MLB Free Pick | Reds at Padres
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Game: Cincinnati Reds (8-12, RL 12-8) at San Diego Padres (11-11, RL 10-12)
When: 4:10 PM ET, Sunday, April 21st, 2019
Where: Petco Park, San Diego, California
Current Line: SD -144 Total: 7.5
TV Coverage: FS Ohio, FS San Diego
Probable Pitchers: Tyler Mahle (0-1, 2.65 ERA) vs. Joey Lucchesi (2-2, 5.06 ERA)
24-year-old Tyler Mahle is not a household name, but don’t be surprised it is by 2022. He will only be 28, and have that much more Major League experience. Mahle threw a perfect game in Double-A using only 88 pitches, and was a hit batter from recording another the year before.
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Both Mahle’s slider and change up were among the worst in the Majors last year, and made sweeping changes in the offseason. He’ll still be a fastball hurler, just wants to rely less on it, throwing it 68% of the time last year. That percentage had him ranked 11th highest rate in baseball taking into account the 140 pitchers that threw at least 100 innings.
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This year he’s replaced his slider with a curveball and a splitter is replacing his change. Mahle gave up 5 hits and no runs, striking out 5 in his season opener against the Pirates, then went 5, allowing 2 hits, including a homer for the lone run while K’ing 7.
He had a slight implosion his last time out, but that was against the scorching hot Dodgers, allowing 4 runs on 11 hits. His ERA on the season sits at 2.65 with a WHIP of 1.29…the dude can pitch.
The Reds are not as bad as their 1-8 record to start the season indicated. I’m fading the consensus today and taking the road dog.
MLB Free Pick: Reds Moneyline +134
Free pick by Joe Berra
If you’re still reading, you’re in luck, because I don’t usually do this. I am parlaying this pick with the Mariners and Indians for a nice $800 return on a $100 bet.
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