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Bailey Tries Again For Reds

Updated: .July 4, 2017

By Charles Jay

The Cincinnati Reds have not had a real good season, and they are out of the race for the National League Central title, at least for the time being. The Colorado Rockies have faded a bit, falling further behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West, but they are still in possession of that second wild card berth. These teams will go at it on the Fourth of July at Coors Field in Denver, with a starting time of 8:10 PM ET.

Remember that if you are an America’s Bookie customer, you can have two different options to do “Live Betting” and that enables you to stay very much in the action even after the first pitcher is thrown.

Taking the mound for the Rockies, who are 23-15 at home (49-36 overall) is Kyle Freeland, a southpaw who is 8-6 with a 3.84 ERA and has allowed just two runs in each of his last two home starts. For the Reds, it is righty Homer Bailey (0-2, 27.00 ERA), who has let the floodgates fly open in each of his last four outings, going back to last year.

In the baseball betting odds that have been posted on this game, the Rockies are the home favorites:

Colorado Rockies (Freeland) -140
Cincinnati Reds (Bailey) +120

Under 12.5 Runs -125
Over 12.5 Runs +105

Reds +1.5 Runs -135
Rockies -1.5 Runs +115

There was a time when Bailey was one of the hottest young prospects in all of baseball. He was the USA Today high school pitcher of the year and a first-round draft choice of the Cincinnati Reds, for whom he became the top prospect in the organization. They seemingly could not rush him to the big leagues quickly enough, and when he got there he was the youngest player in either league.

Cincinnati has gotten a couple of decent seasons out of him, but certainly not enough. Although he’s had good enough stuff to pitch TWO no-hitters in the majors, his career has, in recent seasons, been derailed by injuries.

A lot of this started with “forearm fatigue” in 2014 and eventually gravitated into an elbow injury that required him to have Tommy John surgery. Later there were bone spurs. You get the picture -that basically, HIS picture just wasn’t filling out very well for him.

Since the beginning of the 2015 season, Bailey has worked 39 innings and given up 38 earned runs. His WHIP ratio is 2.03. After he got off the disabled list this year, the result of another elbow procedure, he has had two disastrous starts, going a total of 4-2/3 innings and allowing fourteen runs. The opposition is hitting .462 against him, and going back to last season, he has surrendered 23 earned runs in eight innings.

Our point is, the last time he really even got anybody out on a semi-consistent basis was 2014, and that isn’t the kind of pitcher we necessarily want to put our support behind – until he’s at least shown us he can turn things around.

Maybe it’s just rust. Or maybe it’s over for Bailey. But we simply have to lay the price with the Rockies, as the Charles Jay / America’s Bookie Challlenge continues on the Fourth of July.

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