NHL Free Pick | Bruins at Flyers
There are two ways in which to approach this game. One, you can bet against the Flyers, they have been pretty bad this year and they seem to have lost their heart completely. The other glaring reason to bet against them would simply have to be their record against the spread, it’s an abysmal-15-29. They are vying for the bottom of the barrel when it comes to betting value.
The second way in which to approach this game, would be to bet with the Bruins. In other words, find enough redeeming value in what the Bruins are doing right now and lay the money. It looks like a good bet on paper and at -140, not a bad buy. But is it a good bet, is there value here on the Bruins? Let’s take a closer look.
Game: Boston Bruins (26-15-5, 25-20 ATS) at Philadelphia Flyers (17-23-6, 15-29 ATS)
When: 7:30 PM ET, Wednesday, January 16th, 2019
Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Current Line: PHI +130 | +1.5 -210 | Bos -150 | -1.5 +180 Total: 6
TV Coverage: NBCSN
The Bruins come in having won six of seven, before the overtime, home-loss to Montreal on Monday, 3-2. The team is scoring and finding enough offense to have mounted a comeback. This team did not start the season where they had hoped – more importantly, they did not start the season as bettors had hoped. With an ATS record of 25-20, they are making money, not a lot, but it’s “head above water” money.
Bruins goaltender Rask is up to the defensive task and he once again put up a solid effort against Montreal, going 19-22. This game will not be a barn burning-one team running the other out of the arena.
The Flyers have not been very good, this is just the plain hard truth. However, for as bad as they have been against the spread, 15-29, their overall record of 17-23-6, is not that bad considering they are just 6 games away from .500. Don’t misunderstand, it’s not a good record, this team has struggled and they will most likely miss the playoffs, however, Boston is nothing special.
I will take my chances with a number that says the home dog is winning more than 70% of the time.
NHL Free Pick: Flyers +130
Free pick by Brad
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