NASCAR Betting: 2014 Quaker State 400 Picks

By Scott

The 2014 Quaker State 400 is on Saturday night at the Kentucky Speedway. There are now only ten races left before the chase gets underway, which means drivers are running out of time to qualify and we should expect some of them to start taking more chances.

Odds to Win the 2014 Quaker State 400

Bet on the Quaker State 400 at America’s Bookie.

This is only the fourth year that NASCAR has had a stop in Kentucky, so there isn’t too much data to use when handicapping. Heading into the night race, Jimmie Johnson is favored to win, as he has been the hottest driver in NASCAR the past month after a slow start.

Jimmie Johnson 4/1
Kevin Harvick 5/1
Joey Logano 8/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 8/1
Jeff Gordon 8/1
Brad Keselowski 8/1
Kyle Busch 12/1
Matt Kenseth 12/1
Kasey Kahne 12/1
Tony Stewart 20/1
Kyle Larson 25/1
Carl Edwards 25/1
Kurt Busch 25/1
Denny Hamlin 25/1
Clint Bowyer 30/1
Brian Vickers 40/1
Jamie McMurray 40/1
Greg Biffle 50/1
Ryan Newman 50/1
Paul Menard 60/1
Martin Truex Jr 60/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Marcos Ambrose 300/1
Aric Almirola 300/1
Justin Allgaier 300/1
Ricky Stenhouse 300/1
AJ Allmendinger 300/1
Casey Mears 300/1
Danica Patrick 300/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1

Who Will Win the 2014 Quaker State 400

Jimmie Johnson (4/1) is favored to win. I’ve seen a lot of talk about Johnson not winning here before, but there have only been three races in Kentucky and he has finished inside of the T10 each time. He finished 9th last year and led the race for 182 of 267 laps.

There is no one hotter right now in NASCAR than Johnson who has won three of the L5 races. Johnson now has more wins than any other driver this season and he has quickly jumped into 2nd place in the Sprint Cup standings with 560 points.

Kevin Harvick (5/1) is next in the market, but I’m not too sure why. Harvick has two wins this year and is 9th in the SC standings with 472 points, but in the three races at Kentucky he has finished in 16th, 11th and 10th place, which doesn’t inspire confidence.

Harvick has never led a lap on this track and I’ll be looking to fade him in match-up markets on Saturday night. Brad Keselowski (8/1) didn’t finish this race last year (33rd Place), but in the two year’s prior he finished in 7th place (2011) and 1st place (2012).

Keselowski has a great chance to win his second race of the season, but I’m not betting on him. I’m going with Kyle Busch (12/1), as I think his odds should be shorter. Busch has the 2nd highest driver rating on this track the L2 years and is only trailing Johnson.

Busch won the race in 2011, finished in 10th place in 2012 and 5th place last year. In 801 laps on this track Busch has led for 243 laps and I expect him to be amongst the leaders. He’s looking for his 2nd win on the season and is currently 11th in the SC standings.

Another driver I’ll be targeting in match-up markets is Matt Kenseth (12/1). He should have some favourable match-ups and he has done great in Kentucky. Kenseth has finished 6th, 7th and 1st place on this track although he has only led 38 laps in those three races.

· My Picks: Kyle Busch to Win +1200

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