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NFL Football Thursday Free Bet

Updated: .November 11, 2015

JB here…with the circus atmosphere surrounding Rex Ryan’s return to the Big Apple, I’m going to stick to what really matters…football. However, I do have to say that I love Rex’s decision to name linebacker IK Enemkpali a captain for this one. Coach is making sure everyone knows his Bills are going to go out there and punch you in the mouth, which has been his coaching mentality through his years. Let’s get to my pick and keep my winning ways going.

If the playoffs started today, the Buffalo Bills (4-4, 4-4 ATS) would be on the outside looking in at a Wild Card berth with the New York Jets (5-3, 4-3-1 ATS) and Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4, 5-3-1 ATS) playing at least one game in the postseason. With the Patriots having their usual stranglehold on the AFC East, it looks as though the Wild Card is their only hope, and Thursday’s game will go a long way to see who is up to the task of finishing strong.

Although the Thursday nighter is being blown up as “Rex’s Return,” perhaps their Week 17 tilt in Buffalo will have a lot more significance. After this week, the Bills will travel to Foxborough then Kansas City, after that they will play host to the Texans before three straight against the dismal NFC East (@Philadelphia, @Washington, vsDallas). All these games are very winnable, hopefully setting up some real drama for Week 17.

Even though the Jets are 6-4 SU in their last 10 meetings against the Bills, the Bills have won four of the last 5 including the last 3 by a combined score of 118-40. Their last game was postponed and played in Detroit after heavy snow in Buffalo, and the Bills came through with one of their best games of the season winning 38-3. The last clash in New York ended as a 43-23 win for the Bills, a game in which Buffalo forced six turnovers, including three Geno Smith interceptions with Mike Vick throwing one and fumbling four times, losing two.

The Bills looked great coming out of their bye last week, crushing divisional rival Miami Dolphins 33-17. They got QB Tyrod Taylor and top wide receiver Sammy Watkins back from injury, and they didn’t disappoint.

Coach Ryan went back to what his teams do best…run the football. The Bills ran the ball 36 times for 266 yards, an average of 7.4 yards/carry. Both LeSean McCoy and Karlos Williams rushed for over 100 yards, the first time this season for Shady, with the duo finding pay dirt three times (Williams had 2). Taylor did what he needed, completing 11 of his 12 passes for 181 yards, including a 44-yard TD bomb to Watkins.

The Jets have lost two of their last three, a home victory last week versus the Jaguars and two road losses in New England and Oakland. New York really needs to get running back Chris Ivory back on track after averaging only 1.1 yards per carry in their last two contests.

This will be a chippy game, with emotions running high for multiple reasons. America’s Bookie currently has the Jets a 2½-point home favorite with the number at 42½. Take the Bills +2½ in a close one the Bills will win outright.

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