Dogs Ready to Bite the Books: Bucks at Pistons
The NBA regular season continues to push towards the Feb. 7 trade deadline and the upcoming All-Star break. The top teams in each conference continue to jockey for position in the standings while the next wave of contenders are simply trying to secure a spot in the eight-team playoff field in each conference.
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Motivations run deep this time of the year to possibly shift some betting value to contending teams playing at home as underdogs. The Detroit Pistons have shown a few sparks this season, but they have let things slip away at bit in January at 5-9 straight-up heading into Tuesday’s home game against the top team in the East, the Milwaukee Bucks.
Home underdogs are still one of the best overall NBA bets against the spread this season with a winning percentage of 53.6 through Sunday’s games.
Top Underdog Bet- Take Pistons vs. Bucks
Milwaukee started its current five-game road trip on Sunday with a 118-112 loss to Oklahoma City as a slight one-point favorite. This snapped a SU winning streak of six games. The Bucks have now failed to cover in their last four games starting with a PUSH against Orlando on the road on Jan. 19 as 10-point favorites.
They are 35-13 SU overall with a 13-9 record on the road. Milwaukee has posted an even 10-10-2 record ATS on the road this season.
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This will be the Bucks’ fourth and final game this season against their Central Division rivals. They won all three meetings SU, including a tight 107-104 road win on Dec. 17 in a game that ended as a PUSH.
Going back over the last 10 meetings between the two, Milwaukee has the clear advantage SU at 8-2, but the series is tied at 4-4-2 ATS. The Bucks are 1-2 SU in their last three road games against Detroit while going 0-2-1 ATS.
There is no doubt that Milwaukee is one of the top teams in the East this season behind an offense that is ranked second in the league in scoring with 117.3 points per game. This effort is complementing a defensive that is holding opposing teams to 107.6 points a game.
The cards appear to be stacked against Detroit against a team as good as Milwaukee. However, what attracted me to Tuesday night’s matchup beside going with a division rival getting points at home is the Bucks’ road game against Toronto on Thursday night. The possibility of them looking past the Pistons adds value to a team that is desperate for a quality win in front of the hometown crowd.
The Pistons have been a competitive play over their last eight games at 5-2-1 ATS. They will also be well rested after settling for a PUSH in last Friday night’s 106-101 road loss to Dallas. Detroit will be at home for six of its next seven games adding even more importance to getting things started on a positive note. It is 21-27 SU overall with the loss to Dallas and it returns home with a SU 13-11 record at Little Caesars Arena this year. The Pistons are 3-2-1 ATS in their last six games closing as underdogs.
Last week’s Dogs Ready to Bite the Books article
Detroit’s ability to put points on the board will never be confused with the Bucks. Its 105.9-point scoring average ranks 24th among 30 NBA teams. However, its ability to play defense at the other end of the court should be able to keep things close on Tuesday night. The Pistons are ninth in the league in points allowed (108.5) right behind Milwaukee. Blake Griffin is going to have to step things up as the team’s leading scorer (26.5 PPG) along with Andre Drummond, who is averaging a double-double in points (16.5) and rebounds (14.9).
Written by Dave Schwab
Posted January 28th
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