NASCAR Betting: 2014 Toyota / Save Mart 350 Picks

By Scott

This weekend NASCAR heads to the Sonoma Raceway in California for the 2014 Toyota / Save Mart 350. This is a road race and that’s why Marcos Ambrose is favored to win the race. Ambrose is known as a road specialist despite never winning at Sonoma in the past.

Odds to Win the 2014 Save Mart 350 at Sonoma

Bet on the 2014 Save Mart 350 at America’s Bookie.

We have six drivers that are paying 8/1 odds or lower this Sunday at Sonoma currently. Ambrose is the favorite, but multiple other drivers are close in the market including Jeff Gordon, Kurt Busch, Kevin Harvick, Jimmie Johnson and Tony Stewart.

Marcos Ambrose 5/1
Jeff Gordon 6/1
Kurt Busch 7/1
Kevin Harvick 7/1
Jimmie Johnson 7/1
Tony Stewart 8/1
Kyle Busch 12/1
Joey Logano 12/1
Brad Keselowski 12/1
Kasey Kahne 18/1
Clint Bowyer 18/1
AJ Allmendinger 30/1
Jamie McMurray 30/1
Carl Edwards 35/1
Martin Truex Jr 35/1
Brian Vickers 35/1
Greg Biffle 50/1
Paul Menard 60/1
Ryan Newman 60/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 60/1
Denny Hamlin 60/1
Justin Allgaier 75/1
Kyle Larson 75/1
Matt Kenseth 75/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Boris Said 100/1
Danica Patrick 300/1
Aric Almirola 300/1
Ricky Stenhouse 300/1
Casey Mears 300/1
David Gilliland 300/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1

Predicting the Winner of the Toyota / Save Mart 350

Jimmie Johnson (7/1) has now won three of four Sprint Cup races after starting the year winless. His team has clearly clued in to the new car set-up and although it took longer than most teams it seems that Johnson is ready to defend his Sprint Cup title now.

There is only one race held annually at Sonoma and Johnson has strung together five consecutive T10 finishes. His lone won here was in 2010 and his career average finish position (AFP) at Pocono is 13.42 (12 Races). I think Jimmie contends for a T5 finish this week.

Marcos Ambrose (5/1) is a road specialist, but he should not be a short priced favorite. He has five consecutive finishes inside of the T8 at Sonoma, but his best finish is a 3rd place. At 5/1 I’d expect Ambrose to have won multiple times on this track in the past.

My pick this week is Clint Bowyer (18/1), as his odds are insane based on his track form. Bowyer has a career AFP of 9.13 (8 Races) at Sonoma, which includes three consecutive T5 finishes (Won in 2012). Bowyer loves this track and his odds are too good to pass up.

Bowyer finished 4th at Dover earlier this month, but he followed that up with an 11th place and 10th place finish. You could wait and see if Bowyer qualifies in the T10 before betting on him, but his odds will likely drop if he ends up having a good qualifying run.

Martin Truex Jr (35/1) is another interesting pick who has had recent success at Sonoma. He finished in 8th place back in 2011 and he won this race last year. Apart from those two T10 finishes he hasn’t done well, but at this price he’s worth looking at.

I won’t be betting on Truex Jr outright, but he’ll be one of my most targeted drivers in the match-up markets. Out of the remaining favorites that I haven’t discussed yet, I think that Kurt Busch (7/1) has the best shot at winning based on his track form.

Busch won this race in 2011 plus followed that up with a 3rd place (2012) and 4th place (2013) finish. Busch hadn’t had much success at Pocono prior to 2011, but based on the L3 years I think he’ll contend and is worth targeting in your match-up bets this weekend.

· Bet on Clint Bowyer +1800 to Win

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