NBA Free Pick | Bulls at Pacers
The Chicago Bulls haven’t exactly torn it up this season but here is the funny thing; they are 29-34-1 against the spread. Why is this funny? The Pacers, who are 7.5-point favorites in tonight’s game, they are 32-31-1 against the spread.
Does three games make any kind of difference when comparing the two records? Maybe, but most-likely not. The Pacers certainly have the better record and overall they are the more talented basketball team, however, in the NBA this matters on some nights and on other nights, these stat lines don’t matter one iota.
Game: Chicago Bulls (18-46, 29-34-1 ATS) at Indiana Pacers (41-23, 32-31-1 ATS)
When: 7:00 PM ET, Tuesday, March 5th, 2019
Where: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
Current Line: Pacers -7.5 Total: 219
TV Coverage: WGN, FS Indiana
The NBA has become much like the NFL in that any team can beat any other team, on any given day. What we must do as betters is predict what day a team will show up or what day they simply “mail it in”.
We have another free NBA Pick for today, take a look now.
The Bulls are scoring 105 points per game and allowing 112.6 while shooting 45.3% from the field. They are not that far off the mark from the Pacers numbers across the board with 22.3 assists per game, 4.5 blocks, and 7.5 steals. The Pacers have the better numbers but not by much. The one number that could make a difference in tonight’s game will be points allowed. The Pacers are giving up 103.8 points per game to the Bulls 112.6.
The Pacers are scoring 108.8 points per game and shooting 48% from the field with 26.2 assists per game along with 5 blocks and 8.9 steals per game.
The Skinny: Neither team is going anywhere, and both come in off losses. The Bulls are not a very good basketball team, the Pacers have great young talent that will eventually put it together and make a run for the East. The Pacers are playing well considering injuries to stars such as Oladipo. This team will be very good soon. What do they do tonight? They get back in the groove at home. The Pacers find their sea legs and they bury the Bulls.
The “points against” margin is 9 points in the Pacers favor. The points scored margin is 3 points in the Pacers favor. Give the Pacers 3 points for home court advantage and we arrive at a whopping 15 points. That’s a big number but you don’t have to lay it. Vegas is asking for -7.5. The Pacers are 8 points better than Chicago.
NBA Free Pick: Pacers -7.5
Pick by Brad
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