By: Joey Berra
We’ve sifted through all the crap that is the opening three rounds in the first major of the 2016 ATP Men’s Tennis Tour. It’s finally time to get down to some meaning tennis after weeding out those that start the tournament without a hope in hell of even reaching the fourth round. I’m going to look back on my past article, 2016 Australian Open Predictions | Men’s Draw and see how I’m doing so far and offer some more free advice.
People ask me every day, “Do people actually bet on tennis?!?” My answer is simple…YES, A LOT, and if you don’t, you should. It’s one of the sports that can be predicted, and even though some odds may be outrageous, it’s more than worth the price when your side is up 2 set to love and 5-1 in the third. Money in the bank!
My pre-tournament picks included Novak Djokovic (-140), Andy Murray (+425) and Roger Federer (+800). Sure, these seem like no brainers, because they are. These three are simply the most consistent men’s tennis players in the game, and if you’re putting your money on anyone else, you might as well take a hundred dollar bill and roll some of your favorite smokable product with it.
We’re now half-way through the Quarterfinals after Novak and Roger didn’t drop a set against Kei Kishikori (7) and Tomas Berdych (6) respectively to move on to the Semifinals. These two will meet in the Semi’s, their third straight major meeting, although the last two were in the Finals of Wimbledon and the US Open.
David Ferrer (8) will meet Andy Murray (2) tonight at 11:00 PM ET with the last quarter set for 3:30 AM ET with Gael Monfils (23) and Milos Raonic (13) set to battle for the last spot in the final 4. If Murray can get past Ferrer, that will put three of my picks in the final four…hope you followed my advice!
If I had to call an upset, I’d say Roger Federer will beat Novak Djokovic in the Semifinals. Federer was 30-4 to close out the year, with three of the 4 loses to Djokovic. He has cruised through his first five matches, dropping only one set, to Grigor Dimitrov in the 3rd round. He met little resistance from the sixth seeded Berdych in the quarters, beating him 7-6 (7-4), 6-2, 6-4.
Although Djokovic hardly broke a sweat against Nishikori in their quarterfinal match, he took 5 sets to get past Gilles Simon in the 4th round after committing 100 unforced errors. Novak just doesn’t seem comfortable right now, and even though I know he can get back to his dominating ways at the drop of a bucket, Roger is playing great right now.
Futures bets at America’s Bookie to wager on the Australian Open winner have long been taken off the board, but you can still bet on matches and props. Props being offered include 1st set winner, sets handicap (2½) and match handicap. For example, Andy Murray is giving 6 games against Ferrer tonight.
In the Djokovic/Federer Semifinal heavyweight bout, you’ll find Djokovic the heavy favorite with the moneyline at -275 with Federer paying +230. This is a great value bet in my opinion, one you need to strongly consider wagering on at the best offshore sportsbook.