With the PGA’s last Major in the rearview and the FedEx Cup Playoffs right around the corner, the PGA has two events this week. There is the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational in Memphis and the Barracuda Championship in Reno.
We’re going to focus on the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational today, getting you the golf picks you’re looking for.
2019 World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational
Where: TPC Southwinds, Memphis, Tennessee
Length: 7,244 yards (6,624 meters)
When: July 25th – 28th, 2019
Winner’s Share: $1,745,000
Defending Champion: Justin Thomas
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS
The World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational is one of four WGC events on the PGA Tour. This event is different from most on the PGA, with only 64 players in the field with no cut. The St. Jude Classic has been played in Memphis since 1958, but 2019 is the first year of sponsorship of the WGC Invitational.
Last week wasn’t great for us. We cashed in on our Brooks Koepka to finish Top 5, but that’s where the profit ended. Rahm finished T11, Stenson T20 and Cantlay T41. See my entire 2019 The Open Championship picks article here.
It’s the creme de la creme of the PGA Tour this weekend, with only Tiger, Francesco Molinari and Rickie Fowler turning down their invitation. The Open winner Shane Lowry, who we whole-heartedly congratulate for winning on home soil, was a late back out.
Here is who I like this week at the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.
Odds courtesy of America’s Bookie
Dustin Johnson +800
DJ is the favorite to win this event, and for good reason. Not only has he been money in the WGC events, he has a great track record here at TPC Southwinds. His last 2 appearances, at the then St. Jude Classic, resulted in a win last year and a 5th place finish in 2016.
A quick look at last year’s WGC-Bridgestone Invitational, who’s spot this event is now in, DJ finished T# last year at Firestone. If you follow my picks you know I don’t like to go chalk when betting golf. I go for value 85% of the time, but even at +800, DJ provides some betting value.
Patrick Cantlay +1750
For all the reasons I said I liked Cantlay last week apply again this week. If it wasn’t for a 4th round 74, Cantlay would have finished Top 20 at Portrush, making him a true player in the playoffs.
Cantlay sits 6th in the FedEx Cup Rankings and his well-rounded golf game make him a threat to win any tournament. We don’t have much to go off of as far as course metrics, with Cantlay not playing the St. Jude in recent years, but at +1750, I love his odds this week.
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WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational – Tournament Matchup
7035 Gary Woodland -135
7036 Chez Reavie +115
Because this is such a different week being a WGC event, I am going to mix it up a little and try to find some true value. As we all know, picking a PGA event winner is not easy. I’m going to limit the variable and go with a Head-to-Head PGA tournament matchup with fantastic odds.
Gary Woodland won the U.S. Open just over a month ago, but since then, he’s missed the cut at the Rocket Mortgage and the Open last week. You won’t find him on the St. Jude’s leaderboard over the past few years, he never played here.
Flip the script and you’ll find Chez Reavie, who is a threat to win it all with odds of +4500. Chez loves this course, finishing T6 (2018), T4 (2017) and T12 (2015) in his last 3 starts here.
Reavie’s last month has gone eerily similar to Woodland’s since the U.S. Open, finishing T3 at the Major, winning the Travelers the next week, followed by two MCs. Some courses fit particular golfers eyes, and TPC Southwinds is one of those for Reavie.
Take Chez Reavie +115 to beat Gary Woodland in their WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational – Tournament Matchup.
HERE’S A QUICK FLYOVER OF TPC SOUTHWINDS
Other golfers I like this week:
Brooks Koepka +850
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Picks by Joe Berra
Posted July 24th, 2019