The two teams have played in the same stadium since 1984 and the Jets have won the previous four meetings and eight of the last nine when they’ve been in the role of the visiting team as they are Saturday.
* Despite the above the stat, the Giants are the top pick on Saturday’s NFL board with just under 69 percent of the support from users according to Covers Consensus. Click here to check out the latest.
Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5, 42)
* Bears wide receiver Alshon Jeffery has remained “day-to-day” and his status for Saturday’s meeting with the Bengals is up in the air. Jeffery hasn’t practiced since Aug. 12 as he nurses a calf injury. He’s not the only WR banged up, however, as Kevin White (leg) is on the PUP list and Marquess Wilson (hamstring) and Eddie Royal (hip) also have knocks.
* There hasn’t been a ton of offensive fireworks in Bengals games in the preseason. The Under has cashed in both of Cincy’s preseason matchups as they defeated the Giants 23-10 (Under 37) and lost the Bucs 25-11 (Under 40) in weeks one and two respectively.
Washington Redskins at Baltimore Ravens (-4, 43.5)
* The Redskins had announced Thursday that RGIII, who was diagnosed with a shoulder stinger and concussion after repeated hits at Detroit last week, was cleared to play in the Redskins’ preseason game Saturday in Baltimore. However, Dr. Robert Kurtzke said Friday in a statement: “Upon further scrutiny today of the neuropsychology data, I agree with the neuropsychologist that he should be held from game play this weekend and be retested in one to two weeks before a firm conclusion to return to game play can be made.”
* Points have been plentiful in Ravens games this season as the Over has cashed in both of their contests. The Raves defeated the New Orleans Saints 30-27 (Over 38) in Week 1 and were thumped by the Philadelphia Eagles 40-17 (Over 44.5) in Week 2.
Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers (+2.5, 42)
* Multiple Seahawks players battling injury could return for Saturday’s game as Richard Sherman (hip), Marcus Burley (groin), Will Blackmon (groin), Bruce Irvin (concussion protocol) and Jesse Williams (illness) could suit up. Safety Earl Thomas (shoulder) remains out and is prepping for a Week 1 return.
* Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers sat out Week 2 meeting with the Arizona Cardinals, but head coach Mike McCoy confirmed that his QB would play versus the Seahawks Saturday.
Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (+6, 47.5)
* The Eagles have been the highest-scoring team in the preseason by a wide margin. The Eagles have put up 76 points in two games while opponents have managed just 27. The Over has cashed in both Eagles games by 5.5 and 12.5 points in Weeks 1 and 2 respectively.
* It looks as if Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers will not play versus the Eagles. The offensive line is not 100 percent and Rodgers says that he is happy with that work that’s been done with the No. 1 offense and he should be ready to go in Week 1.
Indianapolis Colts at St. Louis Rams (-2.5, 42.5)
* If you’re a Colts bettor and you’ve backed them in the first two preseason games, you’ve been left disappointed. The Colts are 0-2 both straight up and against the spread following losses to the Eagles (326-10, +4.5) and Bears (23-11, -3.5).
* The Rams’ offensive line still has a lot of work and the players know it. “We want to do well and we want to clean up a lot of mistakes we’ve made,” Barrett Jones, who is competing for the starting center job, said. “We feel like we’ve shot ourselves in the foot too many times — too many penalties and mental errors. But at the same time we’re not putting too much pressure on it. We know we’ve still got time to fix everything that we’ve done wrong, so we’re excited about it. We’re looking forward to hopefully getting out there and putting up a good showing.”
San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos (-5, 42.5)
* 49ers’ starting linebacker Ahmad Brooks was sent home this week following his misdemeanor sexual battery charges. Linebacker NaVorro Bowman commented simply, “That’s a big loss for us.” Corey Lemonier appears to be the starter now.
* The Broncos are one of six teams that remain unbeaten both straight up and against the spread in the preseason. Denver is 2-0 SU and ATS following a 22-20 win at the Seattle Seahawks as 4.5-point dogs and a 14-10 win at the Houston Texans as 2.5-point pups.
Dallas Cowboys Pick’em (-120)
Game 3 of the pre-season is always the “dress rehearsal” for the regular season. The starters usually play close to a full 3 quarters before playing very little if at all in the final game of the pre-season. The Cowboys have looked putrid in their first 2 games scoring a total of 13 points. On the flip side, Minnesota is a perfect 3-0 however two of those wins have come against Tampa & Oakland, two of the worst teams in the NFL last season. That sets this one up very nicely for Dallas. The Cowboys have shown no urgency to win either of their first two games. Tony Romo has thrown a total of ONE pass in the pre-season so expect him to get lots of work Saturday. Dallas head man Jason Garrett was very upset with their most recent performance and made that clear after the game. Romo also chimed in and stated, “If this team is going to improve it needs to understand that next week (vs Minnesota) is very important.” I think we can expect Dallas to play much better in their home opener on Saturday. Because of the polar opposite performances so far in the pre-season, we are now getting Dallas at less than a FG at home. With the starters on each side playing well into the 2nd half, Dallas is the better team. They were a Dez Bryant “over turn” catch call from playing Seattle in the NFC Championship game. We realize that Minnesota has not lost a pre-season game under Mike Zimmer (7-0), however this game has now become very important for the Cowboys and they will do everything they can to win this game. We’ll grab them at a low number.
DAVE SCANDALIATO – NFLx
PITTSBURGH STEELERS +2.5 on the road versus Buffalo Bills.
ATLANTA FALCONS +4 on the road versus the Miami Dolphins.
CLEVELAND BROWNS +2.5 on the road at Tama Bay Bucs.
H&H Sports – NFLx
3* Vikings +1.5
2* Seahawks -150
1* NY Giants -125
(2*) OVER 8
2* Seattle vs CWS – Over 7.5
10* Week 3 Personal Favorite! (NFLX = 70% L2 YEARS!)
Play on: Dallas Cowboys -1 -125
spartan | MLB Total Sat, 08/29/15 – 7:10 PM
dime bet – 972 CLE / 971 ANA – UNDER 7.5
MLB Game: Boston Red Sox (975) @ New York Mets (976)
Time: Saturday 08/29 4:05 PM Eastern
Pick: New York -1.5 (+115) at Americasbookie
The New York Mets are closing in on a division title while the last-place Red Sox wind up a lost, disappointing campaign. Despite a surprise win yesterday the Red Sox are 6-13 in their last 19 road games. Red Sox starter Joe Kelly (5.18 ERA) has been up and down (mostly down) all year, especially on the road with a 5.20 ERA. The Red Sox are 0-5 in his last five starts vs. a team with a winning record. Boston is terrible defensively in the field and the relief staff is worse. They face a New York squad that has already established a club record with 43 home runs in August and set a franchise mark with a total of 73 runs over the final seven games of their road trip – all wins. The Mets are on an 8-2 run, with seven of those wins by 2 or more runs. In fact, 11 of their last 12 wins have been by more than two runs. Boston has not seen Mets starter Jacob deGrom (12-6, 2.29 ERA), who is 6-2 with a 1.46 ERA in 12 home starts this season. Take the NY Mets on the runline.
Shinoba Sports Consulting
LA Angels/Cleveland Indians – Over 7.5 runs
Texas Rangers -105 over Baltimore Orioles
NYC Insider – jets vs giants – Over 41.5
10,000 Unit MLB Lock
Milwaukee Brewers -135 over Cincinnati
100* NFLx – Dolphins -3.5
100* MLB – Padres -115
100* MLB – Tigers / Blue Jays – Over 9.5
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER – NFLx
1 Unit Play. Baltimore -4 over Washington
Should see a much better defensive game from the Baltimore Ravens Saturday night as last weekend the Eagles ran all over Baltimore. Baltimore is 1-1 in Preseason and if they can get an early lead we should see them having no problem against Washington at home.
DOC SPORTS – NFLx
1 Unit Play. Take Miami Dolphins -3.5 over Atlanta Falcons
The Dolphins have jumped out to big leads in both of their NFL Preseason games yet sit at 0-2. Atlanta has very weak quarterbacks behind Matt Ryan, and that will be their undoing in this game. Joe Philbin has a terrible preseason record, but he went all out to beat Dallas last year in Week 3, and expect a similar showing in this game. The combination of Ryan Tannehill and Matt Moore will allow Miami to get a lead and hang onto it this time!
20* (2 unit) Seahawks -1 Opened +1.5 Now -3
10* (1 unit) Philly -4 Opened GB pick Pinny now -6, -6.5
*WISEGUY Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5
*WISEGUY Chicago Cubs -105
*WISEGUY Houston Astros -130
10* CFL GAME OF THE MONTH (2-0 “G.O.M.” RUN!)
Play on: Calgary Stampeders -5 -110
VERNON CROY – CFL
8-Unit Play. Take the #287 Calgary -5 over Winnipeg (Saturday, August, 29 at 6:05 PM ET)
Play the Calgary Stampeders -5 over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers as my one and only 8-Unit CFL Game of the Year that goes Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top CFL systems this line is off big time Saturday. The Stamps beat the Bombers when they met in Week 4 by a score of 26-25 however the Bombers had Drew Willy under center and he is out for another fews weeks. The Bombers have dropped 4 of their last 5 games and without a reliable consistent quarterback they will not be able to play catch-up in this game against a Bo Levi Mitchell ran offense that has put up an average of 41 ppg over their last 2 games since their bye week. The Blue Bombers are just 3-12-3 ATS in their last 18 games when playing a team that has a winning record, while the Stamps have generally always been a covering machine during the month of August, going 14-5 ATS in their last 19 August games. Quarterback play is #1 in the CFL when you only have 3 downs and without Drew Willy the Bombers get blown out big time at home Saturday. The Bombers backup Robert Marve has 2 INTS and just 1 TD this season and yes he has had the extra week to prepare but he belongs as a third string QB on most teams in the CFL. Converting gimmick plays are the only way the Bombers keep this game close. Play the Calgary Stampeders -5 with extreme confidence.
7 Unit Total Play · Over –  San Francisco 49ERS vs.  Denver Broncos
Pay Day Sports Sat Aug 29th, 2015 9:00pm EDT
Dave Essler | MLB Total – Saturday, Aug 29 2015 7:10PM
977 NYY / 978 ATL – OVER 7.5 – triple-dime bet
Analysis: We’re getting a great number because of the ballpark as well as Severino. However, he’s (Severino) thrown 104 and 107 pitches in his last two games, respectively. Let’s not forget the kid is 21 years old, and that’s just a ton of pitches. He’s had some control i Àssues here and there, walking a few, and not lasting past the 6th inning. New York’s pen hasn’t been light’s out – and it’s very humid in Atlanta right now, so I do expect the Braves to contribute here. Wisler has simply been getting hammered and he’s got a 1.59 WHIP this season – so part of me wonders how the Yankees don’t get most if not all, of these runs. We’ve got a great umpire for runs, too. Mike Estabrook’s games have been sailing over. The Braves bullpen was chewed up Friday night. There’s not a lot more to this one.
MLB – KANSAS CITY ROYALS ML
MLB SATURDAY TRIPLE STAR BLOCKBUSTER! — KANSAS CITY ROYALS(+102)
1* 953 MIA (+219) vs 954 WAS
1* 972 CLE / 971 ANA – UNDER 7.5
ATSWINS LOCK CLUB
15* Philadelphia Eagles -5.5
5* Tampa Bay Buccaneers-2.5
-9.9 units since Mon.
Sebastian Sports Picks
1000* Private Play — Philadelphia Eagles
300* TB Bucs
700* Private Play Cubs
300* NYY RL
200* NYM RL
200* Toronto RL
Aug 29 ’15, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | North Dakota State vs Montana
1* Play on: Total 48 Over-110
Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach 1* Free Pick on OVER 48 in Montana vs North Dakota State @ 3:30 ET Saturday, August 29th – While it is true this is “only” an FCS match-up, the fact is it still the opening game of the College Football season and it truly does involve two of the most prominent teams in the FCS. The key to this play on the over Saturday is the changes each team has undertaken coming into the season coupled with the fact that the weather should be perfect for execution on offense as neither wind nor rain is expected to be a factor on a warm and sunny afternoon in Missoula, Montana. Back to those keys to the team changes for this season: North Dakota State’s offense should be firing on all cylinders out of the gate but they return on four starters on defense as they enter this season. This is a big concern because the Bison are facing a Grizzlies team that is fully expected to push the tempo on offense with a new head coach at the helm. Bob Stitt makes his debut for Montana today and he’s installed a fast-paced offense for the Grizzlies that is focused on running as many plays as possible in a game. Montana will play at a frenetic pace and they’ve got the wide receiver talent to do just that with some key returning stalwarts returning at the wideout positions and very excited to be a part of this new offense which will result in even more opportunities for them. The Grizzlies will couple the advantage of this new offense againt an inexperience defense to score plenty in this game. But of course the Bison are a two TD favorite in this one for a reason. They are led by star QB Carson Wentz and with all of the returning firepower he has, North Dakota State is going to be a very dangerous offense to contend with this season. The Bison are going for their 5th straight championship at the FCS level and Wentz and company will light up the scoreboard this afternoon. Play OVER 48 in Montana as a 1* Free Pick Saturday.
DOC SPORTS INVESTORS
#977 Take New York Yankees/Atlanta – OVER 7.5 Runs (Total Runs Scored)
#979 Take Oakland +130 over Arizona (Money Line Bet)
#961 Take Chicago Cubs -110 over LA Dodgers (Money Line Bet)
94-69 (57.7%) and up +15.85 units.
ALAN HARRIS – MLB
8* Chicago Cubs ML
INDIAN COWBOY – MLB
7* Baltimore Orioles ML
2 units Cardinals/Giants OVER 7
20* Cincinnati Bengals -3.5
Exodus to Black – MLB
Pittsburgh – Over 7.5
San Diego – Over 8
Scott Matthews – MLB
SF Giants ML -107
NFLx PARLAY CRUSHER! — PHILADELPHIA EAGLES & UNDER
NORTHCOAST SPORTS LATE PHONES
3*MINNESOTA +1’ over Dallas 7:00 pm et
3*SEATTLE -2’ over San Diego 8:00 pm et
3*BALTIMORE -4 over Washington 8:00 pm et
Saturday Marquee – OVER 48 in North Dakota St – Montana
Jim Feist Elite Play
UNDER 47.5 Eagles
OVER 42 – washington
Top play – Chicago Bears+4
5* UNDER 41. – Dallas
4* SD + 3
4* NYJ +2
3* Pitt +3
3* Minn +1
40 DIME – UNDER – CLEVELAND BROWNS vs TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
POWER PLAY WINS
POWER PLAY OF THE DAY – PITTSBURGH PIRATES -1.5 RUNLINE (HAPP)
PINNACLE —- DALLAS COWBOYS
Super PICK — Arizona Diamondbacks -140
Gold Key NFLX Saturday UNDERDOG — Minnesota Vikings +1.5
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER – MLB
7* Washington Nationals RL -1.5
ULTRA SPORTS – NFLX
273 Indianapolis Colts +2′
265 Cleveland Browns +2′
263 Minnesota Vikings +2
BETTING AS A BUSINESS
CWS (Samardzija) -105 / Seattle (Iwakuma) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON Chicago WS)
RIVER CITY SHARPS – MLB
San Francisco Giants (+100)
Mets – TT Over 4 (-130)
Tampa Bay Rays (-110)
Rockies/Pirates – Over 7.5 (-110)
Seattle Mariners (-105)
Over 38.5 – cleveland vs tampa bay
NY Jets +2
Over 8 – houston vs minnesota
SEATTLE (-2.5) over San Diego
8 p.m. ET
Seattle Head Coach Pete Carroll is renowned for his desire to win preseason games, as seen by his 25-11 ATS record entering this season. But the Seahawks brass gave extended rest to their starters in the first two preseason games this year. The first-team offense has barely played a couple series’ together and the defense was missing 11 secondary players last week vs. KC. The result has the team 0-2, both straight-up and ATS this preseason. Expect all of that to change tonight as Seattle is scheduled to play most of its starters into the third quarter. The Bolts, meanwhile, are 2-0 this preseason and won’t have the same kind of urgency to perform. Lay the short number.
Top Plays – Dolphins -5, Bears/Bengals Over 40.5
Regular Plays – Bucs ML, Packers +7
Top Plays – Seahawks ML, Broncos/49ers Under 41.5
Regular Plays – Steelers +3.5, Giants ML, Dolphins -5
WE PICK SPORTS – MLB
San Diego (-125) 3* 7:05 ET
Minnesota (+115) 5* 7:10 ET
SB Professor Original MLB Picks
San Francisco +123
Cleveland -145 5* 7:10 Eastern
Rockys Winners Circle
Game of the Year! — Packers / Eagles – OVER
10* Denver Broncos
80 Dime selection is Vikings over the Cowboys.
The current line on this game is +1 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
400♦ Cincinnati / Milwaukee – Over 8.5
Brewers ML $250 (-132)
Mariners ML $500 (-105)
Yankees/Braves 1st 5 Under 4 $500 (-110)
Diamondbacks ML $1000 (-138)
Double Dime – Cleveland/Tampa Bay – Under 41
Double Dime – Philadelphia/Green Bay – Under 49
Single Dime – Philadelphia Eagles -160 ……… -265 Now
80 DIME – NEW YORK YANKEES RL-1.5
GP FROM VEGAS – MLB
Blue Jays – TT Over 5.5 -110
Orioles/Rangers – F5 Over 5 -105
Brewers/Reds – F5 Over 4.5 -105
Mariners/White Sox – Over 7.5 -115
Cubs – TT Over 3.5 -110
Packers/Eagles Under 47.5 -110
JLB SPORTS INFO
$200 *NFL* NY JETS -ML (+110)
Vinny The Gambler
NY YANKEES -RL -1.5 -120
100* NFLX Underdog Game of the Year!! — CHICAGO BEARS
Larry Ness’ 10* Situational Stunner-NFLX Week 3
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the StL Rams at 8:00 ET.
The Colts and Rams are both 0-2 and neither team has looked good doing it. Frank Gore’s debut with the Colts in Week 2 consisted of just TWO carries and it’s not expected that the team’s key FA signee is likely to have a featured role in this game, either. Yes, Andrew Luck will see more action that in the first two games but don’t the Colts know just how good he is? In fact, the Rams will provide a great test for the Colts, particularly for the team’s offensive line that is filled with question marks. Just how many times does Pagano really want his franchise QB to be ‘exposed?’
The early storyline this preseason for the Rams has been the starting offensive’s inability to get out of its own way. As for the work of the Rams’ first-team defense? It’s been just so-so. DC Gregg Williams’s starting unit has given up 191 yards but just two FGs in five total series against Oakland and Tennessee. However, defensive end William Hayes said after the Rams’ 27-14 loss to Tennessee, “We’ve got to get better on both sides of the ball, my brother. We’re doing a lot of things that good football teams don’t do right now. I can’t speak for the offense, but defensively there’s just a lot of plays that we’re not making where we’re not really doing our jobs like we’re supposed to. We’ll get it fixed. I know up front, we’re not really being gap sound. Like I said, that’s something that’s easy to correct.”
We’re not playing the way we should be right now,” defensive end Robert Quinn added. “We still have a couple more weeks to improve, but those weeks fly by. You can’t take one day for granted. So hopefully guys after this (Tennessee) game realize what’s at stake. What’s our true potential. Hopefully guys just start playing the way we should. There were some positives, but I think at the end of the day we had too many negative plays, and that’s not the type of style the defense really wants to play.” Expect the Rams to “get after” the Colts in this home game.
While the Colts know EXACTLY what they have in Luck, the Rams are hoping that Nick Foles can have the kind of season he had in 2013 (27 TDs & 2 INTs with a 119.2 QB rating), not the one he had in 2014 (13 TDs & 10 INTs with a 81.4 rating). Foles should see significant action tonight plus that StL defense should rise to the challenge of facing Luck. ONE teams gets its first win of NFLX 2015 tonight and my bet says it’s the Rams.
Larry Ness’ NFLX Week 3 Las Vegas Insider
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Dal Cowboys at 7:00 ET.
Dallas head coach Jason Garrett hardly seems to mind losing preseason games, at least by his on-field demeanor. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s Mike Zimmer has taken over as the new “King of August,” as his Vikings are now a PERFECT 7-0 in preseason games under the second-year head coach, including 6-1 ATS. That said, my bet says this is a dangerous spot for the Vikings. The Cowboys are off back-to-back “no-show” efforts to open NFLX 2015, losing 17-7 Week 1 at San Diego and then 23-6 Week 2 at San Francisco.
Tony Romo never dressed against the Chargers, as Dallas used Brandon Weeden (wasn’t he like 35 when he came out of Okla St?), Dustin Vaughan (2nd-year player from West Texas A&M??) and rookie Jameill Showers (UTEP) under center. C’mon. That trio combined to go 21 of 34 for 168 yards with zero TDs or INTs. Against the 49ers, Romo attempted one pass, completing it for a loss of one-yard and the same trio which played in Week 1, completed 17 of 38 for 151 yards, finally throwing a TDP (the ONLY one from that group in 72 attempts the first two games), but also three THREE interceptions! This is “Dress Rehearsal Week” AND the Cowboys’ first home game. Expect to see more of Romo PLUS a more focused Dallas team.
Zimmer suffers his first SU loss of his preseason career here and with this pointspread, that virtually ensures a Dallas ATS win.
DIAMOND DOG SPORTS – NFLx
#267/268: Redskins/Ravens: Over 43.0 (-110) (0.5*)
#271: Eagles: -6.0 (-110) (1*)
#273: Colts: +2.5 (+100) (1*)
DIAMOND DOG SPORTS – MLB
#962: Dodgers: -105 (1*)