NBA Free Pick | Heat at Celtics
I know what you were thinking. You are probably thinking I am crazy for betting the under. I know, I know. I always seem to bet the over. Well, that is because the over tends to hit in professional basketball games. The scoring has been crazy all season and there has been a ton of points. But in this case, I love the under for the Boston vs. Miami game.
Game: Miami Heat (38-38, 41-34-1 ATS) at Boston Celtics (45-32, 35-40-2 ATS)
When: 7:30 PM ET, Monday, April 1st, 2019
Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Current Line: BOS -7 Total: 212
TV Coverage: FS Sun, NBCS Boston
The number is 212 and I think these teams go under. Now, of course the whole Dwayne Wade retirement tour has been all the buzz of Miami’s season so far. It seems like that is what everyone, rightfully so, wants to focus on.
But in this case, I am focusing on the under. And the statistics actually back me up on this one.
Each team features the exact same metric of a staff that I am looking at. The under has hit in 5 of the last 6 games against the eastern conference for Boston. The exact same can be said for Miami.
This is very important to note, as both of these teams are playoff caliber teams. It is crunch time and I think they will both be locking down defensively trying to get in their groove. I don’t expect each team to even break 100. A game in the late 90s is very realistic, and it’s what I am expecting.
Good luck watching this one tonight, and let’s actually root for some defense! Simon says go under in the Boston – Miami matchup tonight. I hope you cash your ticket!
NBA Free Pick: Heat vs. Celtics UNDER 212
Free pick by Will Simon
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