2014 Camping World RV Sales 301 Predictions

By Scott

NASCAR is heading to the New Hampshire Motor Speedway for the 2014 Camping World RV Sales 301. Aric Almirola won last week at Daytona as a high priced long shot. I wouldn’t expect another underdog coming through now that we’re on the flat track.

Odds to Win the Camping World RV Sales 301

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This week the favorite to win is Jimmie Johnson and a total of five drivers are paying under 10/1 odds. In the L2 years on this track there have been four races and a new winner has emerged each time (Kahne, Kenseth, Hamlin & Vickers).

Jimmie Johnson 5/1
Jeff Gordon 7/1
Kevin Harvick 7/1
Brad Keselowski 7/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 8/1
Kyle Busch 10/1
Denny Hamlin 12/1
Kasey Kahne 12/1
Matt Kenseth 12/1
Joey Logano 12/1
Clint Bowyer 15/1
Tony Stewart 20/1
Kurt Busch 25/1
Brian Vickers 25/1
Kyle Larson 30/1
Jamie McMurray 30/1
Carl Edwards 30/1
Ryan Newman 40/1
Greg Biffle 50/1
Martin Truex Jr 60/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Aric Almirola 200/1
Ricky Stenhouse 300/1
AJ Allmendinger 300/1
Casey Mears 300/1
Danica Patrick 300/1
Justin Allgaier 300/1
Marcos Ambrose 300/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1

Will Jimmie Johnson Win in New Hampshire?

Jimmie Johnson (5/1) has the best average finish position (AFP) in New Hampshire the L2 years (4.75) although he hasn’t won a race here since 2010. In total Johnson has won three races on this track. In the L2 years he has finished in 7th, 2nd, 6th and 4th place.

After Johnson there are three drivers sitting at 7/1 odds including Jeff Gordon, Kevin Harvick and Brad Keselowski. In the L2 years at this track these three rank in the T5 in AFP, but the best of the bunch is Hamlin who is the only one out of the three to win here.

Hamlin actually struggled on this track last year with finishes of 21st and 12th place. I think Keselowski will be dangerous. He has had four finishes inside of the T3 in his L6 races this year. In his L5 races on this track he has finished in 2nd, 5th, 6th, 4th and 11th place.

Gordon hasn’t won on this track since 1999 and I’m not betting on that to change despite him being close to winning the last several years. Brian Vickers (25/1) is a long shot that I’m targeting this week, as he seem to come into form last week with a 2nd place finish.

Vickers won this race last year, so he clearly enjoys racing in New Hampshire and after last week he should come into the race with some added confidence. Including the win, Vickers has finished in 5th, 15th, 9th, 1st and 7th in the L5 races on this track.

Kyle Busch (10/1) finished in 2nd place in both races on this track last year. Prior to that he struggled in New Hampshire though, so will we get the Busch from last year or from years past? I couldn’t tell you and at his odds there are better options available.

· My Picks: Brian Vickers +2500

I’m betting on Vickers to win and to finish in the top five as well this week. Vickers has a great chance to win his first race of the year after coming close in the Coke Zero 400. Keep an eye out for Keselowski and Busch who I both expect to contend for the lead.

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