MLB FREE Pick | Dodgers @ Rockies

The Dodgers again? Really? Yes, people. Really. The NL West Division leaders are hot after taking three of four games from division foe Arizona. Runs anyone? The Dodgers plated 42 of them in the four-game series with the Diamondbacks. Guess where L.A. plays on Thursday? Coors Field.

 

 

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers (55-27, 39-43 ATS) at Colorado Rockies (42-38, 43-37 ATS)

When: 8:40 PM ET, June 27th, 2019

Where: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado

Current Line: LAD -196 COL +181     Total: 11.5

TV Coverage: MLB Network, SportsNet LA, AT&T Sportsnet-Rocky Mountain

Probable Pitchers: Walker Buehler (8-1, 2.96 ERA) vs. Peter Lambert (2-0, 5.85 ERA)

 

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I’m not a scientist, but I do know this. The reduced drag on a baseball hit at higher altitude – such as in Denver’s Coors Field – allows it to travel farther. Coors Field is a hitter-friendly ballpark and guess who has plenty of hitters? Yes, the Dodgers. Well, the Dodgers and the Rockies.

Yes, the Dodgers are among the top five hitting teams in the majors in terms of batting average. The Rockies are actually better checking in at .266 (3rd in MLB) while the Dodgers are fourth at .265. Perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado bats .317 with 19 homers and 62 RBIs. He is one of three batting over .300. Charlie Blackmon (.325, 18 HR, 49 RBI) and David Dahl (.320, 10 HR, 45 RBI) are the others. Dahl hit a grand slam yesterday as Colorado beat San Francisco.

The point here, of course, is that both teams have guys who can hit. Both teams put up lots of runs. The game is being played at Coors Field, a hitter’s ballpark. The Dodgers faced the Rockies back in April at Coors Field in a three-game series. L.A. scored 29 runs in those three games and the OVER cashed in twice.

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When the Dodgers faced the Rockies just last week at home, they scored only 15 runs. They did sweep Colorado, but L.A. was much less productive from the confines of Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers will be going up against a young pitcher in Peter Lambert. He has started just four games and is 2-0. In his third start, Lambert gave up nine hits and eight runs – all earned – in just three innings. The Rockies lost 14-13.

The Dodgers are going to score. The Rockies, despite facing Walker Buehler who beat them last week, will likely score as well. Take the OVER in this one.

MLB Free Pick: Dodgers @ Rockies OVER 11.5

Pick by Rick

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