There are a few games I really like tonight, but my Royals Brewers free pick is all about that value. If you’ve been following me, you know I scour the betting board for my highest confidence pick that has the highest number next to the + symbol.
Game: Kansas City Royals (21-29, 28-22 RL) at Milwaukee Brewers (23-26, 17-32 RL)
When: 8:10 PM ET, Friday, September 18th, 2020
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Current Line: KC +154 MIL -164 Total: 9
Probable Pitchers: Danny Duffy (3-3, 4.24 ERA) vs. Adrian Houser (1-5, 5.40 ERA)
TV Coverage: FS-KC, FS-WI
Although the Royals are sitting in the basement of the AL Central, they really have been playing quite well.
After losing 7 in a row top start September, the Royals rattled off 6 straight wins and have won 7 of their last 8, including a 3-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates and 3 straight wins versus the Cleveland Indians.
Danny Duffy takes the bump for the Royals. He was scratched from his start on Tuesday after missing the team flight. The next day, manager Mike Matheny stated he did not know when Duffy would make his next start. Apparently ol’ Danny boy said the right things.
It’s been a Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde type season for Duffy. When he’s good, he’s real good, and when he’s bad, he’s been bad. Thankfully for him, the good has outweighed the bad by a solid margin.
In 9 starts this season, Duffy has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 5 of them, including a 4 hit effort over 5.2 innings his last time out. The other 4 starts saw him allow 4, 4, 3 and 6 runs.
Adrian Houser will start for the Brew Crew. His year has also been consistently inconsistent, leading us to our Royals Brewers free pick. After starting the year giving up only 6 hits and 1 earned run over 12 innings, he somewhat imploded allowing 4 or more runs in all but 1 of his next 6 starts.
He looked a little better his last time out, but did walk 4 over 4 innings, watching 7 runs cross the plate, 2 of which were earned.
Adalberto Mondesi 2019 Highlights
I like Duffy to come out and get back in the good books of his teammates and throw a gem in Milwaukee tonight. Watch for Adalberto Mondesi to have a big night, for those looking for a daily fantasy tip.
Royals Brewers Free Pick: Kansas City Moneyline +154
Pick by Joe Berra
If you stayed with me this long, you’re in luck. The other pick I really like tonight is the Denver Nuggets +7.