2014 Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds & Picks

By Scott

Kasey Kahne earned a much-needed win last week in the Oral-B USA 500. This week the 2014 Federated Auto Parts 400 will be held at the Richmond International Speedway. The race is on Saturday night and will be available to watch on ABC.

This is the final race that drivers will be able to qualify for the Chase. Right now Biffle and Newman are in on points, but one or both of them could potentially be knocked out. A number of winless drivers will look to win their first race and qualify for the Chase.

Odds to Win the Federated Auto Parts 400

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This week Jeff Gordon, Kevin Harvick and Brad Keselowski are favored to win. They all performed well earlier this year on this track, but Joey Logano ended up winning. All four are in the Chase already, so you have to wonder how hard they’ll push it this week.

Jeff Gordon 6/1
Kevin Harvick 6/1
Brad Keselowski 6/1
Matt Kenseth 8/1
Jimmie Johnson 8/1
Joey Logano 8/1
Kyle Busch 8/1
Denny Hamlin 12/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 12/1
Kasey Kahne 15/1
Kyle Larson 20/1
Carl Edwards 20/1
Tony Stewart 20/1
Clint Bowyer 20/1
Kurt Busch 30/1
Ryan Newman 30/1
Brian Vickers 60/1
Jamie McMurray 60/1
Greg Biffle 60/1
Martin Truex Jr. 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
AJ Allmendinger 100/1
Aric Almirola 100/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Casey Mears 100/1
Danica Patrick 100/1
Justin Allgaier 100/1
Marcos Ambrose 100/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1

2014 Federated Auto Parts 400 Preview

Joey Logano (8/1) won at Richmond earlier in the year after taking the lead late in the race. He had never led a lap on this track in 10 career races prior to winning. He’s 3rd in the Sprint Cup standings with three wins and I expect him to take it fairly easy on Saturday.

I don’t like Jeff Gordon (6/1), Kevin Harvick (6/1) or Brad Keselowski (6/1) either this week. Keselowski finished 4th earlier this year on this track, but prior to that his best finish was 7th place (2012) and he has finished out of the T10 in 7 of 10 career races here.

Harvick has won on this track three times including a win last year. In his L2 races on this track he has finished in 11th place on both occasions. Gordon hasn’t won at Richmond since 2000 although he has two 2nd place finishes in the L4 races at this track.

Ryan Newman (30/1) and Greg Biffle (60/1) are both in the Chase, but neither have a win yet. Both are at risk of being eliminated from the Chase this week. I expect them both to race safely because they can’t afford not finishing, so I’d pass on them.

I’m taking a risk on Clint Bowyer (20/1) this week, as he’s on the outside looking in, but a win would lock him into the Chase or a strong finish may as well. He has struggled on this track recently with a 25th place and 43rd place finish in his L2 races here.

Prior to the two poor finishes; Bowyer has three consecutive T10 finishes on this track including a win and 2nd place finish. He likes this track and knows what it takes to win here. At 20/1 I’ll take a shot on Bowyer, as this is an all or nothing race for him.

· My Picks: Clint Bowyer +2000

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