This is a tough time in the MLB season to handicap games, but today I bring you a Rockies D-Backs free pick. It comes from the second game of a double header in a game where the two teams are playing for pride out in the desert.
Game: Colorado Rockies (25-31, 28-28 RL) at Arizona Diamondbacks (22-34, 27-29 RL)
When: 9:40 PM ET, Friday, September 25th, 2020
Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
Current Line: COL +140 ARI -160 Total: 6
Probable Pitchers: Antonio Santos (0-0, 8.44 ERA) vs. Taylor Clarke (2-0, 3.99 ERA)
TV Coverage: ATT SportsNet-RM, FS-A
The D-Backs have been eliminated from playoff contention since the season started it seems. Only the Pirates have a worst record than the Diamondbacks, but have a young squad that are looking to finish the season strong.
The Rockies are not mathematically eliminated from playoff content, but ESPN is giving them a slim 0.4% chance of making the playoffs. That will be taken care of tonight and they will be officially eliminated.
Antonio Santos will make his first Major League start, however it will be his third appearance. He’s come out of the bullpen to throw 5.1 innings, allowing 5 earned runs on 9 hits. He’s given up 1 homer, while walking 2 and striking out 3.
Heading to the bump for the Diamondbacks is Taylor Clarke. Clarke appeared in 11 games so far this season, starting 4 of them. He’s thrown 38.1 innings, giving up 17 earned on 29 hits and allowed 8 homers, walking 18 and K-ing 35.
Over is the Pick
Santos has never faced the D-Backs, but a look at Clarke’s stats versus Rockies batters, shows a lot of crooked numbers in very limited at-bats.
Although the UNDER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two in Phoenix, it doesn’t tell the whole story. The story explains my Rockies D-Backs free pick. In the 6 games these two have played so far this year, 5 of them saw more than 9 runs scored. That includes games with 15 and 9 runs scored in Arizona.
This will be a scheduled 7-inning game, but a little line shopping shows a total line from 6 to 7.5. My money in on the OVER.
Rockies D-Backs Free Pick: Rockies D-Backs OVER 6 (will wager on 7)
Pick by Joe Berra