NHL Free Pick | Predators at Stars
I had a tough time deciding which game to choose, but with 9 games on tap in the NHL tonight, there is a bunch to choose from. I won’t go into the ones I almost picked, but I will give a hunch pick before I close off this one, so keep reading to the end. For today’s pick, I’m going with a game against two teams that look to be heading to the playoffs when the Nashville Predators travel to play the Dallas Stars.
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Game: Nashville Predators (34-22-5, 26-35 ATS) at Dallas Stars (29-24-5, 31-27 ATS)
When: 8:30 PM ET, Tuesday, February 19, 2019
Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
Current Line: NAS -115 DAL -105 Total: 5.5
TV Coverage: ESPN+, FS Tennessee, FS Southwest
With a little better than 20 games left for each team to play, the Preds are the 4th seed in the West with the Stars holding down the 7th seed. The Stars have been much better on home ice with a, 18-8-2 record as opposed to a road record of 11-16-3. Conversely, the Preds are 15-11-4 away from home ice and 19-11-1 in front of their home fans.
I’m looking at betting the total in this one, and for many reasons, with stats and trends backing up my choice. To start, these two are in the bottom 8% when it comes to goals against.
Nashville are 28th in goals against (2.61) while the Stars are 29th (2.57). On top of that, the Stars are also 29th in goals for, averaging only 2.50 per game. The Preds are finding the twine a little more often, averaging 3.03 goals per game, good for 13th in the league.
When looking at trends, the UNDER is lighting up the sheet, showing the UNDER paying out in multiple systems on both sides. They include Dallas UNDER 5-0 when their opponent allowed 5 or more goals in their previous game, 4-0 when playing on 2 days rest, as well as going UNDER in 7 of their last seven Tuesday games.
On top of that, the UNDER has paid out in 4 of Nashville’s last 5, and when these two Central division rivals play each, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5. Although, in an interesting stat shows the OVER paying in 5 of the last 5 that these two played in Dallas.
Before I reveal my pick, I promised you a lil something extra. I really like the NHL Grand Salami UNDER 55.5 tonight, but my official pick is Predators at Stars UNDER 5.5.
NHL Free Pick: Predators at Stars UNDER 5.5
Free pick by Joe Berra
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