Friday Service Plays 8-28-15



Friday’s NFL Preseason Tips
By Tony Mejia

♠Patriots at Panthers (-1, 44) – 7:30 p.m. ET♣

New England

Head coach: Bill Belichick (44-39 SU, 40-36-7 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback rotation: Tom Brady, Jimmy Garoppolo, Ryan Lindley

Brady’s situation creates a dilemma for Belichick, who rode Garoppolo last week and knows he’s got to continue bringing him up to speed in case the Deflategate appeal doesn’t go his No. 1’s way. Brady has been razor-sharp in practices, but has struggled to move the Patriots in his limited preseason drives. Of course, the Patriots have been missing top WRs Julian Edelman, Brandon LaFell and Aaron Dobson in addition to tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Scott Chandler, so this has really been as strange an offseason as there’s ever been in a New England. Considering the team just lived through Aaron Hernandez overshadowing the 2013 version, that’s saying something.


Head coach: Ron Rivera (10-8 SU, 10-7-1 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback rotation: Cam Newton, Derek Anderson, Joe Webb

Rivera plans on his starters going to 35-40 plays, likely having them start the second half in spite of all the injury trouble they’ve had this training camp. Center Ryan Kalil sprained his knee and is out the remainder of preseason, leaving Newton without his top protector. Despite this, the Panthers head coach thinks it’s important to press forward and avoid becoming snake-bit by a week which also saw his team lose top WR Kelvin Benjamin and DE Frank Alexander for the season.

♠Titans at Chiefs (-4, 44 ½) – 8:00 p.m. ET♠


Head coach: Ken Whisenhunt (11-20 SU, 11-19-1 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback rotation: Marcus Mariota (Rookie), Zach Mettenberger, Charlie Whitehurst, Alex Tanney

Mariota will be looking to find the end zone for the first time this preseason, but he made a number of eye-opening plays on Sunday night and will gain a little more seasoning here. Whisenhunt isn’t loving the idea of a dress rehearsal on a short week with so many players banged up, so he’s probably not going to have many of his starters play into the second half. Since Jason McCourty is now out for the rest of the preseason with a groin injury, the Titans are also getting a long look at their cornerback depth.

Kansas City

Head Coach: Andy Reid (30-36 SU, 28-34-4 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback Rotation: Alex Smith, Chase Daniel, Aaron Murray

No current coach has won this third preseason game more often than Reid, who is 10-6 entering this one. He’s treated this game like a typical regular-season contest since and continues to diligently follow that blue print, so expect Alex Smith and Chase Daniel to split all the snaps from center and a defense that has looked impressive thus far to continue attacking.

♠Lions at Jaguars (-2, 42) – 8:00 p.m. ET♠


Head coach: Jim Caldwell (6-12 SU, 8-10 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback Rotation: Matthew Stafford, Dan Orlovsky, Kellen Moore, Garrett Gilbert

Stafford has gone 8-for-10 for 135 yards in his short preseason stint so far, but with Calvin Johnson unlikely to play here, he’s probably not going to play a full half either. Both Orlovsky and Moore have struggled in preseason, so Caldwell may utilize this game to come to a final decision between them. Orlovsky has pulled ahead.


Head coach: Gus Bradley (3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback rotation: Blake Bortles, Chad Henne, Stephen Morris, Jeff Tuel

Bortles has been productive despite not having a TD pass to his credit yet. He does have a TD run and has taken a lot of snaps through the first two games, so new coordinator Greg Olson may open things up for him as he’s likely to play into the second half. Rookie running back T.J. Yeldon will finally make his debut. Bradley is 0-2 in dress rehearsal games, but has won two of his last three home preseason dates.




New England Over CAROLINA by 7
LW Jimmy Garoppolo was 28-of-33 for 269 and a TD vs NOR and
was not sacked at all this past week, but the Patriots failed to find
success in the running game. The Panthers offense put up 31
points as the MIA backups struggled again. Where does CAR go
on offense? C Newton and D Anderson were 12-of-26 for 129 yds.
It will be a group effort to try to replace the production of Kelvin
Benjamin. A running game would help. Carolina did better running
the football with 119 yards on 29 carries, but 58 of those yards
came on three carries. Sloppy tackling and lots of penalties really
hurt CAR and it was not a good showing for the 1st team vs MIA.
Tannehill surgically moved the ball on the Panthers. CAR was 3-
13 on 3rd down and had 7 stops on 16 on defense. The PATS saw
many good things from Garoppolo, on the other hand, CAR had
missed tackles, couldn’t stay on the field, couldn’t get off the field,
and did most of their damage against Dolphins backups. Panthers
are already tapping into a lot of depth and that’s not a good sign.
Projected Score: New England 24, Carolina 17


JACKSONVILLE over Detroit by 8
Don’t expect to see Lions QB Stafford on the field whereas, the
Jags used QB Bortles almost a half LW and should see more
action TW. Lions HC is now just 6-12 in preseason. Matthew
Stafford only made 8 throws LW and Orlovsky went 13-17 for 118.
Defensively, the Lions wore down after a strong showing from the
starters. The backups couldn’t get off the field. The Redskins were
8-13 on 3rd down and ran for 179 yds and C. Reid was hurt,
which weakens the interior depth. It was a rough game for the
Jaguars LW vs NYG. Arrelious Benn and a handful of others
suffered injuries. Benn broke his collarbone and offensive tackle
Josh Wells has a dislocated thumb. It was a lackluster showing
from the Jaguars offense overall. They only managed 16 1st
downs and 4 FG’s and ran for 60 yds and Blake Bortles was just
8-16 for 98. That was against a NYG D that lost just about every
able-bodied D back on the roster. Motivation is a big deal in thiis
game, so Jag players will be more fired up and focused.
Projected Score: Jacksonville 24, Detroit 16


NEWSLETTER NFL Preseason Prediction From Jason Sharpe 

Take #256 Jacksonville (-2) over Detroit (8 p.m., Friday, Aug. 28)
The Detroit Lions have become a veteran football team as quarterback Mathew Stafford enters his 7th NFL season overall. The NFL Preseason is mainly for younger teams to work on creating a winning culture, but for veteran teams like the Lions who are coming off a playoff season last year, it’s less about winning and more about not getting anyone hurt. The same can’t be said for these Jacksonville Jaguars as the Jags are trying to create some excitement for their fans and they’d love nothing more than to play well here in this big preseason week 3 ‘dress rehearsal’ game against Detroit. This is also the CBS national TV game on Friday night, which should only add to the Jaguars wanting to get a win. The Jaguars also hold the edge over the Lions in backup quarterback play, a huge factor in all NFL Preseason contests. Everything points towards one side in this one. Take Jacksonville here.


Five To Follow MLB Betting: Friday August 28, 2015 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

No doubt it will be a bittersweet return to San Francisco’s AT&T Park on Friday night for St. Louis in the opener of a three-game series with the Giants. The last time the Cardinals visited there was Game 5 of last year’s NLCS, which St. Louis was favored to win. However, the Giants finished it off with three straight home wins, capped by a walk-off series-winning three-run homer by Travis Ishikawa. It was the first game-winning homer to send the Giants into the World Series since a little thing called the “Shot Heard ‘Round the World” by Bobby Thompson in a 1951 playoff. That might be the most famous homer in MLB history. Ishikawa was just a bit player on that team. He started this year on the Giants but was waived a few months ago and claimed by Pittsburgh.

♦Cardinals at Giants (+110, 6.5)♦

The guy Ishikawa hit that homer off of? The Cardinals’ 2015 ace, Michael Wacha, and he starts here. Wacha hadn’t pitched at all in last year’s postseason until that ninth inning and had never made a big-league relief appearance. Former Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval singled to start the ninth. After an out, Brandon Belt walked to bring up Ishikawa, who crushed a 2-0 pitch. Not sure why Manager Mike Matheny used the rusty Wacha (hadn’t pitched in three weeks or so) considering lefty Randy Choate was throwing and ready in the bullpen, as was right-hander Seth Maness. Wacha (15-4, 2.80) hasn’t allowed more than two earned this season in five straight starts. He took a no-decision against the Giants on Aug. 18 despite allowing just a run in seven innings. The Giants’ Mike Leake (9-6, 3.44), returned from the DL last time out and was sharp, allowing a run over six innings in Pittsburgh. His final start with the Reds before the trade deadline was throwing eight innings of shutout ball in St. Louis.

Key trends: The Cards are 6-0 in Wacha’s past six road starts vs. teams with a winning record. The Giants are 2-6 in their past eight series openers. The “over/under” is 10-2 in Wacha’s past 12 series openers. The over is 6-0-1 in the Giants’ past seven Friday games.

Early lean: Cardinals and under.


♦Royals at Rays (-105, 7.5)♦

Tampa may have to put outfielder Desmond Jennings on the disabled list. He aggravated his surgically-repaired knee on Tuesday while running the bases. He has missed about 3 1/2 months this season because of that left knee. Jennings was reinstated from the 60-day disabled list on Aug. 14. Tampa goes with right-hander Erasmo Ramirez (10-4, 3.66) here. He hasn’t faced the Royals this season and has a 2.55 ERA at home in 2015. Former Ray Ben Zobrist is 4-for-9 with two homers off him. Kansas City goes with Edinson Volquez (11-7, 3.40). He comes off perhaps his worst start of the season, allowing six runs and nine hits over 6.2 innings in Boston. He did avoid a loss, however. Tampa’s Evan Longoria is 4-for-12 with three RBIs off him.

Key trends: The Royals are 5-0 in Volquez’s past five series openers. The Rays are 6-0 in Ramirez’s past six vs. teams with a winning record. The Royals are 18-5 in the past 23 meetings.

Early lean: Royals and under.


♦Orioles at Rangers (-140, 8.5)♦

Here’s an important series with American League wild-card implications. Entering Thursday, the Rangers are a half-game behind Minnesota for the final spot and Baltimore is two back. Would appear to be a big pitching edge for Texas in the opener as it goes with lefty Cole Hamels (7-8, 3.82). He made his fourth start Sunday since coming over from the Phillies and got his first win as a Ranger, allowing two runs in six innings in Detroit. Baltimore’s Gerardo Parra is 2-for-10 with an RBI off him. Adam Jones is 2-for-3 with an RBI. For the O’s, it’s Kevin Gausman (2-5, 4.30). They have lost his past four, although he has allowed more than three earned just once in that stretch. He shut out Texas over 6.1 innings on July 2 but took a no-decision.

Key trends: The Orioles are 0-6 in Gausman’s past six against teams with a winning record. The Orioles have won four straight series openers. Baltimore has won six of its past seven at Texas.

Early lean: Rangers and over.


♦Yankees at Braves (+195, 7.5)♦

New York continues to have a solid lead for the top wild-card spot but has lost five of seven and stopped hitting as Toronto has pulled away in the AL East. The Bombers will lose the designated hitter for this series, meaning arguably their team MVP, Alex Rodriguez, has to take a seat. Masahiro Tanaka (9-6, 3.61) gets the call in the series opener. Be interesting to see him bat. Tanaka is 4-2 with a 1.66 ERA in six career Interleague starts but has never faced Atlanta. For the Braves, it’s Williams Perez (4-4, 4.76). They have lost his past six and he has been hit around in four of those. Perez has a 6.12 ERA in four starts this month. He has never faced the Yankees.

Key trends: New York is 5-2 in Tanaka’s past seven on the road. The Braves are 0-7 in their past seven vs. teams with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Tanaka’s past four interleague starts. The over is 5-1-1 in Perez’s past seven vs. teams with a winning record.

Early lean: Yankees and under.


♦Astros at Twins (+130, 8)♦

Houston beat the Yankees on Wednesday for victory No. 71 on the season, already surpassing last year’s total. With almost six weeks left on the schedule, the Astros already have achieved their best season since 2010. And they are going to be good for several years. Lefty Scott Kazmir (7-8, 2.39) goes for Houston in this series opener. His final start with Oakland before being traded to the Astros was against Minnesota and he held the Twins to a run over 8.1 innings. Brian Dozier is a career .154 hitter off him in 26 at-bats. Torii Hunter is 9-for-33 with a homer. The resilient Twins start Kyle Gibson (8-9, 3.96). He hasn’t won since July 12 and has a 6.35 ERA this month. He hasn’t faced Houston this year.

Key trends: Houston is 6-1 in its past seven following an off day. The Twins are 2-7 in Gibson’s past nine in Game 1 of a series. The under is 5-1 in Kazmir’s past six starts. The over is 8-2 in Gibson’s past 10 on Friday.

Early lean: Astros and under.



MLB Friday

Fish-Nationals: I’d love to find reasons not to take Washington, or TOO take Miami. Clearly the Nats mindset, something I’ve questioned all along, cannot be good. Two months ago people crowned them NL Easy Champs and now they’re in real danger of playing golf in September. Just maybe Max’s big pitch counts in the 1H are wearing on him, who knows, but he’s certainly been more hittable, and Miami has seen just enough of him (and hit him in spots) to think the Nats may be the public disaster/parlay killer of the day.

Pirates-Rockies: Again, is it really wise to look at the Pirates ML here – against a team that’s at least CAPABLE of hitting anyone at any time. The Pirates are in the dreaded first game back and get in late from Miami, while the Rockies rest. Jon Gray was lit up by the Mets, but New Yorks’ been lighting up everyone. Colorado’s pen has been beyond respectable lately. Liriano has thrown an awful lot of pitches the last two games, but Pittsburgh’s pen has been great – and with Cole pitching Thursday they might not need much of it. I do like the under here.

Phillies-Padres: I just don’t ever back the Padres unless it’s against a LHP, which Nola is not.I know Kennedy has been pitching well of late but he still gives up a HR about every five innings (that’s a lot) and he’s not in Petco (pitcher friendly) and this park is more of a hitters’ venue. What I don’t like about Nola is his first 100 pitch count game last time out. Since both pens have been miserable – there’s a reason this total is at 8 juiced to the over with two typically anemic offenses. Check the weather and the umpire.

Brewers-Reds: Cincinnati couldn’t hit Grienke and one might think it’s time to back them and fade Jungmann, but I just don’t think I can. The Reds have allowed double-digit hits in 12 of their last 17 games (headed into Thursday) and are 16 games under .500 on the road. Brewers obviously rested, but how motivated can the Reds be to play ANYONE for the rest of the season. The Brewers have been giving up a ton of runs as well, and that total of 7.5 looks entirely too easy at this point. One would think Milwaukee may get most of those. But, Iglesias has settled in nicely and only allowed three hits in four straight games.

Cubs-Dodgers: I get Kerhsaw being -200 to many teams, but not to Hammel and the Cubs after flying back from Cincinnati and playing a game that saw them squander tons of chances to win by more than 1-0. The Cubs are going to lose at San Francisco Thursday – but without over thinking this one I would take the Cubs RL. All these -200 or more favorites just are not going to win.

Cardinals-Giants: Another game with both contenders and teams the tend to play good baseball, especially down the stretch. The Giants are a bit more nicked up and less rested (Cardinals had Thursday off), but Rosenthal is supposed to miss this series (personal) and the St. Louis pen has had some cracks lately. I’d have to wait for lineups (the Giants mainly because w/the rest day you expect the Cardinals to have everyone in). This will be Leake’s first game in SF since coming over – what might concern me is that since this series will have a playoff atmosphere, Wacha has a but more experience im key situations. I do think St. Louis scores – so a good F5 bet without Rosenthal, perhaps.

Tigers-Jays: Natural assumption here is that the Jays will just be pissed about losing (finally) and pound the sh*t out of Detroit. Well, if anyone can get shelled at Rogers it’s Dickey, and if anyone can do the shelling it’s the Tigers. I know it’s Boyd, who’s a LHP and the Jays murder left handed pitching, AND the kid hasn’t been great in his limited road starts, but I’, still not laying -200 or more and never laying -1.5 with a home team who may not get the last at bat. Just a rule of mine. This game may go over 9.5 – but needing ten runs to win a bet might be a tough one to swallow. For me.

Angels-Indians: Only one team really, really cares here, and that’s starting to matter more every day. We typically don’t take the Indians against LHP, however, there may be value. He hadn’t allowed more than one ER in quite some time and the Angels clearly aren’t hitting right now. The problem with Heaney is that he’s not generally going to pitch deep so it’s likely that the LAA pen will be called on, and that’s not been a good thing lately. Hard to see where the runs are going to come from and the Indians may win this one late.

Houston-Twins: I really wish the Twins weren’t flying back from Tampa while Houston rested, because I do love the Twins at home against left handed pitching. Gibson is more than adequate here.

Royals-Rays: It’ll be hard not to take the Rays at home at “pick the winner” with Ramirez. That may be a great first five inning bet since there is a huge advantage in the back in with Kansas City.

Mets-Red Sox: Let’s not forget that Boston gets no DH here so I do wonder how they score, at least early. Owens’s first real “big stage” type game, although he did open in Yankee Stadium. The issue is there was no real scouting report then, so I can’t, as much as I’d like to, make a case for Boston unless there’s uber revenge from someone still in the organization from 1986.

A’s-D-Backs: Sonny Gray at -130 almost looks to easy, but let’s not forget that unless he’s comfortably ahead he has to bat three times – so that’s another F5 game perhaps, and I can make a case for the A’s only because they’re in a smaller park and Anderson is a fly ball pitcher. The problem is that the A’s pen has regressed back to where it was the 1H of the season, so it really is all on Gray, IMO – perhaps the F5 under as well.

Seattle-Chicago: This one may come down to who wants to play/pitch. And totally, for me, depends on who shows up Thursday night. I tend to like Chicago better against right handed pitching, Walker’s a fly ball pitcher NOT in Seattle (a pitchers’ park) on Friday. I’d like the over here if there weren’t supposed to be a stiff breeze blowing in. We’ll see what happens.


NEWSLETTER WNBA Basketball Prediction From Indian Cowboy 

Take ‘Under’ – Minnesota vs. New York (7:30 p.m., Friday, Aug. 27)
This Friday in the WNBA Minnesota hooks up with New York on the road, and it should be a fantastic game. We are 24-12 (66%) for +$4,000 in the second half of the WNBA season and 5-0 over the last five WNBA Sunday picks and come off a 3-0 Sunday sweep. Minnesota lost to New York earlier this year on the road 87-80, and this team is uniquely aware of the loss. Minnesota rarely gives up that many points in a game, and undoubtedly they will look to make the defensive changes necessary for this contest to give itself a chance at revenge. And Minnesota is fantastic at the Under when they come off a loss or have revenge games. Also, we get them off a loss as they travel to New York for this game after falling short against Phoenix (a 4-unit win for us). Take a look at Minnesota coming off a loss such as giving up 83 points to the Sparks on the road earlier this season, then giving up 73 points in their next game to Phoenix, or giving up 79 points to Washington and then giving up 61 points to San Antonio in their next game. And as this team comes off a loss to Phoenix, giving up 79 points to Phoenix and with revenge to boot with New York being a good defensive team at home, we roll with the ‘under’ here this Friday evening in what is a definite premium selection for us on Friday.


NEWSLETTER College Football Futures Prediction From Alan Harris 

Take Trevone Boykin (QB TCU) to win Heisman Trophy (5/1)
This prop will not be available for those of you that place your bets in Las Vegas, but if you wager offshore, this prop is widely available at all the major books, so be sure to shop for the best number before making your bet. Trevone Boykin passed for over 3,700 yards last season and threw for 30 TDs in a season where TCU probably should have been one of the last four teams playing for the National Championship. He was also a threat with his legs, rushing for 642 yards and another eight TDs, and we expect those numbers to only go up this season in a spread offense that should be more effective in 2015 under co-offensive coordinators Doug Meacham and Sonny Cumbie. Boykin finished fourth in the Heisman voting last season and playing on a team that comes into the season ranked No. 2 in the AP Poll will only help his case going forward. TCU expects to be there this year when it’s all said and done, so a season where Boykin accounts for 45+ TD’s will have him in the running all year long. This number will come down a bit after Boykin has a good showing in TCU’s opening game with Minnesota, so be sure to jump on this now before the value is gone!


NEWSLETTER College Football Futures Prediction From Robert Ferringo 

Take West Virginia ‘Over’ 7.5 Wins (NCAAF Futures)
I think Dana Holgorsen’s team was better than its 7-6 record showed last season. And I expect them to continue to improve as I love the athleticism they bring to the table. With the exception of a road loss at Texas, all of WVU’s losses came against teams ranked in the Top 12 at the time, including competitive losses to Top 5 teams Alabama and TCU. This year the WVU defense should be even better thanks to nine returning starters and four three-year starters. Holgorsen’s teams always score points, and I think they will be able to replace the mediocre production that Clint Trickett provided. WVU should get off to a 3-0 start with east. And in November they have three of four at home, with the lone road game at pathetic Kansas. That means WVU merely has to pull one upset in its remaining five games to beat this number. I think that’s exactly what they will do as the Mountaineers have pulled an upset over a Top-10 team (ranked that way at the time) in three straight seasons. Two of those upsets were on the road, and this is a team that almost no one sees coming. WVU’s turnover differential is in a range that suggests a bounce-back effort this year, and if they get decent quarterback play they could be a spoiler in the Big 12.


Game of the Day: Argonauts at Eskimos

♠♠ Toronto Argonauts at Edmonton Eskimos (-5, 48.5)

The Toronto Argonauts look to stay hot when they hit the road to face the Edmonton Eskimos on Friday. The Argonauts have won three straight games following a 30-24 victory over the Ottawa Redblacks in Week 9 to keep pace with the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in the race for first place in the East Division.

Toronto has won five of six games against West Division opponents this season, including a 26-11 triumph over the Eskimos in Week 1, and hopes to notch four consecutive victories for the first time since 2013. Edmonton coach Chris Jones has decided to shake things up at quarterback following a demoralizing 49-20 home loss to the Tiger-Cats. Backup pivot James Franklin, who replaced the ineffective Matt Nichols late in the second quarter against Hamilton, is set to make his first CFL start after a number of relief appearances. Franklin has thrown five touchdown passes compared to one interception, and has been tasked with leading the Eskimos through a brutal gauntlet of games against Toronto, Calgary and Hamilton in the next three weeks.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Eskimos at -3.5 but they are now -5. The total opened at 48 and is up a half point to 48.5.

INJURY REPORT: Argonauts – SB Andre Durie (Six-game IR, knee), QB Ricky Ray (Six-game IR, shoulder). Eskimos – Mike Reilly (Late October, knee).

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS, 4-4 O/U): Trevor Harris continues to be a revelation for Toronto as he threw for 266 yards and three touchdowns against Ottawa to give him a league-best 19 TD passes on the season. Swayze Waters returned to the fold after missing six games with a knee injury and booted two crucial field goals in the fourth quarter, including the go-ahead kick from 34 yards, against the Redblacks. “An unbelievable performance by him,” Toronto coach Scott Milanovich told reporters. “Actually I shouldn’t say that because it’s believable with Swayze.”

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS, 3-5 O/U): Franklin went 22-of-36 for 254 yards and two interceptions after replacing Nichols, who is tied for the league lead with 10 interceptions, in the loss to the Tiger-Cats. “Nichols has played very good football for us but James graded out a little better and that’s the direction we’re going,” Jones told reporters. “He played against a very good defense the other night and performed well.” Derel Walker continues to impress as the rookie wide receiver has caught 24 passes for 308 yards in two games since being inserted into the lineup Aug. 13.


* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Argonauts are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings in Edmonton.
* Argonauts are 1-5 ATS in their last six games in August.
* Eskimos are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-five percent are backing the Eskimos.


StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

Play On – Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (EDMONTON) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in August games
39-13 since 1997. ( 75.0% | 24.7 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )


StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

Play Under – Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

Play Against – Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record
91-63 since 1997. ( 59.1% | 0.0 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 0.0 units )

Play On – Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (SAN ANTONIO) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, with a losing record after 15 or more games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )


Coach Fletcher

MLB Friday Scouting Edge

It’s that time of the year again when the odds get jacked up almost to a place where they are unplayable. Six teams opened at -200 or more for today’s games.

4:05 pm Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates

Gray Challenges Liriano in Pittsburgh

The first thing you need to know is that this Gray is Jon Gray. Please don’t confuse him with Oakland’s Sonny Gray. Gray is a 23 year old who was the Rockie’s first pick, 3rd overall, in the 2013 draft. He has made 4 major league starts and sports a record of 0-0 with a 5.94 era. He’s allowed 18 hits in 16 2/3 innings of work. Gray has been tagged for 12 runs, 11 of which were earned. He’s given up 2 bombs and walked 5 while fanning 14. Gray had some success in the minor leagues. He was outstanding in Rookie and A+ league play going 8-0 in 2013. His era was a combined 2.97. He spent the 2014 season at Tulsa in Double-A ball. In 24 starts he was 10-5 with a 3.91 era. Before the Rockies called him up he spent time with Albuquerque in the Triple-A Pacific Coast League. He went 6-6 with a 4.33 era. In his last start against the Mets he only lasted 1 2/3 innings giving up 7 runs on 8 hits including a grand slam to Yoenis Cespedes. Gray has the misfortune of facing Francisco Liriano. Francisco is 9-6 this year with a 3.23 era. The Pirates have won each of Liriano’s last 10 starts. Liriano has gone 5-0 with a 3.19 era during that stretch. If you are looking for a reason to bet the Rockies (and why would you?) you can go back to 2013 when Liriano gave up 10 runs and 12 hits in 2 1/3 innings at Coors Field. He’s 1-2 with a 5.48 era lifetime against the Rockies. Liriano and the Bucs opened at -230.

4:05 pm Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals

Scherzer Back to the Bump After 3 Straight Losses

The Nationals have lost all 3 of Scherzer’s last starts and that hadn’t happened all year. The line opened at -260 so you have some thinking to do. In Scherzer’s last 3 starts he’s allowed 13 runs in 15 innings for a 7.80 era. He has given up 23 hits, 5 of them round trippers. He’s walked 4 and fanned 20. 2 of the losses came against the Rockies (1 home, 1 away) and 1 to the Giants. Max was tagged for the loss in the last 2 making him 11-10 on the year with a 2.79 era. Scherzer is 2-0 with a 3.60 era against the Fish. It’s been a struggle for some time for Max. He’s just 1-3 with a 5.08 era in his last 7 starts. He’s given up 44 hits in and 22 runs in the last 39 innings he has pitched. Scherzer is 4-5 at home this season with a 3.11 era. He’s gone 0-2 in August with a 6.86 era and a .307 batting average against.

5:10 pm Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox

Walker Goes as Road Favorite Against Chisox

Unless King Felix is on the mound it isn’t often that you see the Mariners favored on the road. But they are today thanks to the excellent form of Taijuan Walker. It might not be based on his last start, however, when these same Pale Hose scored 5 runs on 7 hits against Walker in 5 2/3 innings. After a slow start to the season, Walker has gone 8-2 with a 3.65 era in his last 16 starts. But there are a few signs that he may be regressing. Walker has gone 1-0 in his last 3 starts with a 5.09 era. He’s gone 2-0 in his last 7 games with a 4.47 era. Walker is 6-4 with a 4.99 era on the road. His era in August is 4.68. Batters have hit .278 against him in this month. Walker is 1-1 against the White Sox with a 5.58 era. Seattle opened at -120.

5:10 pm Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

Renovation Projects Get Underway at Miller Park

Only in this case, it’s the 2 teams playing that are undergoing restoration. In fact, these 2 teams have occupied the bottom spots in the NL Central since May 22. The Cincinnati Reds have already traded away much of their pitching staff. In fact, they have been going with an all-rookie rotation for almost a month. The Brewers are going nowhere but they are also starting a rookie with potential. Raisel Iglesias goes for the Reds. He is 3-5 with a 3.93 era. He’s only allowed 1 run over the past 19 innings and he fanned 13 D-Backs in his last start. Iglesias has a 1.93 era in the month of August where opponents are hitting just .145 against him. Taylor Jungmann goes for the Brew Crew and he is 7-5 with a superb 2.66 era. In 6 starts at home, Jungman has an era of only 1.75. Jungman is 1-0 against the Reds with a 1.13 era. The Brewers opened as -132 favorites.

7:15 pm St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants

Possible Playoff Foes Meet By the Bay

With an 81-45 record, there isn’t much doubt that the Cardinals will make the playoffs. They have a 4.5 game lead over the Pirates and an 8 game lead on the Cubs. The Giants are still chasing the Dodgers like they have been all season. Just 2.5 games out, the Giants best hope is beating out the Dodgers for the NL West title. Michael Wacha will go for St. Louis and he is a leading candidate for the Cy Young. He’s 15-4 with a 2.80 era. He’s only allowed 4 earned runs in his last 5 starts and on August 17 he faced these same Giants and gave up 1 run in 7 innings. Wacha has gone 9-2 on the road with a 3.11 era. He’s 2-0 with a 1.89 era in his last 3 starts. Wacha is 5-1 with a 2.45 era in his last 7 starts. He’s 3-0 in August with a 1.38 era. To top it all off Wacha is 1-0 with a 0.69 era in 2 starts vs the Giants. He will face the Giant’s Mike Leake who has gone 1-1 with a 1.89 era in his last 3. St. Louis opened as a -120 favorite with a total of 6.5.

FREE PLAY – Houston Astros -130



National League
Marlins @ Nationals
Conley is 1-1, 5.12 in his four starts (over 3-1).

Scherzer is 0-2, 6.86 in his last four starts (over 3-1).

Miami lost three of last four games with Washington; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Marlins lost six of last seven games- five of their last six stayed under total. Washington won four of its last five (over 4-1-1 in last six). .

Rockies @ Pirates
Gray is 0-0, 6.48 in his four starts (over 3-1).

Liriano is 4-0, 4.91 in his last six starts; over is 6-0-1 in his last seven.

Colorado lost four of last six games with Pittsburgh; home side won nine of last ten series games. Rockies won last two games after losing six of previous seven– four of their last six went over total. Pirates won eight of last ten games; four of their last five stayed under.

Padres @ Phillies
Kennedy is 2-1, 2.55 in his last three starts (under 7-3 in his last ten).

Nola is 4-0, 3.93 in his last six starts (over 5-1); Phils scored 41 runs for him.

Padres lost four of last five games with Philly; five of last six series games got over total. San Diego lost three of last four games; five of its last six games stayed under. Phillies lost last four games; eight of their last ten went over. .

Reds @ Brewers
Iglesias is 2-2, 2.20 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Jungmann is 2-4, 4.55 in his last six starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Reds lost last four games with Milwaukee (over 3-1); Cincy lost 11 of last 12 games (over 5-2 in last seven) overall. Brewers lost last four games, allowing 32 runs; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games.

Cubs @ Dodgers
Hammel is 2-1, 4.01 in his last five starts; six of his last eight went over.

Kershaw is 5-0, 0.90 in his last nine starts; eight of his last ten stayed under.

Cubs are 3-5 in last eight games with LA; last four series games went under total. Chicago won six of last eight games (over 6-3 in last nine). Dodgers won last three games, allowing five runs; five of their last six stayed under.

Cardinals @ Giants
Wacha is 4-0, 1.09 in his last five starts (under 5-1 in last six).

Leake is 4-1, 1.06 in his last six starts (under 6-1 in last seven).

Cardinals lost four of their last six games with Giants (under 2-0-1 last three); St Louis won last five games; over is 4-1-2 in last seven. Giants are 3-5 in last eight games; over is 6-3-2 in their last eleven.

St Louis closer Rosenthal won’t be in SF this weekend; his wife is having a baby and Rosenthal will be in St Louis with her.

American League
Tigers @ Blue Jays
Former Blue Jay Boyd is 0-2, 6.06 in his last three starts (under 3-1 last four).

Dickey is 5-0, 3.50 in his last seven starts; last three went over. Dickey has a 7.31 RA in his last three starts; Jays scored 30 runs in those three games.

Tigers lost six of last seven games; six of their last eight stayed under; Tigers lost six of last nine games with Toronto (over 7-1 in last eight). Blue Jays won seven of last nine (seven of last eight went over).

Angels @ Indians
Heaney is 0-2, 5.96 in his last five starts; six of his last nine went over.

Salazar is 3-1, 2.45 in his last five starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Angels won seven of last ten games with Cleveland; under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Halos lost five of last seven games (over 5-2). Indians won five of last seven games; seven of their last ten went over the total.

Royals @ Rays
Volquez is 0-1, 5.95 in his last three starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight.

Ramirez is 2-0, 2.75 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over.

Royals won their last five games with Tampa Bay (over 5-0); KC won five of last six games- over is 4-1-2 in its last seven. Tampa Bay lost of its three of last four games; Rays’ last five games all went over.

Orioles @ Rangers
Gausman is 0-3, 4.91 in his last four starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.

Hamels is 1-1, 4.72 in his four starts for Texas.

Rangers won three of last four games with Baltimore; under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Texas won nine of last 13 games (under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games). Orioles lost seven of last eight games (under 4-2-1 in last seven).

Mariners @ White Sox
Walker is 2-0, 3.71 in his last five starts (over is 7-2 in his last nine).

Danks is 0-3, 5.68 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.

White Sox won three of last four games with Seattle (over 3-1); Chicago lost three of last five games overall– seven of their last ten went over. Mariners won three of last five games- five of their last six games went over total.

Astros @ Twins
Kazmir is 1-3, 5.56 in his last four starts (under 8-2 in his last ten).

Gibson is 0-3, 7.45 in his last seven starts.

Houston is 4-6 in last ten games with Minnesota (over 6-3 in last nine); Astros won seven of last nine games (over 7-2). Twins won six of last seven games– their last three all went over.

Red Sox @ Mets
Owens is 2-1, 4.88 in his four starts (over 4-0).

Harvey skipped his last start to keep his innings down; he is 3-0, 1.01 in his last five starts (over 4-2 in last six).

Mets won their last seven games, scoring 73 runs; 10 of their last 11 games went over total. NY lost four of last six games with Boston- six of last nine series games stayed under total. Boston won four of last six games (over 7-2-1 in last ten). If Ortiz is in lineup (NL park, no DH), Red Sox have a pathetic defensive infield.

Bronx @ Braves
Tanaka is 2-3, 3.82 in his last five starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight.

Perez is 0-4, 8.28 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1).

Bronx won five of last seven games with Atlanta; three of last four series tilts stayed under total. NY lost five of last seven games overall; four of last six went over total. Braves lost nine of last ten games; four of their last five went over.

A’s @ Diamondbacks
Gray is 2-1, 2.09 in his last five starts (under 7-1-1 in his last nine).

Anderson is 2-1, 4.63 in his last four starts.

Oakland lost four of last five games with Arizona; three of last four went over total. A’s lost four of last six games; their last five went over total. Diamondbacks lost last four games; over is 4-2-2 in their last eight.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mia-Wsh– Conley 3-1; Scherzer 13-12
Col-Pitt– Gray 0-4; Liriano 14-10 (10-0 last 10)
SD-Phil– Kennedy 11-12; Nola 5-2
Cin-Mil– Iglesias 4-8; Jungmann 8-6
Chi-LA– Hammel 12-12 (4-1 last 5); Kershaw 13-12
StL-SF– Wacha 19-5; Leake 11-12/0-2

Det-Tor– Boyd 1-5/1-3; Dickey 17-7 (6-0 last 6)
LA-Clev– Heaney 8-3; Salazar 14-9
KC-TB– Volquez 18-8; Ramirez 14-6
Balt-Tex– Gausman 3-7; Hamels 12-12/2-2
Hst-Min– Kazmir 11-13/3-3; Gibson 13-12
Sea-Chi– Walker 14-11; Danks 11-13

Bos-NY– Owens 2-2; Harvey 14-9
NY-Atl– Tanaka 12-6; Perez 5-8 (0-6 last 6)
A’s-Az– Gray 15-10; Anderson 9-13

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mia-Wsh– Conley 0-4; Scherzer 5-23
Col-Pitt– Gray 3-4; Liriano 5-25
SD-Phil– Kennedy 8-23; Nola 4-7
Cin-Mil– Iglesias 2-12; Jungmann 2-14
Chi-LA– Hammel 10-24; Kershaw 5-25
StL-SF– Wacha 4-24; Leake 4-23

Det-Tor– Boyd 2-6; Dickey 11-24 (4 of last 5)
LA-Clev– Heaney 0-11; Salazar 7-23
KC-TB– Volquez 6-26; Ramirez 5-20
Balt-Tex– Gausman 5-10; Hamels 5-24
Hst-Min– Kazmir 4-24; Gibson 6-25
Sea-Chi– Walker 7-25; Danks 8-24

Bos-NY– Owens 2-4; Harvey 6-23
NY-Atl– Tanaka 4-18; Perez 5-13
A’s-Az– Gray 4-25; Anderson 8-22


StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

Play On – Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (LA ANGELS) terrible offensive team – scoring <=4.2 runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent poor offensive team – scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL)
254-264 over the last 5 seasons. ( 49.0% | 100.3 units )
38-50 this year. ( 43.2% | 6.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

NY METS are 44-17 (+25.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: NY METS (5.5) , OPPONENT (3.5)



MLB Screen Shot – Friday

Marlins @ Nationals — Washington’s Max Scherzer is 0-2 with a 7.80 ERA in his last three starts; he gave up five HRs in 15 innings of work. He beat the Marlins in two starts against them this year, giving up 5 runs and 13 hits in 14 innings of work. Miami’s Adam Conley threw his career high in pitches in his last outing. Overall, Conley has allowed 11 runs and 25 hits in his four starts this season. Conley figures to pitch poorly in this game, and if the Marlins can squeeze a couple of runs out of Scherzer, Over 7 (-115) may prove to be too low in this game.

Rockies @ Pirates — Colorado’s Jon Gray has just one start away from Coors Field this season. That outing came in New York against the Mets; he allowed just 1 run and one hit in six innings of work. The Rockies are watching his innings, so he’ll give way to a Colorado bullpen that owns a 4.81 ERA with 25 losses and 17 blown saves on the season. The Rockies are also 5-21 while averaging 3.7 runs per game versus left-handed starters this season.

Reds @ Brewers — Milwaukee’s Taylor Jungmann had a streak of 10 straight starts of allowing 2 earned runs or less snapped in his last outing in Washington. Back on July 5th, Jungmann held the Reds to just 1 run and four hits in eight innings pitched on the road. Cincinnati’s Raisel Iglesias is coming off a losing effort where he only allowed 2 runs and three hits in seven innings; he had 13 strikeouts in that game. Iglesias has given up just nine hits in his last 20 innings of work. I like Under 7.5 (-120) in this game.

Tigers @ Blue Jays — Toronto’s R.A. Dickey has allowed 13 runs and 26 hits in his last three starts. Dickey was shelled by the Tigers in Detroit back on July 4th, giving up 5 runs and 11 hits in 5.2 innings of work. Dickey has a 4.32 ERA in 11 career outings versus Detroit with seven of those games going Over the total. Detroit’s Matt Boyd has an ugly 6.90 ERA, and he’ll be facing a Toronto team that is hitting .276 against left-handed starters. I like Over 9.5 (-125) in this game.



1500* NFLX –  Detroit Lions +2

100* NFLx – KC Chiefs -5

100* MLB – A’s -130

50* MLB – Rangers -140



1 Unit Play. Take Carolina Panthers (pk) over New England Patriots

The Panthers have a miraculous 1-point victory last week against Miami, and expect them to take care of business in their final preseason home game of the exhibition season. New England still has major questions surrounding the status of Tom Brady, and thus Jimmy Garoppolo needs playing time with the first string. He completed a ton of passes against New Orleans last week, but not many of them were thrown down the field. Carolina has a much better defense than does New Orleans. Carolina also has revenge as New England pounded them last year in preseason play.



Baseball Crusher

Cincinnati Reds + Milwaukee Brewers – OVER 7.5
(System Record: 68-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 68-64-3


Basketball Crusher

Phoenix Mercury +3 over Washington Mystics
(System Record: 24-2, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 24-22-4


Soccer Crusher

Genk + Charleroi – OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 807-26, won last 2 games and a push)
Overall Record: 807-656-125


Here are the rest of his baseball and basketball plays for today…

Colorado Rockies + Pittsburgh Pirates – OVER 7
Houston Astros + Minnesota Twins – UNDER 8
Cleveland Indians + LA Angels – UNDER 7.5

Tulsa Shock + Los Angeles Sparks – OVER 153



2 Units Titans / Chiefs – Over 43




Play Los Angeles Dodgers -190 over Chicago Cubs—Top Play
Jason Hammel has lost 11 of the last 12 games when pitching as an
underdog of +175 to +250 and he has lost 19 of the last 29 games when
pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Jason Hammel has lost 23 of the
last 39 games when pitching on a Friday and he is 2-4 vs. Los Angeles
over his career with an ERA of 4.94.

Play Toronto -220 over Detroit—Top Play
RA Dickey has won 19 of the last 28 games when pitching as a favorite of
-150 or higher and he has won 21 of the last 33 games when the total
posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs. RA Dickey has won 29 of the last 48
home games and he has won 22 of the last 38 games vs. AL Central
Division Opponents.

================================================== ======


Play New York Yankees -200 over Atlanta (MLB Bonus Play)

Play Pittsburgh -220 over Colorado (MLB Bonus Play)



10,000 Unit MLB Burial
Kansas City Royals -105 over Tampa Bay



4 Unit Play. Take #285/286 Toronto Argonauts vs. Edmonton Eskimos – Over 48.5 (9:05 PM, Friday, August 28)








Today’s MLB Top Picks
(912) San Francisco +100
(924) Minnesota +120
(925) Boston +180
*Listed Pitchers



1* Nationals RL -1.5 -115



San Diego Padres (-110) Phils are reeling after getting swept by Mets and now face Ian Kennedy, who is 4-2, 2.27 ERA since the All Star break

Los Angeles Angels (+145) Indians are worst home team in the AL and even though the Angels have struggled since AS break, they do have some momentum after winning a series in Detroit. Heaney has been solid on the road, posting a 2-1, 2.13 ERA mark in his four road starts. We see lots of value here tonight with the road pup

****** 1:30 PM UpdateSalazar has been scratched, but this will remain a play for us tonight. Cleveland now starting Trevor Bauer in his place.

Tampa Bay Rays (+100) Ramirez has been fantastic for these Rays at home, where he is 5-3, 2.60 ERA over his nine starts at The Trop. Opponents are hitting a paltry .208 vs. Ramirez at home this year

San Francisco Giants (-105) I know you are saying we’re crazy here going against Wacha, but have a gut feeling with Leake and the motivated Giants tonight at home. Interesting that Leake is 4-0, 0.87 ERA in his last four starts at AT&T when with the Reds and has also pitched really well vs.the Cardinals. He was fabulous last time out and expect more of the same tonight

Pirates – TT Over 4 (-130) Bucs have given Liriano a ton of run support and that continues tonight vs. Gray and the Rockies

Blue Jays – TT Over 5 (-110) Jays face off vs. their old teammate in Boyd, who has been ineffective for both his old and new club. Jays settle back in home with another run explosion.



MLB Super Pick —- Oakland A’s -130

NFLx Trophy Play — Tennessee Titans+5.5

Free play…Padres -130



NFLx Game: Detroit Lions (255) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (256)
Time: Friday 08/28 8:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Detroit +113 (moneyline)
The young Jaguars are rebuilding and retooling (again). But they looked like the old Jaguars last week, getting shut down at the NY Giants in a 23-12 defeat. The same old problems were visible: the O-line allowed three sacks, the offense had 244 yards, and the ground game had 2.4 yards per carry. Now they face a deep and talented Detroit team that has a strong QB rotation with Matt Stafford, Dan Orlovsky and Kellen Moore. Stafford has been precise through two exhibitions, going 8-for-10, with two incompletions that were catchable. Jacksonville coach Gus Bradley has mixed up having the Jaguars practicing in full pads and they’ve changed their offensive line yet again, naming Stefen Wisniewski as the starting center this week. The Lions are 23-6 SU and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 preseason games and a year ago they beat Jacksonville in week three getting six sacks on defense and had the edge in rushing yards 178-85. The Jags ran for 3.4 ypc, the Lions 6.6, and Detroit QBs were 21-of-29 for 190 yards, while the Jaguars offense turned it over twice. Take Detroit on the moneyline.



3*) WSH -3

3*) LA/TUL – OVER 152.5



10* PERSONAL FAVORITE (HUGE 52-27 RUN w/ 10*’s!)
Cleveland Indians ML-155


**Indians Danny Salazar scratched from todays start, Bauer is replacement.



#913 Take Detroit/Toronto – OVER 9.5 Runs (Total Runs Scored)

#925 Take Boston/New York Mets – OVER 7 Runs (Total Runs Scored)

#923 Take Houston -130 over Minnesota (Money Line Bet)

93-67 (58.1%) and up +17.2 units.



MLB Mariners@White Sox
(2*) White Sox



10 Star Seattle Storm -3.5


Billy Coleman

4* Oakland A’s ML






Guaranteed NFL 5 TEAMER


CHIEFS -5 1/2

LIONS +2 & UNDER 40 1/2




4* New England – OVER 44

*started Mon total football -5.5 units.


Friday’s NFL Week 3 Preseason Betting Primer

The third week of the NFL preseason kicks off with a trio of games Friday evening. With three games on the schedule and training camp injuries claiming plenty of players already, it can be hard to stay on top of the action.

New England Patriots at Carolina Panthers (PK, 44)

* Tom Brady hasn’t exactly been lighting things up in his, albeit, brief time on the field this preseason. In five preseason possessions, Brady has gone just 3-of-9 for 23 yards with just one first down. The Pats are 1-1 SU and ATS in their opening two games with Friday’s game currently a Pick.

* According to The Charlotte Observer’s Jonathan Jones, Panthers head coach Ron Rivera is planning to let his starters play into the third quarter tonight. Rivera says that 35 to 40 plays would be “perfect” for his team and is hoping for them to come out after the half to play one series.

Detroit Lions at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2, 40.5)

* Even though some Lions starters may play into the second half this evening, wide receiver Calvin Johnson may not play at all against the Jags. “Not quite certain if you’re going to see him at all,” head coach Jim Caldwell said Wednesday. “There’s no guarantees at this point.”

* Forecasts are calling for around a 52 percent chance of thunderstorms and showers in Jacksonville in for game time Friday. Furthermore, wind will be blowing from sideline to sideline around seven miles per hour.

Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-5, 42)

* According to a tweet from Ed Werder, Titans QB Marcus Mariota could get some plenty of time Friday.

* The Chiefs’ offensive line will continue to be without Eric Fisher (high-ankle sprain) and Jeff Allen (knee). Fisher was injured during practice last Monday while Allen suffered his knee injury in the Chiefs’ 34-19 win over the Arizona Cardinals in their preseason opener.



Friday Night MLB Team Total


Again, these Blue Jays simply rake left-handed pitching, ranking 1st in MLB in several key categories (OPB, SLUGG% & .OPS). They also love hitting at hitter friendly Rogers Centre. They face a LH starter in Boyd for Detroit who does NOT have dominating stuff and is not prone to going deep in games at all. Then we will get that piss poor Tigers bullpen for the remainder of the game. Boyd sports a seasonWHIP of (1.64) and allows (2.3 HR per 9 IP)…Boyd really does NOT match up well here vs this extremely deep and potent Blue Jays club tonight. I fully expect these Blue Jays to get to him eventually and then get into that poor Tigers bullpen. Just way too many ways that these Jays plate at least 5 runs before all the dust settles in this game & I am all over the TORONTO BLUE JAYS Team Total OVER this evening.



NE Patriots +1



Risk 4.00 to win 3.60 [917] Kansas City Royals -111 vs Tampa Bay Rays

Risk 3.00 to win 2.86 [251] New England Patriots -105 vs Carolina Panthers

Risk 3.00 to win 2.80 [254] Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 -107 vs Tennessee Titans

Risk 4.00 to win 3.25 [920] Texas Rangers -123 vs Baltimore Orioles

Risk 4.00 to win 3.08 [923] Houston Astros -130 vs Minnesota Twins



40 Dime selection is Patriots over the Panthers.
The current line on this game is PK in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.



Double-Dime Bet – Tampa Bay Rays +104



100 DIME – Toronto Bluejays RL-1.5 runs (list dickey & boyd)



40 DIME – OVER 41 – Detroit vs Jacksonville



8* GOY –  Seattle Storm -3.5



6* Texas Rangers ML


PAUL Shinoba Sports Consulting 

Colorado Rockies/Pittsburgh Pirates – Over 7 runs

Detroit Tigers/Toronto Blue Jays – Over 9.5 runs

Oakland Athletics/Arizona Diamondbacks – Over 7.5 runs​​


SB Professor Original MLB Picks 

Minnesota +117
Arizona +105



NFL Preseason

TENNESSEE (+5.5) over Kansas City
8 p.m. ET

Perfect spot to go against the Chiefs, who are already 2-0 this preseason and typically let down in this spot, as seen by Andy Reid’s 2-11 ATS record as a home favorite. Titans Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt, meanwhile, is playing to win this preseason as he looks to bring a positive attitude to a franchise that has gone down the shoots in recent years. Take the generous points with the more motivated team with the better QB rotation.



TV play of day
Rating regular opinion




Baltimore has lost 7of 8 and their pitcher has a 1-5 mark in his last eight starts while, Hammels(Rangers), has gotten better in every outing since going to the Rangers.



NFLx – 2*’s on Detroit Lions +2 and ‘OVER’ 39:
I’m surprised to see Detroit at an underdog price tonight at Jacksonville. Sure the Lions got beat at Washington last week but Stafford and Dan Orlovsky looked sharp combining for 19 completions in 25 attempts. Orlovsky threw a pair of TD passes and Stafford has completed 80 percent in limited work over two games so far. Remember the Lions two weeks ago had a 428-123 edge in total yards against the Jets and dominated them. Plus it’s no embarrassment getting beat by Kirk Cousins, one of the best August quarterbacks historically. After being limited to 46 rushing yards on 13 carries last week, Detroit will work on getting the running game established. It looked great in week #1 versus the Jets averaging 5.9 yards a carry with 193 yards on the ground on 40 carries. I suspect Stafford and Orlovsky will have their way with the Jacksonville defense. The Jaguars allowed 200 passing yards to Landry Jones after Big Ben went 3-for-3 for 59-yards two weeks ago. Then last week Ryan Nassib might have had his best day as a pro yet throwing for 217 yards and a TD versus Jacksonville. The Giants out-gained the Jags 344-244 with Jacksonville only averaging 2.4 yards per rush. Plus they appear to be having some offensive line issues allowing five sacks in two games. Blake Bortles can move the team between the 20’s, but too often drives stall and ends in field goals. Plus Jacksonville is still without tight end Julius Thomas with a broken right hand. Last week Odell Beckham and Victor Cruz didn’t play (zero catches) but that didn’t prevent the G-Men from completing 23 passes for 263 yards. Good luck trying to cover Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate tonight. I took Detroit plus the points along with the ‘OVER’. I know the final last year in the third week was only 13-12 but that box score indicates there should have been more points. Both teams had 21 first downs and there was almost 700 total yards. Several defensive linemen are missing from both teams too and this is a low total. 2*’s on Detroit +2 and ‘OVER’ 39.



8:00 PM
Rotation #253-254
Chiefs -6 over Titans
Marcus Mariota looked pretty good last week against a Vanilla Rams Defense. When teams don’t bring blitz packages and just play a predictable defense I would wager that any QB in this league could dice them up. Mariota is not going to have the same luxury of being at home. Arrowhead might be the most intimidating stadium in the AFC and this building will be loud even if it is just a preseason game. I am not too thrilled with the running backs Tennessee brings to the table this year. I just don’t think this offense can move the ball up and down the field. I think we will see Mariota look like a young guy tonight. Andy Reid usually doesn’t take the preseason seriously, but this year seems different as the Chiefs are 2-0 looking to gain momentum. I believe Vegas has the line set very high because of the rookie QB. The Chiefs will give him looks he has never seen before. Mariota will be a decent QB one day, but every last QB is this league goes through growing pains. If Mariota can go into Arrowhead and dice up this defense then so be it. Take the Chiefs.

10:15 PM
Rotation #911-912
Cardinals -110 over Giants
Many times this year I have said if Wacha is at even money then it’s foolish not to take him. This Giants team is really banged up and the bottom of the order has not been producing too much offense. Both pitchers are having great seasons and both bullpens are rock solid, but just like last night I like the Cardinals starter and their bullpen a lot better. Wacha is one of the best pitchers in the game and at this price there is no risk in taking him at even money. Take St. Louis.



*WISEGUY Jacksonville Jaguars -2

*WISEGUY Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 Runline

*WISEGUY New York Yankees -1.5 Runline




Free MLB play – Cincinnati Reds ML+117



Carolina Panthers-1.5








Over 7 (-105) KC (Volquez) / Tampa Bay (Ramirez) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON Over)


Billy Hill

13* Money magic — Texas -125


Exodus to Black – MLB

OVER 7.5 – San Diego



Baltimore (+115) 4* 8:05 ET

Cincinnati (+115) 3* 8:10 ET


Kansas City -6.5 (-110) 4* 8:00 ET






1* Cleveland Indians – Over 8
1* Seattle -120



A’s – F5 -110

Reds/Brewers – F5 Under 3.5 +100

Yankees/Braves F5 – Over 3.5 -120

Mariners/White Sox – F5 Over 4 -130

Royals -109

Tigers/Blue Jays Over 9.5 -110



$200 *NFL* LIONS / JAGS – OVER 39.5 -110


Sebastian Sports

300* NE Patriots
200* TN Titans

500* NY Yankees RL



10* Toronto RL-1.5
10* Brewers
8* Texas
8* Astros



$500 ASTROS -127



#253/254: Titans/Chiefs: Over 43.0 (-105) (2*)



#901: Marlins: +1.5 (+100) (1*)

#925/926: Red Sox/Mets: Under 7.0 (-110) (1.5*)



NFLx MAIN EVENT —– Jacksonville Jaguars




PODs 58-21 run


Teddy Covers

10* Jax -2



7-Unit Play. #286. Take Edmonton -5 over Toronto (Friday @ 9:05pm est)

We try to make it 6 Straight Winning Weeks with what we are hoping is our 5th Straight 7-Unit Winner on the docket. We like Edmonton here as if there ever was a game that this team could really use and needed to step up, it would be this one. This one has motivation written all over it which is why this line took an early jump. Remember, what you have here is a Edmonton team that lost to Toronto in the first week of the year by a score of 11-26 in which they were a 7.5 point favorite that lost Outright to this team in a rout. Then this team got their act together and did well over their next series of games as they went 5-2 ATS and 5-2 Straight up prior to their last game. Their last game against Hamilton was an Outright disaster. They were coming off a big win against Montreal on the road winning 15-12 and flying high and then ran into Hamilton at home and were routed 20-49. So, now this team faces Toronto after an embarrassing 29 point loss and against a team who they have revenge from a Week 1 loss and 33-32 loss back in October of 2014. We like Edmonton here who has showed up well in their 2 previous losses this year losing to Toronto 11-26 and then beating Ottawa the next week 46-17 and then losing to British Columbia 23-26 and then beating Montreal 15-12. Look for Edmonton to bounce-back here at home and also get some revenge against Montreal from a Week 1 loss as well.


Vinny The Gambler ‏

Win $300
Giants-Cards – Over 6.5 -115

Best Sportsbooks
5.0 rating
10% of your friends’ initial deposits.
3.8 rating
100% Free Play Bonus
2.5 rating
All deposits over $500 get a 100% Free Play
5.0 rating
100% Bonus
5.0 rating
4.5 rating
Double Your First Deposit + Get A Free $10 World Series Future
3.5 rating
4.0 rating
200% up to $50
game advisers
Best PPH Shops
5.0 rating
Free Trial
4 Week trial offer
5.0 rating
Free Trial
4 week trial offer
5.0 rating
Free Trial 4 week trial offer
5.0 rating
10% of your friends’ initial deposits.
3.8 rating
100% Free Play Bonus
2.5 rating
All deposits over $500 get a 100% Free Play
5.0 rating
Free Trial
4 week trial offer
5.0 rating
100% Bonus