The PGA returns to Minnesota after a 50 year hiatus for the 3M Open, when PGA professionals tee it up at TPC Twin Cities. This event makes 2 weeks in a row the PGA introduced a new event. Just like last week at the Rocket Mortgage in Detroit, this event is also the inaugural event. I wonder how long has in been since that happened on the PGA?
2019 3M Open
Where: TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, Minnesota
Length: 7,468 yards (6,828 meters)
When: July 4th – 7th, 2019
Winner’s Share: $1,152,000
Defending Champion: Inaugural event
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS
Odds courtesy of America’s Bookie
The great Arnold Palmer himself originally designed this Tournament Players Club (TPC) Course in Blaine, Minnesota, but has been revised for this tournament with help by Tom Lehman. It features 27 bodies of water, making accuracy a top priority this week.
Nate Lashley broke out for his first PGA Tour victory last week in Detroit, and did so with a pair of 63’s, to finish at -25, 6 shots better than second place money winner Doc Redman.
My picks were just OK, however I did make a little back when I put a little on local Brian Stuard to finish Top 5. Matsuyama finished T13, Wise T35 and DJ missed the cut. You can see the full PGA Picks | 2019 Mortgage Classic article. Like last week, this is a tough event to handicap, but let’s get to it.
Hideki Matsuyama +1350
I normally list my players in accordance to how much I like them, but today it’s more of a smorgasbord because capping this event is quite difficult. At +900, Hideki is not paying the odds I like, but the fact is, he has a great chance to win this event.
Just like last week, there are a few stat categories I consider important this week. In those, Matsuyama ranks 3rd in Stroked Gained: Approach to Green, 4th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and 22nd in GIR %.
It’s almost a given he’ll make the cut, and with rounds of 68, 67, 68 and 70 last week, you know his current play is good enough to get him another win.
Joaquin Niemann +2800
This guy’s name kept popping up around every corner as I research this week. This 20-year-old from Chile seems to have taken the golf world by storm, and is offering pretty good odds at +2800.
Niemann turned pro in 2018, and went on a great run of making the cut. He’s played a lot this season, and is currently on an 8 round run shooting in the 60’s. Those results have netted him two consecutive T5’s in the Travelers and Rocket Mortgage Classic.
He’s a consistent, but not polished ball-striker, sitting 31st in SG: Tee to Green, 29th in SG: Approach to Green and 66th in GIR %. I won’t break the bank on him, but he’s worth a short unit wager
Learn All You Need to Know About TPC Twin Cities:
Jason Day +900
Word around golf is that Day is re-energized and has again put his focus back on golf. Derailed by injuries and other things life throws at you, the former #1 World Golf Ranked Golfer has slipped to #18. He’s poised for a resurgence this summer.
I’m not in love with his odds at +900, but he has as good a chance as anyone in the field this week to get the W and the $1.15M winner’s share.
Other golfers I like this week:
Bryson DeChambeau +1150
Keegan Bradley +3500
Picks by Joe Berra
Posted July 3rd, 2019