2016 Australian Open Predictions | Men’s Draw
By: Joe Berra
As the first Major on the 2016 ATP Men’s Tennis Schedule draws near, I’m going to have a look at the some of the odds that are currently being offered at America’s Bookie for the winner. The Australian Open is set to get started on January 18th and run through January 31st.
Is this the year Novak Djokovic takes home the Grand Slam, which has not happened since Rod Laver won all four in 1962? He was one off in 2015, taking home titles in the Australian Open, Wimbledon and the US Open but falling short to Stan Wawrinka (4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4) in the Final of the French Open.
Djokovic was recently named the Men’s International Tennis Federation World Champion, his fifth in a row. On top of winning three out of four Grand Slam titles, the Serbian won 11 ATP singles titles and finished the year with an unbelievable win-loss record of 82-6. His 93% winning percentage was sixth best in the open era, behind John McEnroe in 1984, Jimmy Connors in 1974, Roger Federer in 2005 and 2006 and Bjorn Borg in 1979.
Novak also became the third man (Laver and Federer) to reach the final in all four grand slams in a calendar year and ended with a record six Masters titles. His 2015 accolades don’t end there; he broke the record beating top-10 players 31 times, besting the previous record of 24. It won’t surprise you that he is the favorite to win the 2016 Australian Open and be at the top of my list.
Novak Djokovic -140
Not very often do you see a tennis player a minus when it comes to odds to win a tennis Grand Slam event, but you don’t have to be a genius to figure out why. If you read what I have written above, you’ll know why he’s costing you -140 for the win, and why I have him at the top of my list.
Last year, Djokovic cruised through his draw and didn’t drop a set until he faced Stan Wawrinka in the semi-finals. He only dropped 3 sets the entire tournament (two to Wawrinka and one to Andy Murray in the Finals) en route to winning his first of three Grand Slams in 2015.
Andy Murray +425
There are two reasons why I have Murray second on my list. The first is his play last year; even though Djokovic was all world with his 82-6 record, Murray was very good in 2015 in his own right, finishing the year 68-12, reaching the semi’s or beyond in three of the 4 majors last year.
The second reason is his success at the Grand Slam down under. He has made it to the final in three of the last 5 years (losing all 3 to Novak) while the other two times making it to the quarter finals or beyond. If he gets into the final against Djokovic again this year, he’ll have to be mentally prepared on top of his physical game.
Roger Federer +800
Roger finished 2015 with a 59-10 record, but was 30-4 to close out the year, with three of the 4 loses to Djokovic. Federer was upset in the Round of 32 by Andreas Seppi at last year’s Australian Open, but he had reached the semi-finals from 2011-2014. Roger’s talent and tenacity alone puts him on my list of potential winners.
Here are some other notable player odds to win the Australian Open are:
Rafael Nadal – +850
Stan Wawrinka – +1100
Milos Raonic – +3750
Kei Nishikori – +1750
David Ferrer – +7500
Marin Cilic – +3500
To see the complete list of odds or to place a wager, please go to America’s Bookie, the best offshore sportsbook in the world and get your bets in.
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