NFL Week 9 Odds and Preview

Here is this week’s lineup with the most current odds from America’s Bookie and a short preview of the games.  Atlanta tries to stay perfect as they host Dallas this Sunday.  Baltimore will try to shake off a bad AFC loss to the Texans a couple of weeks ago and Miami looks to win their 4^th in a row.  There are some really tight matchups this week.  So tight that this is a tough week to make picks honestly.  We are now over the halfway mark in the season so good luck with your bets in the second half.

Thursday November 1, 2012

Kansas City Chiefs (1-6) @ San Diego Chargers (3-4) 8:20 PM ET

San Diego is favored by 7 ½ and the total is set at 43.  The question here is should San Diego be favored by this much over anyone, including one of the worst teams in the league?  The Chargers have lost 3 in a row, including a 7-6 snoozer to lowly Cleveland last week.  The Chiefs have lost 4 in a row including a 26-16 loss to the Raiders last Sunday.   I am taking under 43 as the play here.  Will probably take the Chiefs +7 ½ also.

Sunday November 4, 2012

Denver Broncos (4-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals (3-4) 1:00 PM ET

Denver is favored by 3 and the total is set at 47 ½.  Denver finally won 2 games in a row for the first time this season.  Peyton Manning is looking more and more comfortable each week.  He passed for 305 yards and 3 TDs in last week’s 34-14 win over New Orleans.  You have to credit the defense big in the win for limiting Drew Brees like they did.  Cincinnati had the week off after dropping 3 in a row.  This is a crucial game for them if they plan on going anywhere this year.  I have a hard time betting against Peyton right now but look for Cincy to have a good game.  Over is the play here.

Chicago Bears (6-1) @ Tennessee Titans (3-5) 1:00 PM ET

Chicago is favored by 3 and the total is set at 43 ½.  Chicago continues to win but has struggled offensively in the last 2 games.  They totaled only 506 yards in these 2 games and Cutler was sacked a total of 11 times.  The Titans lost a tough one in OT to the Colts last week.  I like the fact that the Bears have found a way to win games when they haven’t played so well.  And the defense is stout as ever.  I’m going with Chicago here and laying the 3 points.

Detroit Lions (3-4) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6) 1:00 PM ET

Detroit is favored by 3 ½ and the total is set at 44.  The Lions are coming off a solid win over Seattle last Sunday.  They are doing it by the skin of their teeth as their 3 wins have been by a total of 11 points.  Jacksonville hung in there for a while against Green Bay but still came away with the loss.  The hook scares me a little but I’m taking the road team again.  Lions -3 ½ is the play.

Arizona Cardinals (4-4) @ Green Bay Packers (5-3) 1:00 PM ET

Green Bay is favored by 11 and the total is set at 40.  Arizona did nothing on offense and took a beating 24-3 to the 49ers last week.  Green Bay beat Jacksonville but didn’t cover the ridiculous 14 ½ point spread that the oddsmakers had.  This is NOT a strong pick by I think the Pack will cover this week.  The Cardinals have been horrible on offense and I don’t see them scoring a lot.  Rodgers should have a big week and I’m looking at maybe 34-17 Green Bay.

Miami Dolphins (4-3) @ Indianapolis Colts (4-3) 1:00 PM ET

Miami is favored by 3 and the total is set at 42 ½.  Miami saw Ryan Tannehill go down to injury last week but Matt Moore stepped in as the Fins crushed the Jets 30-9.  The Colts got the close win in OT over Tennessee.  These are 2 young teams that are playing surprisingly well so far. It looks like Tannehill will be back in the lineup this week for Miami and they will be looking for their 4^th win in a row.  This is going to be a close game and should come down to the 4^th quarter.  I have to take the home team plus the points here.

Carolina Panthers (1-6) @ Washington Redskins (3-5) 1:00 PM ET

Washington is favored by 3 and the total is set at 46 ½.  October was not good to Washington as they lost 3 out of 4 games.  How many times can we say close but no cigar for Carolina?  They let another game slip away against the Bears 23-22 last Sunday.  This should be a thriller as we have 2 very exciting QBs.  Both can pass and run the ball so there is no telling what we are going to see.  This game very likely breaks the spirit of the loser.  Although Carolina is due I’m giving the lean to Washington -3.

Buffalo Bills (3-4) @ Houston Texans (6-1) 1:00 PM ET

Houston is favored by 10 and the total is set at 47 ½.  Buffalo lost a tough one to Tennessee last week as Houston had the week off.  Houston crushed Baltimore 43-13 in their last game before their break.  I’m not taking a side on this even though I see the Texans winning.  10 points is just too much.  The Bills can score as well as the Texans and Buffalo has a horrible defense.  I’m going to keep this bet small but am taking the over.

Baltimore Ravens (5-2) @ Cleveland Browns (2-6) 1:00 PM ET

Baltimore is favored by 3 ½ and the total is set at 42 ½.  Baltimore took a rather bad beating by Houston before taking a timeout last week.  Cleveland got an ugly 7-6 win over San Diego with Trent Richardson rushing for 122 yards and a TD.  Flacco and the Baltimore offense couldn’t get anything going against the Texans and the defense was hanging their heads a bit after losing Ray Lewis.  The Ravens need to get a win and psychologically, they need to win decisively over Cleveland.  I like the way the Browns hang in there and fight and am shy about getting burned by the Ravens yet again.  This is make or break though, take Baltimore -3 ½.

Tampa Bay Bucs (3-4) @ Oakland Raiders (3-4) 4:05 PM ET

Oakland is favored by 1 ½ and the total is set at 46.  Tampa Bay sort of surprised me last Thursday with their 36-17 win over the Vikings in Minnesota.  The Bucs have been a hard team to get a read on so far this year.  Oakland got a win last week over the lowly Chiefs and they have also been hard to predict so far this year.  Josh Freeman is playing very well over his last 3 games with 9 touchdowns to only 1 interception.  I don’t like Oakland to win 2 in a row and I think Tampa is the better team.  I’m taking the road dog in this one.

Minnesota Vikings (5-3) @ Seattle Seahawks (4-4) 4:05 PM ET

Seattle is favored by 5 and the total is set at 39.  Seattle is coming off of a tough 28-24 loss to Detroit on the road.  They are extremely strong at home and their defense has been fierce so far this season.  And they play hard in every game.  Everything points to the Seahawks in this one but something is just not right about this line.  I see them more as a 3 point favorite than 5.  Something is up here so take the Vikings +5 to cover here.

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) @ New York Giants (6-2) 4:25 PM ET

New York is favored by 3 and the total is set at 47 ½.  The Steelers are coming off a 27-12 win over Washington and New York almost let last week’s game against Dallas slip away.  The Giants are looking very tough right now, but are they due for a letdown?  I think they might.  Take Pittsburgh +3 but be sure and do it before it slips lower.

Dallas Cowboys (3-4) @ Atlanta Falcons (7-0) 8:20 PM ET

Atlanta is favored by 4 and the total is set at 47 ½.  I think most sharp bettors expected the Falcons to fall last week but they kept on soaring, beating the Eagles 30-17.  The Cowboys had a mad comeback against the Giants last week but came up short.  The public is betting heavily on the Falcons at a bit over 70%.  Take the Cowboys +4.  I could realistically see Atlanta winning this one by 2 or 3.

Monday November 5, 2012

Philadelphia Eagles (3-4) @ New Orleans Saints (2-5) 8:30 PM ET

New Orleans is favored by 3 and the total is set at 52.  Every time I try to use some logic with the Saints they let me down.  There has been talk of benching Michael Vick but Andy Reid assures that he is their QB.  The Saints’ defense has looked weak all year long but last week the offense wasn’t much either.  Drew Brees isn’t usually quiet 2 games in a row.  And Vick needs to come out and prove something, and should be able to against New Orleans’ defense.  Both of these teams are going to score and even though the total is high, over is the play.

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