Dogs Ready to Bite the Books: Trail Blazers at Rockets
Even casual sport bettors realize that any consensus betting poll using the general public will normally lean towards the favorite and the OVER on the total line. This phenomenon remains consistent from sport to sport whether we are talking about the pros or the college ranks.
Taking things one step further, the lean towards the favorites become even more pronounced when the favorite just so happens to be one of the more popular teams in whichever league it plays in. The more popular the team, the more bettors lean that way when it is favored to win. The online sportsbooks also know the score when it comes to setting and moving the betting lines to add even more value to betting underdogs when the timing is right.
For this week’s top biting dog ready to beat the books, we turn to Tuesday night’s NBA matchup between the Portland Trail Blazers and the Houston Rockets.
Top Underdog Bet – Take Portland (+6) at Houston
Through this weekend’s betting action in the NBA, underdogs have covered against the spread 51 percent of the time. That percentage drops a bit for underdogs covering on the road to 48.2 percent of the time, but this still remains a solid betting option if you know where and how to look.
The Portland Trail Blazers were one of the top betting teams in the NBA through early November with a 10-3 record both SU and ATS through their first 13 games. That trend turned ice cold over their next 11 games at 3-8 SU with a costly 1-10 slide covering the closing spread. Every NBA team is going to go through some rough patches throughout a long, grueling 82-game season, but this type of dramatic swing would have to be considered a bit extreme.
The good news heading into Tuesday’s road game against Houston is a move back into the right direction with wins at home both SU and ATS against Phoenix as 12.5-point favorites last Thursday and against Minnesota on Saturday as three-point favorites. The Trail Blazers have gone 5-7 SU in 12 previous road games this season with a 4-8 record ATS. While this does not instill a ton of confidence that they can cover with six points on road this Tuesday until you take a closer look at their opponent.
Houston almost knocked off Golden State in last year’s playoffs and it was expected to be the Warriors’ main competition for this season’s Western Conference title. Slow starts are part of the territory in the NBA, so the Rockets’ 1-5 start (SU and ATS) did not ruffle too many feathers among bettors. Over their next 10 games, they turned things around at 8-2 SU with a more palatable 6-4 mark ATS.
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Since failing to cover in a 126-124 victory at home against Detroit as nine-point favorites on Nov. 21, the Rockets have won just two of their last nine games SU while sinking to 2-8 ATS in their last 10 outings. Extreme is putting things mildly with numbers like these. The Rockets are 9-16 ATS overall and they have only covered in four of their first 10 games at home. The overall betting picture for Houston still places the Rockets in the category of being a good choice to go against in the right matchup at the right betting number.
This will be the second meeting in the three-game season series this year. Portland won that first game 104-85 on Oct. 30 as a 4.5-point road underdog. Betting trends prior to that first meeting can be heavily discounted given each team’s current form. It is easy to say that the Trail Blazers are dealing with consistency issues of their own, but there is something definitely wrong with Houston that may take some extended time to fix.
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