NASCAR Betting: 2014 Sylvania 300 Picks

By Scott

Brad Keselowski won last week and increased his lead in the Sprint Cup standings. The race is on Sunday afternoon on ESPN and will be hosted at the New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Keselowski has to be happy, as he won on this track earlier in the year.

Odds to Win the 2014 Sylvania 300

Bet on the Sprint Cup Chase races at America’s Bookie.

It’s no shock to see Keselowski listed as the opening line favorite, but his odds are shorter than I expected. Five other drivers in the field are paying under 10/1 odds, so there isn’t a ton of value to be had unless you take a shot on someone like Kyle Larson.

Brad Keselowski 4/1
Jeff Gordon 6/1
Kevin Harvick 6/1
Kyle Busch 6/1
Jimmie Johnson 8/1
Joey Logano 8/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 12/1
Denny Hamlin 12/1
Matt Kenseth 12/1
Kasey Kahne 20/1
Clint Bowyer 25/1
Kurt Busch 25/1
Kyle Larson 25/1
Tony Stewart 30/1
Carl Edwards 40/1
Jamie McMurray 40/1
Ryan Newman 40/1
Brian Vickers 60/1
Greg Biffle 60/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Aric Almirola 200/1
Martin Truex Jr 200/1
AJ Allmendinger 300/1
Austin Dillon 300/1
Casey Mears 300/1
Danica Patrick 300/1
Justin Allgaier 300/1
Marcos Ambrose 300/1
Ricky Stenhouse 300/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 250/1

2014 Sylvania 300 Preview & Predictions

Brad Keselowski (4/1) has the second highest driver rating in the L5 races on this track and he won here earlier in the year. In the L6 races on this track Keselowski has finished in the T5 four times and his worst finish in that span was an 11th place last year.

The driver with the best driver rating in the L5 races on this track is Denny Hamlin (12/1). He had a win and a 2nd place finish here in 2012, but in the L3 races he has finishes of 21st, 12th and 8th place. I think it’s a good idea to fade Hamlin this week in MU bets.

Kyle Busch (6/1) is someone to watch this week, as he has finished in 2nd place in the L3 races on this track. Busch only has one win on this track back in 2006, but he’s in good form right now and he could really use a win to guarantee his survival in the Chase.

Jeff Gordon (6/1) and Kevin Harvick (6/1) are both amongst the favorites, but I don’t know why. Gordon has finished in 10th, 15th and 26th place in the L3 races here. Harvick has struggled here recently as well with a 20th and 30th place finish in the L2 races here.

I’m going with Matt Kenseth (12/1) to pick up the win this week. Since moving to Joe Gibbs Racing last year Kenseth has finished in 9th, 1st and 4th place on this track. He has led laps in each of the three races as well and I think we’re getting a good price on him.

Kyle Larson (25/1) is a long shot that some bettors will look to target. He started in 13th place on this track earlier in the year and he ended up finishing in 3rd place. I’d be surprised if he won the race and won’t be betting him, but his odds are tempting.

No drivers dominate on this track in terms of winning. Busch has been as close to dominant as you can get, but he still hasn’t won here in close to a decade now. I’m on Kenseth to win plus I’ll be targeting Kenseth and Busch in match-up bets this weekend.

· My Pick: Matt Kenseth +1200

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