MLB Free Pick | Mets at Pirates

After a first half that saw them go through a stretch of losing 19 out of 31, not including losing streaks of 5 and 7, the Mets are just 2 games under .500 and 4 games back from a Wild Card spot. The opposite can be said for the Pirates. They were 4 games above .500 on May 19, but besides a stretch towards the end of June, the Pirates have been losing.

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Game: New York Mets (54-56, 56-54 ATS) at Pittsburgh Pirate (48-62, 53-57 ATS)

When: 1:35 PM ET, Sunday, August 4th, 2019

Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Current Line: NYM -136 PIT +126 Total: 8.5

TV Coverage: SNY, AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Probable Pitchers: Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (7-5, 4.10 ERA) vs. Joe Musgrove (8-9, 4.23 ERA)

 

Since the All-Star break, the Pirates have gone 4 and 17, including a 9 game losing streak. Josh Bell really came into his own this season, and currently leads the baseball in RBIs with 89.

With younger guys like Bryan Reynolds and Kevin Newman and a core of Bell and Marte, this team will be fine, but they’re not right atm.

Syndergaard has not been having a Thorian-like season, but he didn’t get moved at the deadline and has stayed healthy. His 4.10 era is still 26th in the NL, and his 134 innings pitched are only 2 behind deGrom’s team leading 136.

When betting baseball, you have to look at all options, and I am considering a F5 run line wager on the Mets at -0.5+105. If you are not sure what this means, if the Mets are winning by 1 run after 5, you win. I like this bet because it gives us our + odds.

Since the All-Star break, Thor has gone at least 7 innings in his 4 starts, striking out 36 and walking only 7 with an ERA of 1.91. This current Pirates team has very few ABs against Syndergaard, so many will be seeing his stuff for the first time.

I don’t think there will be many runs scored, but 8.5 is too low to bet the total. I usually like to bet dogs, but the Mets at -136 is good enough value for me to jump on.

MLB Free Pick: New York Mets ML -136

2nd pick: Mets 1st Half F5 -0.5+105

Free pick by Joe Berra