Breeders Cup: A look at the Juvenile Fillies Turf

By The Rex Factor

Six of the 15 entries in the Juvenile Fillies Turf are or were based in Europe, so there will be some unknowns there. One horse, the (9), Nemoralia, took an opposite route to get to this race. She shipped from Arlington over to Europe and raced between six and seven furlongs in Great Britain four times before coming back to the states to make her debut on dirt in the Grade 1 Frizette. Back on the grass, she retains Joel Rosario. Jeremy Nosada is the conditioner; he was a longtime assistant to John Gosden and has numerous Group 1 wins.

The inaugural running of this race was in 2008 and last year’s win by Lady Eli was the first time a post-time favorite had ever won the race. The shortest priced winner before last year was the $14.20 score to win by Stepanie’s Kitten.

The Keeneland turf has played “fair” to this point in the meet, with 17 racing days from Oct. 2-24, with the most success coming from the runners who have come from just off the pace to mid-pack. It will be interesting to see if there is a bias at play on Friday and Saturday.

American-based 2-year old fillies won the first four races of this event before the Euros won the next two at the Santa Anita course. With the cooler temps expected and a possibility of wet grass, the Euros could have an edge in Lexington.

Some interesting options include the European duo of Alice Springs (3) and Illuminate (10). Harmonize (8) went eight-wide in winning the Grade III Jessamine over this course by going about nine-wide and circling the field earlier in the month and could end up as the favorite. Catch a Glimpse (4) has posted the highest Beyer rating here, but might not get loose up front with Ruby Notion (5) pressuring her. Ruby Notion has won all three sprint starts in the states, although she might not get the distance.

 

Our latest article is a Preview of the Breeders’ Cup, read it here.

What to know: Race 8 on the card; it’s the third of the four Friday Breeders’ Cup races at Keeneland.

Post time: 4:50 p.m. EDT

Purse: $1 million

Distance: 1 mile

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