It feels like forever since I gave y’all a free sports pick, but Joe is BACK BABY!!! Needless to say, a lot has gone on since I gave you a pick for last year’s World Series Game 7. However, something’s will never change. If you remember, I love betting underdogs, and I have one today for my MLB free pick from the Astros vs. Athletics.
Game: Houston Astros (6-7, 6-7 ATS) at Oakland Athletics (10-4, 7-7 ATS)
When: 4:10 PM ET, Saturday, August 8th, 2020
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, California
America’s Bookie Current Line: HOU +130 OAK -150 Total: 8.5
Probable Pitchers: Framber Valdez (0-1, 2.53 ERA) vs. Frankie Montas (1-1, 2.25 ERA)
All Signs Point to the Dog
Getting the Astros at +130 is just too juicy to pass up today.
Although the Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 versus the A’s, I love them and Framber in this spot. He went 6.1 innings in relief last Sunday, allowing 5 hits and no earned runs while striking out 8 and only issuing 1 free pass.
Sure the A’s are sending out their ace in Frankie Montas, but a quick look at his stats versus the Astros hitters shows why I like Houston here.
Five regulars are hitting over .300 against Frankie, including Altuve at .385, Reddick at .364, Gurriel .300 with Carlos Correa hitting .500 (4-8), including a homer.
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I do have to back that up by saying that Oakland’s hitters have found some success vs. Valdez as well, but the sample size is just too small for it to really impact my decision.
The reality of this game is all signs do point to the A’s winning, and the 79% public consensus on an Oakland victory proves that.
I am bucking that trend and taking the Houston Astros to win this one. It is one of the earlier starts on the MLB scores and odds list for today despite being on the West coast, do miss out on my first free gem of the year.
MLB Free Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline +130
Free pick by Joe Berra