The Buffalo Bills (3-0 / 2-1 ATS) head on the road to play the Las Vegas Raiders (2-1 / 2-1 ATS). My Bills Raiders free pick is my best bet for a football Sunday.
This should be a great game between two teams trending in the right direction.
The Bills have had two close calls the last couple weeks, but remain undefeated. They’re coming off a close home win against the Rams (35-32) after blowing a huge lead in the 2H.
Las Vegas lost on the road to NE (36-20) last week and will look to bounce back at home.
When: Sunday, October 4th 2020 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada
Bills vs. Raiders Week 4 Odds
Buffalo come into this game as -3 (-125) favorites on the road. That’s a steep price to pay. The game total is 53 points. The bookies have definitely pumped up the totals a bit this week.
Bills vs. Raiders Week 4 Preview
These two teams don’t play against each other often. The last time they met was back in 2017 and the Bills won (34-14), but that was when Tyrod Taylor was the QB
A lot has changed since then for both of these teams.
Both teams are relatively healthy, but the big injury news is that Henry Ruggs is doubtful. He missed last week as well and I expected Darren Waller to have a monster game.
Waller Needs to Show Up
However, Bill Belichick did his best to limit the star TE. Waller was held to 2 catches for 9 yards in the loss. I expect Jon Gruden to make sure Waller is targeted more often this afternoon.
In week 1, Waller had 6 receptions for 45 yards and in week 2, Waller had 12 receptions for 105 yards (1 TD). My best bet this week is Waller to have 58+ receiving yards (-114) today.
The Bills have a good defense, but if you look at the numbers, they rank #28 against the pass (274.7 PYPG). Looking deeper, the Bills have struggled against opposing TEs.
Buffalo have allowed 245 receiving yards against TEs, which ranks them #31 in the league. Only the Saints have allowed more receiving yards (290) against opposing TEs so far this season.
Mike Gesicki had 8 receptions for 130 yards (1 TD) in week 2 against the Bills.
With Ruggs out, the Raiders playing at home and the fact that they’ll likely be playing from behind in this game, I expect Waller to have his biggest performance of this young season.
Bills Raiders Free Pick: Darren Waller 58+ Receiving Yards (-114)
Free Pick By Scott Jack