My Ortega Jung free picks come from Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates and UFC Fight Island 6 (UFC on ESPN+ 38) tonight.
The main event features Brian Ortega vs. Chan Sung Jung.
Ortega is coming off his first career loss and it came against Holloway. That was in December 2018, though and he hasn’t been back in the cage since being knocked out.
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He was beat up badly in the Holloway fight. Holloway landed 290 strikes, which is unheard of. Jung is also a volume striker, but in his five-round fight against Rodriguez he only landed 126 strikes.
Jung lost that fight against Rodriguez, as he was knocked down. He has bounced back with two consecutive wins against Carneiro and Edgar, he won both fights by first-round TKO.
Fight: Brian Ortega (14-1-0-1) vs. Chan Sung Jung (16-5)
When: Saturday, October 17th 2020
Where: Fight Island (Abu Dhabi)
Ortega Jung Betting Odds
- Fight Odds: Ortega (+165) vs. Jung (-190)
Jung actually opened up at -210, was bet down and then has been creeping back up slowly late this week as more of the public starts to bet on him. We’re getting a decent price on him at -190 to win.
- Fight Odds: Over 2.5 Rounds (-110) vs. Under 2.5 Rounds (-110)
The public expects this five-round fight to end relatively quickly, but I’m not sold on that. While both of these guys are capable of finishing fighters quickly, these two are close in skill level.
That should mean that neither fighter finishes this fight early on and will be one of my Ortega Jung free picks.
T-City vs. The Korean Zombie – Tale of the Tape
Neither fighter has had success wrestling in the UFC. Ortega has landed just 16% of his takedown attempts (0.51 TDs per 15 minutes). Jung only averages 0.78 TDs per 15 minutes.
This fight should be a war of striking and leg kicks. Jung is simply better on the feet.
First off, he has the better offense. He averages 4.58 SLpM (41% accuracy) compared to Ortega who averages 4.07 SLpM (33% accuracy). Jung has better striking defense as well. He has 60% defense (3.73 SApM), while Ortega only has 50% defense (7.36 SApM).
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Jung will also have a 3’’ reach advantage in this fight (72’’ vs. 69’’).
Jung has been knocked out three times in his career, which is always a concern, but Ortega only has three TKO/KO wins. Most of his wins come by submission (7) and Jung has never tapped.
These two guys don’t like each other and The Korean Zombie has promised to bloody Ortega’s face tonight. I have two picks tonight. I’m betting on Jung to win and over 2.5 rounds.
UFC Fight Island 6 Ortega Jung Free Picks:
Chan Sung Jung ML (-190) and Over 2.5 Rounds (-110)
Free Picks By Scott Jack