NFL Week 1 - Sunday Night Football
NBC starts the new NFL season off with a great battle from Lambeau as hated rivals Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears tangle. Back in April, this one opened up with the Packers being an 8.5 to 9-point home favorite with a total of 48. Fast-forward 4+ months, and you’ll now find the Pack an 8-point favorite with the total at 47.5.
Green Bay faithful watched their season go up in flames when quarterback Aaron Rodgers went down with a collarbone injury. He tried to return, but that didn’t last long, with him soon after being placed on season-ending IR. The Pack won four of their first 5 with Rodgers in the lineup, but could only manage three more wins all season, finishing 3rd in the NFC North and well out of the playoff race.
The Bears finished below the Packers in the standings at 5-11, including a horrible 0-6 within the division. You can bet Head Coach Matt Nagy will have his young team up for this one, and should be a great way to finish off the first Football Sunday of the Year.
Bear fans do have reason to be optimistic after adding some weapons for QB Mitch Trubisky in the offseason. Signing wide receiver Allen Robinson could prove to be a great move after he averaged 76 catches in 2015 and 2016. Robinson doesn’t come without a question mark after tearing his ACL in the opener last season.
The additions don’t end there for the Bears offense, spending their second round draft pick on receiver Anthony Miller and signing tight end Trey Burton. If linebacker Roquan Smith, the Bears first round pick, 8th overall, can get healthy and get reps on the field, the Bears could surprise this year. At 6.5 wins, are you betting the OVER or UNDER?
Green Bay return their core from last year, however they dramatically upgraded the tight end position signing both Jimmy Graham and Marcedes Lewis. Packer brass spent their first three draft picks on the defense, and if the o-line can improve and keep pass-rushers off Rodgers, there’s no reason to think the Pack can’t get back to the playoffs.
This is the longest running rivalry in the NFL, with the two first playing in 1921, having played 196 times. The Bears has previously held up to a 25-game lead in this rivalry, as recently as 1992, however the Pack now leads 96-94-6.
In the recent past the Packers have pretty much owned this series, going 8-2 straight up and 7-3 ATS with an average score of 30.40, holding the Bears to 19.30 per game. On top of that, Green Bay has won 14 of the their last 16 against Chicago, with the two Bear wins coming on the road at Lambeau. Can the Bears work some magic to open the season this year?
Looking at totals, there has been a lopsided trend there too, with the OVER a solid 7-3 in the last 10, including the last 3. In Primetime, you know Aaron Rodgers will be looking to quiet his skeptics and Mitch Trubisky will be looking to take the next step in his career, so I expect there to be some fireworks in this one.
The Bears will be more competitive this season, and even though the Packers are at home, the Bears will show full effort and keep this one close. It’ll be interesting to see where the line moves in this one, with the Bears getting lots of hopeful press leading into the season.
The total may be something to consider with this game too, because my simulations show a defensive or special teams touchdown 61% of the time, aiding the OVER trend. Watch the lines leading up to Sunday, most recreational bettors don’t bet until the 24-hour timer to kickoff has started.
Stay with us all season long when we will be offering betting tips, information and picks for the entire betting menu. With betting taking a front seat in the news these days, there is no shortage of betting options, and we will talk about them all season long. Get ready everyone! Football is back.
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