PGA Picks | Genesis Open
The PGA tees it up at the Genesis Open this week at the beautiful Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, within the city limits of Los Angeles. Three PGA major were hosted at this location, the last being the 1995 PGA Championship. This tournament has gone through some names changes, formally known as the Los Angeles Open, Northern Trust Open and Nissan Open.
Last week I had Paul Casey at +2750, the 54-hole leader. Unfortunately, Phil, who was 3 shots behind Casey after 3 rounds, shot a closing round of 65 to beat Casey by 3. When making golf wagers on tournament winners, all you’re looking for is a chance at victory in the 4th round, and we were right there! Now lets get to some picks for this weekend in an uber deep field.
Where: Riviera CC, Pacific Palisades, California
When: February 14th – 17th, 2019
Defending Champion: Bubba Watson
Bubba Watson +1500
When talking about Bubba and Riviera, the word Horse gets tossed around a lot. At +1500, given his track record here, Watson is more than worth the top spot on this week’s picks.
Bubba is like the SF Giants, who won three MLB Championships on even years from 2010 through 2014. Bubba has won at Riviera last year in 2018, 2016 and 2014. The course sets up very well for him, and although this is an odd year, I’ll still take him at those odds. Here are Bubba’s finishes at Riviera from 2018 through 2012: 1, WD (wrist), 1, T14, 1, T13 and T10.
Xander Schauffele +1750
Still not a household name, Schauffele is giving us great value at +1750. The California native is currently sitting in second place on the FedEx Cup standings, only 8 points behind leader Matt Kuchar.
Schauffele won back-to-back official events he played in at the WGC-HSBC Champions and Sentry Tournament of Champions, and had a T25 at the Farmers and a T10 at the Waste Management. He finished T9 at Riviera last year, his first time out there, on the strength of rounds of 68 on Saturday and Sunday.
Adam Scott +2750
Adam Scott is another great buy at +2750, so I’m rolling with the Aussie that has been talked about around the Tour for leaving the flag in while putting. Although he finished T61 last week at Pebble, combine the cold weather and Pro-Am style, and it’s tough to get a good gauge on anyone last week.
He finished 2nd at the Farmers, his event previous to Pebble, and has finished T53, T11 and T2 here at Riviera in the past 3 years. Scott could very well put together 4 solid rounds this weekend and come away with the victory.
With such a loaded field, I could take another 10 names of other players I like, but when the field is this deep, going with value bets is the way to go. Like football and its “Any Given Sunday” mantra, every PGA player is good enough to string together a couple unconscious rounds and win a tournament. Having said that, here are a few other guys I may lay a few dollars on.
Other Players I like:
Tony Finau +2350
Jordan Spieth +1900
Adam Hadwin +4500
Pick by Joe Berra
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