PGA Picks | 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic

The PGA moves from Connecticut to Michigan this weekend, teeing it up at the Detroit Golf Club for the first time. Another first is the Rocket Mortgage Classic, with this tournament last named the Quicken Loans National. This will be a tough one to handicap because it’ll be the first time around this course in PGA competition, but we got you covered.

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Rocket Mortgage Classic

Where: Detroit Golf Club, Detroit, Michigan

Par: 72

Length: 7,340 yards (6,711 meters)

When: June 27th – 30th, 2019

Purse: $7,300,000

Winner’s Share: $1,300,000

Defending Champion: Inaugural event

TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS

 

Odds courtesy of America’s Bookie

Chez Reavie broke through last week for his second PGA Tour win, with his first victory coming all the way back in 2008. We didn’t have Reavie last week, but did pull in some profit with a Paul Casey to finish Top 5 wager.

Our top picks were Tommy Fleetwood (T13), Casey (T5), Patrick Cantlay (T30) and Bubba (T54). See the full article through this link.

 

 

I’ve had to do some extra research before making my picks this week, but I have a good feel for the course and here’s who I like to cash this week.

Hideki Matsuyama +1350

Hideki is my top pick for the week for several reasons. First is his odds at +1350 are providing great value. Second, his form has been on point, having finished no worse than T33 at an event he has entered since the Farmers back in January. He finished T21 at the U.S. Open and T16 at the PGA Championship, events that sandwiched a 6th place finish at the Memorial.

Matsuyama is my top pick to win at the DGC

Matsuyama is my top pick to win at the DGC

Matsuyama is currently 4th in Stroked Gained: Approach to Green, 5th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, 22nd in GIR % and 26th in driving distance. These 4 stat categories, in my opinion, are the key to victory this weekend at this Donald Ross designed course.

The 27-year-old Japan native has a great chance to pick up his first win of the season, and improve on his 34th place rank on the FedEx Cup standings and his OWGR rating of 28th.

Aaron Wise +4500

You know value is the name of the game when dividing up your bankroll for any PGA event. And by using some of it on a guy paying odds of +4500, with a legit chance to win is a no-brainer.

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While the young native of South Africa broke through for a PGA victory last year at the Byron Nelson, his play this season hasn’t been great. He did put together 3 good rounds at the U.S. Open, his last time out, the two events prior he missed the cut, and hasn’t finished in the Top 15 since the calendar turned to 2019.

So why am I going with him? It’s a hunch, a gut feeling. I’m not going to break the bank on him, but a $11 bet profits you $4500.

 

LEARN ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT THE DETROIT GOLF CLUB BY WATCHING THIS VIDEO

 

Dustin Johnson +500

Yes, I’m going from value straight to chalk. DJ is the favorite to win this week at 5/1, and for good reason. Johnson is known for beating up on weak fields, and sorry Detroit, but in comparison to recent events, this is a weak field.

As I mentioned above when discussing Matsuyama, DJ sits high a top the 4 stat categories I deem most important this week. Johnson is currently 2nd in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, 6th in driving distance, 15th in Stroked Gained: Approach to Green and 18th in Greens in Regulation percentage.

I would not be at all surprised to see DJ getting interviewed on the green on Sunday, after his second win of the season and 21st of his career.

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Brian Stuard +12500

Brian Stuard is the only Michigan native in the field, and played at the DGC in college. Again, I won’t break the bank on him, but a $50 bet wins you $6250.

Picks by Joe Berra

Posted June 26th, 2019

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