The Eastern Conference finals are tied at 2-2 and the home team has won every game in the series thus far. Game 5 is back at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee where the Bucks just happen to be 39-9 overall. After struggling in Games 1 and 2, the Raptors rebounded and played their best game of the series in Game 4 on Tuesday night. Can Toronto continue its winning ways and upset the No. 1 seed at home?
Game: Toronto Raptors (68-30, 45-52-1 ATS) at Milwaukee Bucks (70-25, 57-34-4 ATS)
When: 8:30 PM ET, Thursday, May 23rd, 2019
Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Current Line: Milwaukee -7 Total: 216
TV Coverage: TNT
Series: Tied at 2-2
The simple answer to that question is no. Toronto cannot beat the Bucks in Milwaukee, but nothing about the Eastern Conference finals is all that simple. The Raptors were blown out in Game 2, won by 6 in Game 3, and recorded a blowout in Game 4 winning 120-102. Toronto had more assists, more 3-pointers, and more rebounds than their opponent in Game 4. The Raptors also had much better bench play.
But, playing well in Games 3 and 4 at home mean nothing in Game 5. The return to the Fiserv Forum is a huge advantage for Milwaukee where we already know the Bucks have lost just nine games all season. What is really interesting is the Bucks’ performance in games after they have lost by 10 or more points. In such games, Milwaukee is an ultra-impressive 6-0 SU. The Bucks are also 6-0 ATS covering by an average of 12.8 points.
Add in the Bucks record against the spread in their last seven games at home – 6-1 – and you can see where this is headed. Toronto has lost its last three road games, including the first two games of this series. Even more intriguing is the Raptors have lost three of their last five road games by at least 10 points. It all points to one thing – lay the points in Game 5.
NBA Playoffs Free Pick: Bucks cover -7
Pick by Rick