DXL Frisco Bowl Free Pick

Rashaad Penny is long gone but that hasn’t stopped the Aztecs from having a decent year. They certainly haven’t had the best year possible, but at the end of the day, not that bad.

They come into this game with a 7-5 record. They kicked off the season on Friday August 31st, with a loss to #13 Stanford, 31-10. Then they picked up the pieces and rattled off six straight wins against Sacramento State 28-14, #23 Arizona State 28-21, Eastern Michigan 23-20 in OT, then a very big win against Boise State, in Boise 19-13, Air Force 21-17, and San Jose State, 16-13. They lost to Nevada the next week 28-24, then picked up a win against New Mexico, 31-23.

Great article on slumps and sports betting: The Dreaded Slump & How it Affects Your Betting

The wheels kind of fell of the bus in the final three games of the season with three straight losses coming by way of UNLV (a bad football team) 27-24, then Fresno State 23-14, and finally Hawaii, 31-30 in OT. Things certainly could have ended better for the Aztecs and they are hoping to avenge their woes against the Bobcats.

The Bobcats hit the deck in this one with an 8-4 record and finished second in the MAC. The problem we see for the Bobcats, they have really beaten nobody. Their four losses came against Virginia 45-31, Cincinnati 34-30, Northern Illinois 24-21, and Miami of Ohio, 30-28. Their record may be 8-4, yes, that’s one better than the Aztecs, however, the wins have come against teams such as Howard, UMass, Kent Stat, Bowling Green, Ball State, Western Michigan, Buffalo and Akron. In college football, the record speaks for itself — strength of schedule!

Check out the stats… Aztecs left, Bobcats right:

Points Per Game 22.3 41.2
Points Allowed Per Game 21.8 26.7
Total Yards 354.0 470.6
Yards Passing 191.6 208.4
Yards Rushing 162.4 262.2
Yards Allowed 327.4 399.6
Pass Yards Allowed 232.9 263.8
Rush Yards Allowed 94.5 135.8

 

 

The defense of the Aztecs is simply better and strength of schedule is in their favor. This one goes to the Aztecs +2.5.

DXL Frisco Bowl Free Pick: Aztecs +2.5

Free Pick by Brad

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