Expert PGA Picks | 2019 PGA Championship

If you’re thinking, isn’t the PGA Championship the 4th and final PGA Major of the year? It was, it was always played in August, but the new PGA calendar has the PGA Championship the second Major and playing in May now.

The 101st edition will be held at Bethpage Black for the first time, although it hosted the US Open twice in 2002 and 2009, events that were won by Tiger and Lucas Glover, respectively. Here’s who I like to be hoisting the Wanamaker Trophy on Sunday.

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PGA Championship

Where: Bethpage State Park Black Course, Farmingdale, New York

Par: 70

Length: 7,436 yards (6,799 meters)

When: May 16th – 19th, 2019

Purse: $11,000,000

Winner’s Share: $1,980,000

Defending Champion: Brooks Koepka

TV Coverage: TNT, CBS

 

Last week at the Byron Nelson, two of my 5 picks didn’t finish their first two rounds. Marc Leishman didn’t even tee of and Charles Howell III withdrew after an opening round 72. Of those who did compete, Brooks Koepka finished 4th, while Ryan Palmer was T43 and Keith Mitchell was T59. Read it here.

Because this week is a Major, my bankroll for this tournament is 3 times that of a regular event. Let’s have a little fun with props and tournament matchups along with our regular “to win” wagers.

Francesco Molinari +2000

I really like Molinari this week, and he’s already won us some serious cash this PGA season. A 26-year-old version of Francesco Molinari finished T27 at the 2009 US Open, which was played here at Bethpage Black.

Molinari knows how to win a Major

Molinari knows how to win a Major

He’s finished T6, T2 and T22 in the last 3 PGA Championships, and if you know golf, you know Majors are a different beast all together. Francesco has the physical and mental game to win another Major…yes, he won last year’s The Open Championship at Carnoustie.

At +2000, I think Molinari provides great value. Taking into account his past performance in Majors, his performance at the PGA Championship, his play at Bethpage AND his current form, he’s my top play at 5-Units.

Sticking with Francesco Molinari, take a 1-Unit play on Molinari +125 in a tournament matchup versus Tommy Fleetwood and a +135 tournament matchup versus Rickie Fowler.

To beat a dead horse…take Molinari +700 to be the Top European Player (1-Unit)

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Phil Mickelson +6000

Phil is by no means a lock to even finish in the Top 10, but at +6000 and his love for Bethpage, he’s worth a lick. He missed the cut in last year’s PGA Championship, and finished T33 in 2016 with weekend rounds of 68.

Like Molinari, Phil knows how to play at Majors, and when wagering on Majors, you take your horses. Looking back at the 2002 and 2009 US Open leaderboards, both of which were played at Bethpage, he can be found in second place on both. He finished behind Lucas Glover in 2009 (tied with 2 others) and behind only Tiger in 2002.

Although Phil has missed 5 cuts this season, he also has a win at Pebble, a T2 at the Desert Classic and was T18 at the Masters.

Adam Scott +5000

This is another value pick on one of the World’s best golfers (27th OWGR) who knows how to win a Major. If it wasn’t for a 75 on Sunday at the 2009 US Open at Bethpage, Scott would have finished Top 20. Since then, he’s won at the Masters, and has 29 pro wins to his credit. His best finishes at the PGA Championship are 3rd (2006) and T3 (2018).

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Tiger Woods +850

Winning a Major is tough….winning back-to-back Majors is nearly unheard of. However, I won’t be able to live with myself if the golf world is on fleek on Sunday again watching Tiger smiling on the green with the Wanamaker.

Tiger is a small unit play, but you can decide for yourself how much you want to risk on him.

Others I like to Win:

Brooks Koepka +850

Dustin Johnson +900

Rory McIlroy +950

Picks by Joe Berra

Posted May 15th, 2019

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