PGA Picks | THE PLAYERS Championship
We have THE PLAYERS Championship this weekend, which is dubbed the 5th Major with a great field and the highest purse of any tournament in golf. Not only does this tournament carry a huge purse, there is a lot on the line with a win. The winner here gets a five-year exemption on the PGA Tour, a three-year invite to the Masters and three-year exemptions to the US Open, The Open Championship and the PGA Championship.
THE PLAYERS Championship
Where: TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach
Length: 7,189 yards (6,574 meters)
When: March 14th – 17th, 2019
Winner’s Share: $2.25 million
Defending Champion: Webb Simpson
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, NBC, ESPN, Twitter
Before I get into who I like this weekend, it’s self-promotion time. I hope you’ve been following my picks, because if you have, you are waiting with bated breath for me to release this week’s. You can read last week’s PGA article here.
Last week, I had Francesco Molinari at +2750. In case you missed it, he fired a closing round 64 (-8) to win The Arnold Palmer Invitational by 3 strokes. To keep patting myself on the back, I also had Tommy Fleetwood (T3), Rory (T6) and Henrik Stenson (T17). In case you don’t know how the odds of +2750 pay, with Molinari’s win, a $200 bet won me $5500.
Francesco Molinari +1750
We’re not quite getting the +2750 we got last week, and I know what some of you are saying…no way we have a back-to-back winner in the PGA at Sawgrass this week, but hear me out.
Remember I told you last week that Molinari signed contract with Callaway and switched all 14 clubs and his ball? How is that working out? His 64 on Sunday was the best round of the week, and doing it on a Sunday is impressive.
Not only is Molinari’s current form on fire, he has had plenty success at Sawgrass. Even though he missed the cut last year, when the event was played in May, before that his finishes include two T6’s (2014 & 2017) and a T7 (2016). He can be had at +350 to finish in the Top 5, and I would consider this a 8 or 9-Unit bet.
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Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Everything you just read about Molinari can be said about Fleetwood. Since his T45 at Pebble Beach, Fleetwood has kept finishing higher on the leaderboard. If it wasn’t for a 3rd round 76 last weekend, we could have very well been collecting the +2750 from him.
He has only teed it up twice here at TPC Sawgrass, finishing T7 here last year. At +450 for a Top 5 finish, that’s also worth considering.
Ian Poulter +4000
I could easily go with either one of the favorites here, with both Rory and DJ topping the list at +850, but this is an event that usually has an odd looking leaderboard when all is said and done. I mean, Si Woo Kim won here in 2017 by 3 strokes, do you even know the name?
Poulter always seems to play well here with a T11 and T2 in the last 2 years, respectively. He’s a gritty player with the goods to get it done here. At +4000, he’s worth the gamble.
Other Players I like:
Bryson DeChambeau +2000
John Rahm +1950
Rickie Fowler +1500
Jordan Spieth +5000 (I wouldn’t use much of you budget on this one, but Spieth is a competitor in any event he enters, and a $20 bet wins you a grand)
PGA Picks by Joe Berra
Posted March 13th, 2019
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