Mets Phillies Free Pick | Sept. 15, 2020

With less than 2 weeks left in the 2020 MLB season, this one is a huge matchup from the NL East. My Mets Phillies free pick comes from Philly where both teams have the playoffs in their sights.

 


Game: New York Mets (21-26, 23-24 RL) at Philadelphia Phillies (23-23, 19-27 RL)

When: 7:05 PM ET, Tuesday, September 15th, 2020

Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Current Line: NYM -126 PHI +116 Total: 9.5

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello (1-4, 6.07 ERA) vs. Jake Arrieta (3-4, 5.54 ERA)

TV Coverage: SNY, NBCSP


 

Here I go again in search of betting value. I love betting MLB underdogs, and this game tonight is another opportunity to cash in with some + money.

 

 

Porcello vs. Arrieta

Rick Porcello takes the mound for the Mets, his 3rd time doing so against the Phillies this season. He is 0-1 in his prior 2 starts versus them this year, giving up 13 hits over 12 innings. His ERA against the Mets this year is 4.50, and is 3-3 with a 4.40 ERA in his career.

Porcello got roughed up by the Orioles his last time out. He gave up 5 runs on 10 hits over 4 innings last Wednesday.

Over on the home side, Jake Arrieta takes the bump for the Phillies. Arrieta hasn’t exactly been the pillar of consistency this year, but he has been much better of late. He could be key to today’s Mets Phillies free pick.

In 3 of his last 4 starts, Arrieta has given up 3 runs or less, including a 7 inning outing versus these Mets on September 4th. In that start, he allowed 7 hits and 2 earned runs in a 5-3 win.

Depth Will Win

The Phillies will be without Rhys Hoskins, who may be looking at major surgery after suffering a UCL injury. J.T. Realmuto may not be in the lineup for this one either, but with roster depth, I expect the Phillies to end their three game losing streak.

The Phillies are 15-10 at home with the Mets 11-13 on the road. I’m tempted to take the OVER here, but my best bet is the Philadelphia Phillies on the moneyline at +116 at America’s Bookie.

Reds Cardinals Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline +116

Free pick by Joe Berra

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